489 results
Search Results
2. Procyclical Productivity in Manufacturing
- Author
-
Navarro, Lucas and Soto, Raimundo
- Published
- 2006
3. Disaggregated savings. Some implications for a capital-based macroeconomic framework
- Author
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Ignacio Martínez Fernández, Miguel Ángel Alonso Neira, and Luis Palma Martos
- Subjects
Business cycles ,cash-build savings ,term structure of savings ,money demand ,Social Sciences ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 - Abstract
As Bagus and Howden (2010) highlighted, one of the paths to achieve a more fruitful understanding of the business cycle involves examining saving as a heterogeneous analytical category. The aim of this paper is to continue this line of inquiry using the capital-based framework developed by Garrison (2001). This paper contributes to the literature by studying the impact of heterogenous savings on economic growth and business cycles in a capital-based macroeconomics framework. With this aim the implications of disaggregated saving is analysed by means of the differential market signals that are generated by cash-build savings (Pătruți, 2017) and loanable funds accessible through the credit markets.
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. Women in Research in Economics in Uruguay
- Author
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Verónica Amarante, Marisa Bucheli, María Inés Moraes, and Tatiana Pérez
- Subjects
gender gaps ,economic research ,networks ,men and women economists ,Social Sciences ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 - Abstract
We analyse gender gaps in published works on economics in Uruguay. First of all, we describe the evolution of the professional context and female participation in the discipline. We then provide an empirical analysis of the research output based on two databases: one containing working papers and technical documents and the other including articles published in journals. The main results are: a) men produce more published articles than women but there is no gender gap in working papers; b) women and men are unevenly represented throughout different fields; c) collaboration with non-local authors is more likely among men than women; d) non-local co-authorship is strongly associated with the gender gap in journal articles production.
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
5. Customer perceived value in high growth firms
- Author
-
Suzanne Mawson
- Subjects
High growth firms ,HGF ,entrepreneurship ,customer perceived value ,value creation ,Social Sciences ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 - Abstract
The past twenty years have seen increased importance attached to high growth firms (HGFs). Despite decades of research, our knowledge of HGFs remains limited. Scholars have asserted that a key differentiator of HGFs is their ability to create value for their customers, yet this relationship has gone untested. This paper makes an important contribution to the literature by empirically exploring this relationship. Drawing on comparative cohorts of HGFs and non-HGFs, this paper finds that HGFs were found to be much more likely than their non-HGF counterparts to be positively influencing customer perceived value, the creation of which is considered to be an important enabler of firm performance and growth. In addition to its empirical contribution to the high growth entrepreneurship literature, this paper raises issues for future research.
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
6. Formality and informality in an emerging economy: the case of Colombia
- Author
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Jesús Alonso Botero García, Cristian Castrillón, Álvaro Arturo Hurtado Rendón, Humberto Franco, and Christian Vargas
- Subjects
informal economy ,public expenditure ,exogenous shock ,DSGE ,Social Sciences ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 - Abstract
The objective of this paper is to evaluate the impact of fiscal instruments for Colombia on two of the country’s main issues: income inequality and informality, phenomena that have been exacerbated by the pandemic. For this purpose, we built a DSGE model whose main differentiating element is the level of liquidity of households. The model carried out various simulations of transfers to households, and we examined the effects of these on different macroeconomic variables. We conclude that for the economy to return to the same fiscal adjustment it had before a transfer, the government will somehow have to increase the productivity of the formal sector, as this increase will have a positive effect on growth, increase income taxes and employment, and decrease informality.
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
7. A theoretical framework to study accumulation regimes and crises in Colombia
- Author
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Manuela Mahecha Alzate
- Subjects
Institutions ,Dominant Social Bloc ,economic dependence ,drug trafficking ,armed conflict ,Social Sciences ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 - Abstract
The neorealist approach to institutional change has the merits of emphasising the importance of the Dominant Social Bloc (DSB) in institutions, and of integrating economics, society, and politics in the formation and breakdown of the DSB. Since this approach was not designed for Colombia, it is necessary to integrate certain characteristics, such as economic dependence, armed conflict, and drug trafficking. This paper presents the first theoretical adaptation of the neorealist approach for a Latin American country. This extended theoretical framework evinces the role of crime and violence in providing political stability to an accumulation regime that satisfies the demands of a narrow DSB.
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
8. The Path to Labor Stability for Young Spanish Workers during the Great Recession
- Author
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Gloria Moreno Raymundo and Inmaculada Cebrián López
- Subjects
Youth employment ,stability ,trajectories ,Spain ,Great Recession ,Social Sciences ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 - Abstract
The Great Recession (2008-2013) worsened the labor market position of young Spaniards. despite governments launched labor market reforms in 2010 y 2012 to improve labor stability, permanent employment accounted for only 10 percent of total new contracts. This paper tries to disentangle which factors are hindering the promotion of open-ended contracts to stabilize Spanish young workers into permanent employment. These analysis use panel data from the MCVL (Muestra Continua de Vidas Laborales). The results indicate that, although having an open-ended contract increases the probability of being employed after two years, only 50 percent of these initial contracts survive. The structure of labor demand explains this instability.
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
9. Ecuador: Into the abyss thanks to the structural adjustment policies of the Extended Fund Agreement with the IMF
- Author
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Katiuska King Mantilla and Pablo Samaniego Ponce
- Subjects
Ecuador ,fully dollarized economy ,extended fund agreement ,structural adjustment policies ,capital roundtripping ,Social Sciences ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 - Abstract
This paper analyses the scope, origins, justification, and commitments of the extended fund arrangement (EFA) signed by the Ecuadorian government and the IMF in March 2019. This agreement, which represents a little more than a third of Argentina’ Stand-By Agreement, promotes Central Bank independence, austerity, as well as structural adjustment policies, but its basic’ diagnosis omits external sector problems. This paper presents the implications and contradictions of the agreement to promote structural changes in the real sector and how these foster policies that protect the interests of bondholders and bankers.
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
10. Climate shocks and human capital: The impact of the natural disasters of 2010 in Colombia on student achievement
- Author
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Mauricio Giovanni Valencia Amaya
- Subjects
Climate Shocks ,Natural Disaster ,Human Capital ,Cognitive Skills ,Colombia ,Social Sciences ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 - Abstract
This paper investigates the impact of the unprecedented climate shocks of the 2010 in Colombia on the results of the Saber 11 standardized test for the 2010- 2012 period. By using two unique datasets, this paper contributes to the literature by providing a better estimate of the human capital costs of climate shocks. The findings indicate that the climate shocks occurred on 2010 decreased Saber 11 test scores. The impact was stronger for female students, students from rural areas and students from low-income families. A possible channel of transmission is identified: the destruction of schools.
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
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11. NAFTA AND PRODUCTIVITY CONVERGENCE BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE US.
- Author
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ITO, TADASHI
- Subjects
- *
INDUSTRIAL productivity , *TECHNOLOGY convergence ,NORTH American Free Trade Agreement ,MEXICO-United States relations - Abstract
This paper revisits the question of whether NAFTA contributed to the productivity convergence between Mexico and the US. It introduces improved procedures for generating total factor productivity (TFP) data and applies new and more appropriate econometric methods. With these refinements, the paper provides some counter-evidence to the previous literature's findings of technology convergence toward a smaller gap level and NAFTA's positive effect on it. Our main result suggests an increasing TFP gap level, while some robustness checks, although not documenting increasing gaps, weaken the claim of the previous literature. The paper also applies a difference-in-difference approach and finds no evidence of sizeable effects of NAFTA. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2010
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
12. IS LATIN AMERICA OVERCOMING ITS FEAR OF FLOATING?
- Author
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Ibarra, Carlos A.
- Subjects
- *
FOREIGN exchange rates , *MARKET volatility - Abstract
This paper analyzes the evolution of fear of floating (FOF) and its effect on output in Chile, Colombia and Mexico. It shows that there has been a gradual rise in exchange-rate volatility as the period of floating lengthens in each country. The paper analyzes the implications of this evolution for the behavior of output. It finds that the reduction of FOF has tended to decrease output volatility in Chile. However, the opposite phenomenon has happened in Mexico, while the results for Colombia are ambiguous. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
13. LA PRODUCTIVIDAD CIENTÍFICA DE ECONOMÍA Y ADMINISTRACIÓN EN CHILE. UN ANÁLISIS COMPARATIVO.
- Author
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Contreras, Claudia, Edwards, Gonzalo, and Mizala, Alejandra
- Subjects
- *
INDUSTRIAL management , *ECONOMICS , *BUSINESS , *MANAGEMENT - Abstract
The first part of this paper compares the volume and scientific productivity of Business Administration and Economics in Chile with the rest of scientific disciplines at the national and international levels. Given that scientific productivity is heterogeneous among different disciplines, the comparisons utilize an indicator that measures their impact relative to the world in the same field. The second part of the paper compares the amounts of public resources allocated to research in the different fields and discusses their relative efficiency in Chile. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
14. IMPACTO DE LA PERCEPCIÓN DE LA CALIDAD DEL AIRE SOBRE EL PRECIO DE LAS VIVIENDAS EN CONCEPCIÓN-TALCAHUANO, CHILE.
- Author
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Mardones, Cristián
- Subjects
- *
AIR pollution , *ECONOMIC impact , *FISH protein concentrate , *ENVIRONMENTAL economics , *HOUSING - Abstract
This paper provides an empirical assessment on the impact of air pollution, specifically the bad scents produced by heavy industries and industries associated to the production of fish flour on the population's economic welfare of Concepción-Talcahuano, Chile. The paper applies an indirect method of environmental valuation known as the model of hedonics prices (Rosen, 1974). This approach has been broadly used in urban and environmental economics. Tile results from this paper reveal that there is a negative effect from bad scents on the price of housing and goes further by carrying out an exercise on the economic effect in a representative housing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
15. REGIONAL CONVERGENCE IN CHILE: NEW TESTS, OLD RESULTS.
- Author
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Duncan, Roberto and Fuentes, Rodrigo
- Subjects
- *
ECONOMIC convergence , *GROSS domestic product , *INCOME , *PER capita , *HYPOTHESIS , *PANEL analysis ,ECONOMIC conditions in Chile - Abstract
Convergence tests implicitly test the unit root hypothesis for per capita income. Although the statistics do not have critical values under the null hypothesis most papers on this subject use them, with the corresponding problems for inference. This paper determines the existence of convergence in GDP levels and income across the regions of Chile using the traditional tests and also recent unit root tests for panel data that allow for correct inferences. We also analyze convergence in dispersion, evaluating the presence of asymmetries or the formation of regional "clubs" using nonparametric tests. Our main conclusions are: (1) the evidence supports the hypothesis of absolute β convergence in both per capita GDP and income; (2) the convergence rate is higher for income than for GDP; (3) the conditional convergence rate increases when we control for the share of mining on the regional productive structure; (4) the data do not support the existence of convergence clubs; and (5) there is no clear evidence of G convergence. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
16. SOURCES OF GROWTH AND BEHAVIOR OF TFP IN CHILE.
- Author
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Fuentes, Rodrigo, Larraín, Mauricio, and Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus
- Subjects
- *
ECONOMIC development , *GROSS domestic product , *INDUSTRIAL productivity , *ECONOMETRICS , *MACROECONOMICS , *INTERNATIONAL trade ,ECONOMIC conditions in Chile - Abstract
Chile has exhibited sharp cyclical and trend variation in its GDP and TFP growth rates during the last half century. This paper presents new estimates of the sources of Chile's growth and new measures for factor inputs and TFP during 1960-2005. Capital series are adjusted by utilization and labor employment series by hours worked and labor quality measures. Using a Cobb-Douglas function, the paper presents eight series for TFP based on alternative combinations of input measures. Three alternative cyclical measures for GDP suggest that the full period can be divided into three sub-periods of similar length, with similar cyclical features, and that coincide closely with distinct historical eras: 1960-1973, 1974-1989, and 1990-2005. Across the latter time spans, a negative relation between the first and second moments of GDP growth is confirmed, consistent with international experience. This paper also reports econometric evidence on the behavior of Chile's TFP during 1960-2005. TFP dynamics are shaped by cyclical variables (the terms of trade and real exchange rate undervaluation) and structural policy variables (macroeconomic stabilization and microeconomic reform progress), as well as positive interaction effects between macro performance and micro policies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
17. CHILE'S ECONOMIC GROWTH.
- Author
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Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus
- Subjects
- *
ECONOMIC development , *GROSS domestic product , *INDUSTRIAL productivity , *ECONOMIC sectors , *ECONOMIC trends , *BUSINESS cycles , *PANEL analysis ,ECONOMIC conditions in Chile - Abstract
Chile's average per capita CDP growth of 4.1% during 1991-2005 was significantly higher than average world growth during the same period and was a strong break from its own past. How much of Chile's recent growth is trend growth and how much is cyclical, influenced largely by external conditions? Which are the main determinants of Chile's long-term growth and cyclical fluctuations, according to the recent empirical literature? Which are the country's main growth strengths and weaknesses, and, based on the latter, which are the policy reforms advocated by recent technical studies and campaign proposals? This review article addresses the latter questions, starting with the facts about Chile's average growth and growth volatility at the aggregate, regional, and economic-sector level. Then the paper surveys trend growth studies for Chile that range from decomposition by sources of growth to econometric and simulation studies of deep growth determinants, based on international panel-data and national time-series evidence, and on research focused on individual reforms. Studies on short-term output fluctuations and cyclical recoveries in Chile, also comprising cross-country and national time-series evidence, are presented next. This issue of Cuadernos publishes six new, relevant research papers on Chile's growth, which are briefly introduced. Then the paper reviews selectively growthenhancing policy proposals that have been put forward by academic authors, international organizations, and presidential candidates in their 2005 campaign programs. An epilogue with brief thoughts about Chile's growth potential and policy reform challenges closes the paper. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
18. Measures of Upstreamness and Downstreamness based on exports
- Author
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Alvaro Lalanne
- Subjects
Global value chains ,Upstreamness ,Downstreamness ,Social Sciences ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 - Abstract
In this paper I discuss and develop measures of upstreamness and downstreamness to describe the position of countries and sectors in global value chains. Both measures are defined as the distance between exports and either final demand (upstreamness) or primary factors (downstreamness). When added together, they create a single measure of chain length, and reveal the position of the chain in international trade. I show the usefulness of these measures for highlighting aspects of international participation in value chains that cannot be deduced from measures developed previously. In particular, the measures proposed here better describe the specialization of countries along value chains.
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
19. Growth and the real exchange rate: the role of technology
- Author
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Alejandro Márquez-Velázquez
- Subjects
development macroeconomics ,growth ,technological capabilities ,undervaluation ,Social Sciences ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 - Abstract
The aim of this paper is to assess the stability of the impacts of real exchange rate undervaluation and domestic technological capabilities on growth across development levels. Panel regressions with development-level interactions are used to test the stability of these variables’ impact on growth. The results show that real undervaluation is a driver of growth across all development levels, once technological capabilities are accounted for; however, it is more important for developing and developed countries than for emerging countries.
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
20. The peruvian mining boom and dutch disease. Empirical evidence from 2003 to 2020
- Author
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Elmer Sánchez Dávila
- Subjects
Dutch disease ,VARX estimation ,Mineral price boom ,Peru ,Social Sciences ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 - Abstract
The aim of this paper is to verify whether Peru has suffered from Dutch disease. To do this, a VARX model with monthly data from 2003 to 2020 is used to analyze whether the mining boom prices of the 2000s and 2010s have had a negative impact on the real sector, especially on non-primary manufacturing. Results show that a real exchange rate shock explains 8.2% of the variation in non-primary manufacturing. Even though the effect is significant, it is relatively small, and this is due to the Peruvian Central Bank intervening to reduce exchange rate volatility
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
21. The effects of fixed-term contracts on workers in Colombia
- Author
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Luz Karime Abadía Alvarado
- Subjects
tipos de contrato ,contratos laborales ,contratos a término fijo e indefinido ,brecha salarial ,variable instrumental ,Social Sciences ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 - Abstract
This paper studies the effects of fixed-term contracts on workers. Specifically, the paper analyzes their impact on wages and on satisfaction levels. Regulations governing fixed-term and indefinite contracts in Colombia and the main labor reforms related to these two types of contract are analyzed. Women, young and low-educated workers, who work in small firms, in the private sector and in construction or manufacturing are most likely to have fixed-term contracts. In terms of wages, we found a significant raw and adjusted wage gap against workers with fixed-term contracts. Finally, we found, as expected, evidence that fixed-term contracts reduce the level of worker satisfaction.
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
22. Economic growth regimes: Evidence from Latin America
- Author
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Fernando Delbianco and Carlos Dabús
- Subjects
Growth regimes ,economic instability ,income inequality ,Latin America ,Social Sciences ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 - Abstract
This paper studies the effect of economic instability, income inequality and openness in the transition to different growth regimes for 18 Latin American countries during the 1980-2014 period. The study is carried out determining three different levels: low, middle and high economic growth. The countries are categorised according to the method of k-median clustering. We use panel data estimation applying random effects model and ordered logit. The results indicate that instability and inequality negatively affect the economic performance of the region, while openness is not a significant factor in explaining economic growth.
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
23. MMT, monetary sovereignty and fiscal policy space in Brazil (1999-2019)
- Author
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Norberto Montani Martins and Isadora Bonitz Silva Gomes
- Subjects
Modern monetary theory ,sovereign money ,fiscal policy ,functional finance ,full employment ,Brazil ,Social Sciences ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 - Abstract
There are controversies regarding the applicability of Modern Money Theory (MMT) to emerging countries. In this paper, we shed light on this debate by analyzing the monetary sovereignty and fiscal policy regime in Brazil from 1999 to 2019. An empirical assessment shows the government has a considerable ‘degree’ of monetary sovereignty. However, fiscal rules imposed many restrictions on the State’s capacity to spend, subordinating fiscal policy to austerity. As there are no major macroeconomic constraints to Brazilian monetary sovereignty, it is necessary to change fiscal rules to reorient fiscal policy towards full employment in line with MMT prescriptions.
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
24. Ecuador: Into the abyss thanks to the structural adjustment policies of the Extended Fund Agreement with the IMF
- Author
-
Pablo Samaniego Ponce and Katiuska King Mantilla
- Subjects
Government ,Scope (project management) ,Structural adjustment ,media_common.quotation_subject ,05 social sciences ,Financial system ,Independence ,Agreement ,0506 political science ,Austerity ,Arts and Humanities (miscellaneous) ,External sector ,Central bank ,0502 economics and business ,050602 political science & public administration ,Economics ,050207 economics ,General Economics, Econometrics and Finance ,Social Sciences (miscellaneous) ,media_common - Abstract
This paper analyses the scope, origins, justification, and commitments of the extended fund arrangement (EFA) signed by the Ecuadorian government and the IMF in March 2019. This agreement, which represents a little more than a third of Argentina’ Stand-By Agreement, promotes Central Bank independence, austerity, as well as structural adjustment policies, but its basic’ diagnosis omits external sector problems. This paper presents the implications and contradictions of the agreement to promote structural changes in the real sector and how these foster policies that protect the interests of bondholders and bankers.
- Published
- 2020
25. LA INFLACIÓN Y EL BANCO CENTRAL: ECONOMÍA DE UN EMISOR INDEPENDIENTE
- Author
-
Carlos Esteban Posada P
- Subjects
Banco Central Independiente ,emisor monopolista ,maximización de ganancias ,inflación óptima ,costo social de la inflación ,Independency of the Central Bank ,monopolistic issuer ,profit maximization ,optimal inflation ,social cost of inflation ,Social Sciences ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 - Abstract
En este artículo formulo una relación teórica de fundamento microeconómico entre un Banco privado monopólico y la tasa óptima de inflación. La relación propuesta es la base para establecer una condición suficiente para la independencia de la Banca Central. La parte central del artículo lo consti tuye un modelo que expone las condiciones que se requieren para igualar las tasas óptimas, social y privada, de la inflación. A pesar de la sencillez del argumento, se pueden deducir algunas proposiciones de "Economía Constitucional".In this paper I propose a microeconomic based theoretical relation between a private monopolist bank and the optimal intlation rateo The proposed relation is the basis to establish a sutficient condition for the central bank independence. The core of this paper is a model showing the conditions required to equalize the optimal social and private rates of inflation. Notwithstanding the very simple nature of the argument, we can deduce from it some propositions of "Constitutional Economics".
- Published
- 2002
26. Los flujos de capital y el Estado en Colombia The capital inflows and the State in Colombia
- Author
-
Kalmanovitz Salomón
- Subjects
Flujos de capital ,economías intervenidas ,comercio internacional ,variables macroeconómicas ,crecimiento ,inflación ,agregados externos ,monetarios ,fiscales ,peso ,repatriación de capitales ,bonanza petrolera ,desarrollo ,producción ,bienes ,Social Sciences ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 - Abstract
El artículo hace un breve análisis de los flujos de capital hacia América Latina durante el último lustro, atraídos por economías menos intervenidas por el Estado, más abiertas al comercio internacional, más estables y equilibradas en sus variables macroeconómicas fundamentales. Seguidamente se examina la economía colombiana en los aspectos de crecimiento, inflación, agregados externos, monetarios y fiscales para concluir la apreciación del peso causada por la repatriación de capitales y las expectativas sobre una nueva bonanza petrolera hacen más difícil el desarrollo de la producción de bienes transables en el país.This paper analyses briefly capital inflows in Latin America duringthe last five years which were attracted by less state intervention,more openness to international trade and more stable economies in their macro variables.Next, the paper examines the Colombian economy in themes such asgrowth, inflation, external and fiscal balances, to conclude that the appreciation of the peso, caused by the capital inflow and the expectations of a new oil boom, makes it more difficult to developthe development of tradable within the country.
- Published
- 1994
27. Sobre la relevancia de los modelos económicos teóricos
- Author
-
Francisco Lozano Gerena and Juan David Durán-Vanegas
- Subjects
lcsh:Social Sciences ,lcsh:H ,Arts and Humanities (miscellaneous) ,Equilibrio y desequilibrio general ,Internal consistency ,Economics ,lcsh:HC10-1085 ,Positive economics ,General Economics, Econometrics and Finance ,33 Economía / Economics ,Metodología económica ,Social Sciences (miscellaneous) ,lcsh:Economic history and conditions - Abstract
La literatura económica contiene un gran número de cuestionamientos sobre la relevancia de los modelos basados en hipótesis con altos grados de abstracción.En este artículo se examinan este tipo de críticas mediante un análisis enfocado en el modelo Arrow-Debreu. En general, se argumenta que estos cuestionamientos son débiles, en la medida en que asumen la explicación de los hechos económicos observables como único criterio para juzgar la relevancia de los modelos económicos teóricos. En particular, respecto al modelo Arrow-Debreu, se presentan ciertas reflexiones que justifican su enseñanza bajo un criterio metodológico, fundamentado en la consistencia lógica de las relaciones teóricas planteadas y la capacidad del modelo para responder una pregunta teórica. In economic literature, is usual to find criticisms of models based on abstract hypotheses that do not have empirical counterparts. This paper examines these kinds of arguments and, in particular, focuses its attention on the Arrow-Debreu model. It asserts that these criticisms are weak as they assume that the only criterion to judge economic theory models is its capacity to explain actual economic facts. The paper also sustains that the Arrow-Debreu model is useful due to its internal consistency as well as the fact that it solves a theoretical rather than a practical problem. A literatura econômica contém um grande número de questionamentos sobre a relevância dos modelos baseados em hipóteses com altos graus de abstração. Neste artigo são examinadas esse tipo de críticas mediante uma análise focada nomodelo Arrow-Debreu. Em geral, argumenta-se que esses questionamentos são débeis, na medida em que assumem a explicação dos fatos econômicos observáveis como único critério para jugar a relevância dos modelos econômicos teóricos.Em particular, em relação com o modelo Arrow-Debreu, apresentam-se certas reflexiones que justificam o seu ensino sob um critério metodológico, fundamentado na consistência lógica das relações teóricas levantadas e a capacidade do modelo para responder uma pergunta teórica.
- Published
- 2018
28. La teoría del crecimiento
- Author
-
Currie Lauchlin
- Subjects
teoría económica ,crecimiento ,Allyn Young ,inversión comercial ,Social Sciences ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 - Abstract
Currie, Lauchlin, " The Theory of Growth", Cuadernos de Economía, Vol. XIII, numbers 18-19, Bogota, 1993, pp. 377-390. This paper is an attempt to develop an hypothesis on what Lucas has called the "mechanics" of growth. It is largely an endogenous theory, modelled on Allyn Young's famous paper, but also attempts to incorporate the impact of exogenous phenomena on growth. It treats business investment as following rather than as a leading sector. If valici, the hypothesis has important implications for both theory and policy.Currie, Lauchlin, "La teoría del crecimiento", Cuadernos de Economía, Vol. XIII, números 18-19, Bogotá, 1993, pp. 377-390. Con este artículo se pretende desarrollar una hipótesis con base en la cual Lucas se refirió al "mecanismo" del crecimiento. Esta es una vasta teoría endógena del crecimiento, cuyos esbozos originales se encuentran en los famosos trabajos de Allyn Young, pero que a la vez se propone incorporar el impacto de los fenómenos exógenos sobre el crecimiento. La teoría trata de la inversión comercial como un resultado más que como un sector líder. De ser válida esta hipótesis, sus implicaciones serán importantes tanto para la teoría como para la política económica.
- Published
- 1993
29. Social reproduction, the popular economy and informality: Feminist reflections from Latin America
- Author
-
Luisa Fernanda Tovar Cortés
- Subjects
Social reproduction ,feminism ,popular economy ,formalization ,Social Sciences ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 - Abstract
The economic discipline is characterised by hierarchical dualisms. This paper examines formal/informal and productive/reproductive binary categories by means of a dialogue between the social reproduction theory and the popular economy. A starting point is the wealth of feminist contributions that highlight both reproduction and work as the heart of socioeconomic phenomena. Based on formalization processes in Latin America, the article explores how public policy interventions focus on the productive sphere. However, upon closer examination, these policies seem to neglect reproductive activities, as well as the demands of popular sectors. We argue that the contributions of feminism are necessary to broaden the economic field.
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
30. THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF UNSUSTAINABLE FISCAL DEFICITS.
- Author
-
PASTEN, ROBERTO and COVER, JAMES P.
- Subjects
- *
FINANCIAL crises , *BUDGET deficits , *NINETEENTH century ,DEVELOPING countries ,CHILEAN history - Abstract
This paper uses an intertemporal model of public finances to show that political instability can cause taxes to be tilted to the future, resulting in a fiscal deficit that is suboptimal and only weakly sustainable (in the sense of Quintos). This occurs because political instability gives the government an incentive to implement a myopic fiscal policy in order to increase its chances of remaining in office. The government achieves this by delaying taxes (or advancing spending) in order to buy political support, which in turn causes an upward trend in the deficit process and a financial crisis. Using annual data for Chile for the 1833-1999 period, we present statistical test results that support the model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2010
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
31. DIFERENCIAS REGIONALES EN LA PARTICIPACIÓN LABORAL FEMENINA EN CHILE.
- Author
-
FERRADA, LUZ MARÍA and ZARZOSA, PILAR
- Subjects
- *
WOMEN employees , *DEMOGRAPHIC research , *EQUATIONS , *LABOR market - Abstract
This paper focuses on women's participation in the Chilean labor market at a regional level. Traditional methods use region-by-region analyses based on assumptions that perturbances are uncorrelated across regions and, most often, that they share identical determinants. Our research shows that both assumptions are inadequate for describing the data. We thus propose a full-information estimator based on a combination of seemingly unrelated regressions (SURE) and Logit techniques. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2010
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
32. EL CONSUMO ELÉCTRICO RESIDENCIAL EN CHILE EN 2008.
- Author
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MARSHALL, DANIELA
- Subjects
- *
ELECTRIC power consumption , *ELECTRIC power conservation , *ENERGY shortages , *NATURAL gas , *INTERNATIONAL trade - Abstract
This paper analyses the causes of the unusual drop in electricity consumption in households in Chile during 2008. Changes in income, the price of energy and the price of the substitute explain 8% of the actual drop in consumption. Over 50% of the fall is explained by two of the measures taken by the government: the energy-saving campaign and the planned reduction in the nominal voltage. Other measures included electricity saving rebates and changing the daylight saving time. Had the authority not taken these measures the price of electricity would have had to rise 15% more to induce a similar reduction of household's consumption. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2010
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
33. IMPUTACIÓN MÚLTIPLE EN ENCUESTAS MICROECONÓMICAS.
- Author
-
ALFARO, RODRIGO and FUENZALIDA, MARCELO
- Subjects
- *
MULTIPLE imputation (Statistics) , *ECONOMIC surveys , *MICROECONOMICS , *SOCIAL security ,ECONOMIC conditions in Chile - Abstract
In the survey analysis, the missing data problem can be managed by using Multiple Imputation (MI) methods. In this paper we show the empirical application of MI methods to the financial variables included in Chile's Social Protection Survey 2004. Based on a brief review of MI methods we conclude that Multivariate Normal one is more appropriate for our case. In addition, we consider two empirical adjustments: (1) use of the variables in their logistic versions, and (2) implementation of the method by groups of individuals. Our results show that both adjustments improves the performance of the MI method. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2009
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
34. EL EFECTO DEL TRABAJADOR ADICIONAL. EVIDENCIA PARA ARGENTINA (2003-2007).
- Author
-
PAZ, JORGE A.
- Subjects
- *
EMPLOYMENT of married women , *LABOR supply , *EMPLOYMENT , *UNEMPLOYMENT ,ARGENTINIAN economy - Abstract
This paper examines the Additional Worker Effect in Argentina. We conclude that such effect exists, that it is large and that it is highly persistent even when using a wide array of controls in the regressions. It is also observed that spouses of working heads who become unemployed return to formal or informal employment with more intensity. We do not find evidence that impacts on spouse unemployment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2009
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
35. LA MACROECONOMÍA Y LA CRISIS: ¿LA CRISIS DE LA MACROECONOMÍA?
- Author
-
ROSENDE, FRANCISCO
- Subjects
- *
GLOBAL Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 , *MACROECONOMICS , *FINANCIAL liberalization , *MONETARY policy , *ECONOMIC forecasting , *RATIONAL expectations (Economic theory) ,DEVELOPED countries - Abstract
The economic policies implemented in the U.S. economy and other industrial nations during the years preceding the recent financial crisis have been strongly criticized for being too "liberal" regarding the functioning and regulation of markets. There are also those who question the vision and responsibility of the regulatory bodies. Furthermore, the crisis triggered criticism from some economists--led by Nobel prize winner Paul Krugman--with respect to the research agenda followed in the field of macroeconomics during the past thirty years. Specifically, these critics affirm that the theories and models based on rational expectations were incapable of both predicting the crisis and offering solutions to it. This paper questions the above charges. It mentions that (based on the same theoretical approaches that are now being criticized) several articles have alerted about the risks that were brewing in the U.S. economy. If there is something to criticize, it would be the models based on the New Keynesian Synthesis which, just as some decades ago, largely trusted that the economic cycle could be tackled using simple rules of monetary policy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2009
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
36. SIMPOSIO CRISIS GLOBAL Y TEORÍA ECONÓMICA.
- Author
-
DE GREGORIO, JOSÉ
- Subjects
- *
GLOBAL Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 , *CRISIS management , *MACROECONOMICS , *MONETARY policy , *ECONOMIC policy -- Congresses - Abstract
The current global recession has cast doubts about the work of macroeconomists, the usefulness of their theories and their capacity to anticipate and deal with crises. This paper discusses that, while incapable of dealing with all the complexities of the real world, models do help to interpret the economic reality and propose economic policy recommendations. It also claims that, although crises are unpredictable, it is necessary to continue searching for early warnings and policies to try to prevent them and mitigate their propagation and amplification. Finally, it emphasizes that, although the initial shock of the current crisis was similar to the one of the Great Depression, its subsequent development has been essentially different, in particular in emerging economies. This proves that the economies are much stranger, and the policies applied have gone in the proper direction, which has benefited from important practical lessons and advances in economic research. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2009
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
37. TRANSMISIÓN DE TASAS DE INTERÉS BAJO EL ESQUEMA DE METAS DE INFLACIÓN: EVIDENCIA PARA COLOMBIA.
- Author
-
BECERRA, ÓSCAR REINALDO and VELANDIA, LUIS FERNANDO MELO
- Subjects
- *
MONETARY policy , *INTEREST rate swaps , *CENTRAL banking industry , *ECONOMIC policy , *ECONOMICS - Abstract
This paper describes the dynamics of the monetary policy decisions enacted by the Central Bank of Colombia and the transmission to other interest rates, in order to identify the effectiveness and backwardness of such monetary policy measures. Based on a theoretical model, a VECX-MGARCH model is used to analyze the interactions among different interest rates and model the relationship between the volatilities of the endogenous variables of the model. Impulse-response functions suggest that the effect of a monetary shock on interest rates closely follow the objectives set by the Central Bank, both in sign and magnitude. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2009
38. IS IT RISK? AN AUTOMATED APPROACH TO EXPLAIN THE EX ANTE DEVIATIONS OF BRAZIL.
- Author
-
FERREIRA, ALEX LUIZ
- Subjects
- *
INTEREST rate parity theorem , *ECONOMIC forecasting , *GROSS domestic product , *PRICE inflation , *ECONOMIC policy - Abstract
The paper tests whether ex ante deviations from Uncovered Interest Rate Parity correspond to default risk premium. Using an automated model selection criteria and data for Brazil (from november 2001 until december 2007), we found that deviations are correlated with a measure of risk (the EMBI+ ). There is also evidence that these deviations can be explained and predicted by a set of fundamentals (such as the current account deficit as a percentage of the GDP and domestic inflation for example). Insofar as some of these variables can be controlled by the government, the results suggest that economic policy is able to decrease risk. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2009
39. EVIDENCE OF NON-MARKOVIAN BEHAVIOR IN THE PROCESS OF BANK RATING MIGRATIONS.
- Author
-
GÓMEZ-GONZÁLEZ, JOSÉ E. and KIEFER, NICHOLAS M.
- Subjects
- *
BANKING industry , *MARKOV spectrum , *STATISTICAL correlation , *BUSINESS cycles , *FINANCIAL services industry , *MACROECONOMICS - Abstract
This paper estimates transition matrices for the ratings on financial institutions, using an unusually, informative data set. We show that the process of rating migration exhibits significant non-Markovian behavior; in the sense that the transition intensities are affected by macroeconomic and bank-specific variables. We illustrate how the use of a continuous time framework may improve the estimation of the transition probabilities. However, the time homogeneity assumption, frequently done in economic applications, does not hold, even for short time intervals. Thus, the information provided by migrations alone is not enough to forecast the future behavior of ratings. The stage of the business cycle should be taken into account, and individual characteristics of banks must be considered as well. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2009
40. GRAVITY, BILATERAL AGREEMENTS, AND TRADE DIVERSION IN THE AMERICAS.
- Author
-
ROBERTSON, RAYMOND and ESTEVADEORDAL, ANTONI
- Subjects
- *
FREE trade , *COMMERCIAL policy , *ECONOMICS , *INTERNATIONAL trade , *BILATERAL treaties ,LATIN American economy - Abstract
Krishna (1998) shows that a bilateral agreement between two countries render a multilateral agreement less attractive if the bilateral agreement is trade diverting. This paper combines Krishna's model with the empirical approach of Anderson and van Wincoop (2003) to show that the estimated effect of tariffs in a multiple country (n>3) context over time measures trade diversion. We apply this measure to new asymmetric, time-yawing Latin American trade and tariff data using Anderson and van Wincoop's (2003) nonlinear estimation approach and OLS. The results show an increase in trade diversion as sub-regional trade agreements proliferated and enthusiasm for the Free Trade Agreement of the Americas declined. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2009
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
41. VOLATILIDAD DE INDICES ACCIONARIOS: EL CASO DEL IPSA.
- Author
-
ALFARO, RODRIGO A. and SILVA, CARMEN GLORIA
- Subjects
- *
MARKET volatility , *ECONOMETRICS , *STOCK price indexes ,ECONOMIC conditions in Chile - Abstract
This paper reviews the traditional ways to measure volatility which are based only on closing prices, and introduces alternative measurements that use additional information of prices during the day: opening, minimum, maximum, and closing prices. Using the binomial model, we prove that alternative measurements are more efficient than the traditional ones. An empirical application is performed using daily data of the chilean stock market index IPSA. From the theoretical and empirical results we propose an unbiased and efficient measure of daily volatility for this financial market. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2008
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
42. CAMBIOS DE LA TASA DE POLÍTICA Y SU EFECTO EN LA ESTRUCTURA A PLAZO DE COLOMBIA.
- Author
-
ARANGO, LUIS EDUARDO, GONZÁLEZ, ANDROS, LEÓN, JOHN JAIRO, and MELO, LUIS FERNANDO
- Subjects
- *
TAXATION , *FISCAL policy , *TRANSPARENCY (Optics) ,PARITY - Abstract
This paper analyzes the effects of changes of Banco de la República' s policy interest rate in the term structure. The evidence suggests that, in daily frequency, these reactions are not significant. However, with weekly data we found an anticipated reaction (one and three weeks before the movement) in the term structure in response to a change in the policy interest rate. Unfortunately the reaction has a "steepness effect" on the term structure, which may not support the expectations hypothesis of interest rates or may suggest a weak credibility and transparency of Banco de la República or both. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2008
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
43. VOLATILITY SPILLOVERS BETWEEN EQUITY AND CURRENCY MARKETS: EVIDENCE FROM MAJOR LATIN AMERICAN COUNTRIES.
- Author
-
MORALES, LUCÍA DE LAS NIEVES
- Subjects
- *
FOREIGN exchange rates , *INTERNATIONAL economic integration , *MARKET volatility , *FINANCIAL markets , *ARCH model (Econometrics) , *EURO - Abstract
This paper investigates the nature of volatility spillovers between stock returns and a number of exchange rates in six Latin American countries and one European economy in the 1998-2006 period. We divide our sample into sub periods, prior to and after the introduction of the Euro and we apply the EGARCH methodology to model volatility. Our results show that the volatility of stock returns affects the volatility of exchange rates; however, we do not find evidence of volatility transmission in the opposite direction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2008
44. WHAT EXACTLY IS 'BAD NEWS' IN FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKETS? EVIDENCE FROM LATIN AMERICAN MARKETS.
- Author
-
MAYA, CECILIA and GÓMEZ, KAROLL
- Subjects
- *
FOREIGN exchange market , *FINANCIAL markets , *ECONOMIC indicators , *INTERNATIONAL finance , *EMERGING markets , *INTEREST rates - Abstract
This paper asks whether the 'leverage effect' -as defined by Black (1976) for stock markets- is also a characteristic of foreign exchange markets. The study focuses on five Latin American emerging markets which have adopted a floating exchange regime, It finds that the response of exchange rates to volatility shocks is characterized by long memory and symmetry in most countries. The response is asymmetric only in Brazil and Peru. A possible explanation for this asymmetry is the 'fear of floating' that induces side-effects on interest rates and inflation, which the market considers 'bad news'. The opposite direction of the asymmetry may be explained by the particular characteristics of each economy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2008
45. THE DETERMINANTS OF RELATIVE PRICE VARIABILITY: FURTHER EVIDENCE FROM ARGENTINA.
- Author
-
CARABALLO, MARÍA ANGELES and DABÚS, CARLOS
- Subjects
- *
PRICE inflation , *PRICE variance , *VARIANCES , *MACROECONOMICS - Abstract
This paper analyses the relative price variability (here after, RPVI) for Argentina from 1960 to 1993. We have distinguished a first period (1960-1975) with a moderate and stable inflation and a second one (1975-1993) with four inflation regimes: moderate, high, very high and hyperinflation. Results show that for the high, very high, and hyperinflation regimes, volatility and all components of inflation are relevant in explaining RPVI; but for the moderate regime, volatility and uncertainty are insignificant, and the impact of expected and unexpected inflation shocks depends on whether inflation is stable or not. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2008
46. METODOLOGÍA PARA ESTIMAR UN INDICE REGIONAL DE COSTO DE VIVIENDA EN CHILE.
- Author
-
Paredes, Dusan and Aroca, Patricio
- Subjects
- *
METHODOLOGY , *PRICE indexes , *HOME prices ,HOUSING & economics - Abstract
The aim of this article is to develop a methodology for a spatial or regional cost index of housing that considers spatial differentials across regions. Using microdata from the Chilean survey CASEN 2003, it is showed that a spatial or regional housing price index based on the weighted mean or the estimators of hedonic price equations might lead to biased results due to spatial heterogeneity. The potential bias is reduced by matching the houses in a region with a clone in the Metropolitan Region, according to own and neighbors' characteristics using propensity scores. As a result a very different pattern of spatial cost of housing arises. Finally, using a Fisher ideal price index, the paper proposes a spatial or regional cost index of housing that shows price differences for homogeneous houses across regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2008
47. ECONOMIC REFORMS, FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT AND GROWTH: LESSONS FROM THE CHILEAN EXPERIENCE.
- Author
-
Harnández, Leonardo and Parro, Fernando
- Subjects
- *
ECONOMIC development , *ECONOMIC reform , *GROWTH rate , *FINANCIAL performance ,ECONOMIC conditions in Chile, 1918- - Abstract
Despite reform efforts, the economic performance of Latin American countries during the 1990's was disappointing with the exception of Chile, which grew at almost 7% per year. This paper tries to explain this difference. Following recent literature that highlights the role played by institutions and policies on economic growth, we estimate a cross-section econometric model over the 1960-2005 period and find that Chile's better performance can largely be explained by a combination of better institutions and reforms that have been deeper and broader in scope than those in the rest of Latin America. In addition, we estimate that improving institutions in other Latin American countries to the Chilean standard would have increased per-capita GDP growth rates by about one and a half percentage points. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2008
48. INTEREST RATE PASS-THROUGH IN COLOMBIA: A MICRO-BANKING PERSPECTIVE.
- Author
-
Betancourt, Rocío, Vargas, Hernando, and Rodríguez, Norberto
- Subjects
- *
MONETARY policy , *TRANSMISSION mechanism (Monetary policy) , *INTEREST rates , *BANKING industry - Abstract
Banks and other credit institutions are key players in the transmission of monetary policy, especially when the responses of deposit and loan interest rates to shifts in policy rates are among the most important channels. This pass-through depends on the conditions prevailing in the loan and deposit markets, which are, in turn, affected by macroeconomic factors. Hence, when setting their policy, monetary authorities must take into account those conditions and the behavior of banks. This paper shows this point using a micro-banking model and presents supporting empirical evidence based on monthly data for Colombia between 1999 and 2006. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2008
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
49. COSTOS DE TRANSACCIÓN Y FORMAS DE GOBERNACIÓN DE LOS SERVICIOS DE CONSULTA EN COLOMBIA.
- Author
-
Torres, Sergio, García, Rafael Guillermo, and Quintero, John Jairo
- Subjects
- *
HOSPITALS , *INSURANCE companies , *TRANSACTION costs - Abstract
This paper evaluates the extent to which the establishment of the different governance forms linking hospitals to insurance companies in Bogotá is carried out taking into account transaction costs reduction criteria. An empirical test is applied, using the transaction dimensions proposed by Williamson (1985). Hypotheses are tested by a combination of the acceptability analysis stochastic method and multiple discriminant analysis. We conclude that both hospitals and insurance companies seek to reduce production costs, while transaction costs are not relevant to the decision. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
50. ¿CUÁNTO DURA EL DESEMPLEO DE LA POBLACIÓN MÁS POBRE EN CHILE?
- Author
-
Montero, Rodrigo
- Subjects
- *
ECONOMIC indicators , *UNEMPLOYMENT , *PARAMETER estimation , *INDIGENOUS peoples - Abstract
This paper analyzes the determinants of the unemployment spells for the beneficiaries of "Chile Solidario", a conditional cash-transfer program. The evidence on unemployment spells for Chile is scarce. Employing the Kaplan-Mehier's non-parametric estimator, I found that at the beginning of the unemployment spell there exists a high probability of leaving unemployment. This probability reaches its peak on the seventh month, after which, it declines. Moreover, parametric estimations show that factors such as belonging to the indigenous population, being between 45 and 54 years old, being woman and having low education, increase the spell of unemployment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
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