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The Yangtze finless porpoise (Neophocaena asiaeorientalis asiaeorientalis) is the world's only freshwater porpoise and is endemic to the Yangtze River. However, it is now Critically Endangered, with its long-term survival very uncertain due to escalating anthropogenic pressure. Recent census data indicate an accelerating rate of decline, meaning that the time remaining in which to save this endemic porpoise may be shorter than previously anticipated. In this study, we used VORTEX models to project population trends and estimate the time to extinction (TE) for wild Yangtze finless porpoise populations in the Yangtze River, Dongting Lake and Poyang Lake, and for the “semi-natural” porpoise population in the Tian'e-Zhou oxbow reserve, using the most recent available baseline population data. The median predicted TE was 25–33 years in the Yangtze River and 37–49 years overall in the wild at the current rate of decline. However, the actual TE is very likely to be shorter than this estimate. For the Tian'e-Zhou population, the VORTEX model predicted a provisional increase in the number of porpoises, but a high extinction risk with increasing inbreeding depression. These findings highlight the very narrow time window within which effective conservation measures need to be undertaken. We address the need to establish a network of “reintroduction refuges” to preserve as many porpoise individuals as possible through coordinated translocations. Actions to restore the movement of porpoises between the main Yangtze channel and its appended lakes, reduction of mortality rates in lake habitats, and restoration of ecosystem function in the Yangtze River should also be implemented with a catchment-wide perspective.

Shipping has increasingly become a major threat to cetaceans due to its direct effect (e.g. ship strikes) and indirect effects (e.g. noise and habitat displacement). Most previous studies have focused on the deleterious effects of shipping traffic on marine species, while the effect of shipping on freshwater cetaceans has received little attention. The Yangtze River is a major trade artery in China, and shipping traffic there caused deaths of the now-extinct Yangtze river dolphin or baiji (Lipotes vexillifer). Here, we examine the distributional overlap of another cetacean species, the critically endangered Yangtze finless porpoise (Neophocoena asiaorientalis asiaorientalis) and cargo ships in a busy section of Yangtze River from Ezhou to Zhenjiang City. We use vessel-based survey data from 2006, 2012, and 2017 to quantify the distribution of porpoise. We use satellite images to quantify the distribution of cargo vessels travelling upstream. Most porpoise were concentrated within 300 m of the river banks. Shipping increased by 65% from 2006 to 2017, and ~ 60% of the upstream vessels was also within 300 m of the banks. This increase in shipping may have caused an observed shift in porpoise distribution away from the banks after 2006. Enhanced enforcement of existing shipping regulations that limit vessels to established shipping lane and set refuges in the side channels could help reduce the distributional overlap of porpoise and ships and aid in porpoise conservation. This could be applied and benefit the cetacean conservation under continued growth of shipping in rivers.

The Yangtze finless porpoise (Neophocaena asiaeorientalis asiaeorientalis), has experienced rapid declines in recent decades. We estimate its abundance based on surveys conducted between November and December 2017 in the main-stem of the Yangtze River and adjacent Poyang and Dongting Lakes. We compare these to published abundance estimates from 2006 and 2012, using a bootstrap resampling approach to make inference about population change over the 2006–2017 time period. Encounter rates of porpoise from additional surveys during this period provided another index for evaluating temporal changes in abundance in Poyang and Dongting Lakes. As of December 2017, free-ranging populations of this species are estimated at 1012 (95%CI: 791–1233) individuals of which 445 (95%CI: 295–595) occur in the main stem of the Yangtze River, 457 (95%CI: 329–634) in Poyang Lake, and 110 (95%CI: 65–187) in Dongting Lake. Porpoise numbers in main-stem of the Yangtze River and Dongting Lake declined rapidly from 2006 to 2012 (mean annual rates of −14% and −12%, respectively). These rates of decline greatly eased from 2012 to 2017 (−2.5% and +3% annual growth, respectively). In Poyang Lake, the encounter rates of porpoise have remained relatively stable between 2006 and 2017. This improved population trajectory was likely a joint consequence of government and public conservation efforts. However, fragmentation of porpoise populations in Yangtze River main-stem and significantly reduced migratory movements between the two adjoining lakes and the Yangtze main stem pose a continued threat to the long-term viability of this species. Further actions to improve habitat connectivity are urgently needed.

For the conservation of endangered animals to be effective, information on population distribution and abundance requires regular updating from census efforts. The Yangtze finless porpoise (Neophocaena asiaeorientalis asiaeorientalis) has recently been reclassified as critically endangered (CR) due to a rapid decline in abundance. Baseline measures currently used for identifying extinction risk and implementing conservation actions may lag behind the actual demographic trend of a population and, thus, should be updated frequently. In this study, we report the results of a line transect survey of porpoises conducted in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River in 2012. Five hundred and five porpoises (95% CI = 348 to 662, CV = 15.86%) remain in the main stem of the Yangtze River, mostly concentrated between Ezhou and Zhenjiang. Our results reveal that the decline in the Yangtze finless porpoise population is more rapid than previously estimated. The porpoise distribution has become more restricted and fragmented with two new gaps in their distribution. We show that the extinction risk for the Yangtze finless porpoise population has increased substantially and, hence, the expected time to extinction has moved closer. Current conservation methods are insufficient and ineffective, and need to be revised. More active conservation actions, such as enforcing year-long fishing bans in the in situ reserves and building more ex situ reserves, should be implemented urgently. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, China. It is the only freshwater population of porpoises in the world and is currently listed as Endangered by IUCN. In November and December 2006 we used two boats and line transect methods to survey the entire current range of the population, except for two lakes (Poyang and Dongting). Sighting results were similar for both boats, so we pooled all data and analyzed them using two line transect models and a strip transect model. All models produced similar estimates of abundance (1111, 1225 and 1000). We then added independent estimates of the number of porpoises from the two lakes for a total estimate of approximately 1800 porpoises. Our findings indicate that the population continues to decline and that its distribution is becoming more fragmented. Our current estimate in the main river is slightly less than half the estimate from surveys between 1984 and 1991 (which was probably an underestimate). We also found an apparent gap in the distribution of porpoises between Yueyang and Shishou (similar to 150 km), where sightings had previously been common. Continued threats to Yangtze finless porpoises include bycatch in unregulated and unselective fishing, habitat degradation through dredging, pollution and noise, vessel strikes and water development. Immediate protective measures are urgently needed to ensure the persistence of finless porpoises in the Yangtze River. The survey design and analytical methods developed in this study might be appropriate for surveys of cetaceans in other river systems. (c) 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.