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Using data from a panel of 15 countries over the period 1990-1998, the determinants of the use of noncash payment instruments are analysed. The estimation results highlight the importance of distinguishing between the determinants of the value and volume of noncash transactions. It is found in fact that the volume of these transactions is generally affected by changes in the determinants more strongly than their value, and that variables such as the interest rate have a different impact on the volume and the value of the transactions. The findings also suggest that past habits play a dominant role in the intensity of use of noncash payment instruments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article examines the usefulness of the NAIRCU, the 'non-accelerating inflation rate of capacity utilization' as a demand indicator of inflation for eight European countries. So far the NAIRCU has been estimated for the USA only, where it serves as a useful indicator for inflation. In most European countries, deviations from the equilibrium level of capacity utilization influence inflation significantly. Further, the results not only indicate that in more recent periods the NAIRCU has shifted upward, indicating higher efficiency of the production process, but also that confidence intervals have increased over time reducing the usefulness of the NAIRCU somewhat. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The empirical relationship among fiscal contractions, permanent improvement in public finances and short-run economic performance is examined using a sample of 14 European countries over the last three decades. The actual experience of policy-making has taught that only the adjustments that relied heavily on primary expenditure cuts and were implemented over a relatively long time span were able to achieve a long lasting reduction of public liabilities. Indeed, during these consolidations, tax increase amounted to a small fraction of the total adjustment. Furthermore, though they unfolded over a longer period with respect to the unsuccessful ones, the overall budget cut was not larger. As regards the macroeconomic impact, successful episodes tended to be associated with improved economic performance. During the adjustment period and in the following two years, the economies experienced strong consumption and investment growth, reduced unemployment, better international competitiveness and falling interest rates. This empirical evidence is here interpreted via the theory known as expectation view of fiscal policy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Examines the convergence properties of productivity among European countries over the period of 1960 to 1997. Use of modified translog production systems to estimate productivity; Estimation of production function with the use of econometric techniques; Application of stationarity tests to examine convergence in common long-run trend.

The relationship between international trade and economic growth has been an area of interest to many researchers in recent years. Although the literature is broad with respect to this topic, few studies have focused on the particular effect of cultural exports and imports on economic growth. This study addresses the relationship between trade in cultural goods and economic growth for 31 countries in Europe for the period 2004–2017, through a vector error correction model (VECM). A panel Granger causality test and a system generalized method of moments (GMM) are also utilized in this study. Cultural trade is characterized by exports and imports of cultural goods. The results indicate there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between gross domestic product, total exports, capital formation and labour force. Cultural exports and imports have a positive effect on GDP in the long run. In the short run, there is Granger causality of cultural imports on economic growth, total exports, total imports and capital formation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The macro evidence of increased adjustment pressure since the early 1970s suggests that job mobility should have increased. Hence, retrospective and spell data from the German Socio-Economic Panel are combined in order to test the hypothesis that job stability for German workers declined between 1974 and 1994. Using count data regression models in which we control for labour market experience, various demographic factors, and occupation, we find that job stability did not decrease, but if anything increased, between 1974 and 1994. Our finding suggests that labour market inflexibility is an important factor in explaining the European unemployment problem. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Although the new IFRS standards are considered an improvement for financial transparency, derivatives reporting remains subject to criticism by professional observers due to its complexity. Indeed, derivatives reporting could easily be used for earnings management. In this article, we analyse half a dozen earnings management proxies before and after the mandatory adoption of a battery of IFRS standards in 2013 and 2014 by European firms. Among others, IFRS 13 and IFRS 11 featured impactful requirements for the financial reporting of listed companies. Our results show that following the adoption of these standards, earnings management has faded except for firms using derivatives. These results suggest that the 2013–2014 IFRS standards package has improved the accounting quality of European-listed firms but that the flexibility and lack of guidance in the new standards regarding derivatives reporting are used by managers to manage earnings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The article uses the input-distance function for estimating, within the framework of a fixed-effects panel data, the cost of allocative inefficiency in multiproduct public railways. The procedure used is the same as that used to estimate cost-function shares. The distance-function approach, however, allows an immediate estimation of the cost of an inefficient usage of each input, whereas the cost-function approach requires a two-step procedure: one can first estimate excess input usage and then compute the overall cost of that excess usage. This gives to the distance function another advantage over the cost function. The procedure was applied to the estimation of allocative (input price) efficiency of four European railway systems. Comparative analysis has revealed the level of excess input expenditure and its variation over time. Contrary to commonly held views, the evidence shows that the extent of the deviation from an allocatively efficient behavior by public railway systems can be very high.

It is a peculiar feature of European banking markets that, in almost every country, a handful of large banks tend to emerge over time, whether through government encouragement, or the workings of the market mechanism. From a general perspective, however, it is difficult to evaluate the competitive implications of increased concentration. The traditional structure-conduct-performance (SCP) paradigm would suggest that increased concentration fosters collusion and anti-competitive practices whereas the efficiency hypothesis suggests otherwise. This paper presents tests of the two hypotheses with respect to the European banking industry using pooled and annual data for the period 1986 to 1989. The results generally support the traditional SCP paradigm as an explanation for the market behaviour of European banks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper assesses the extent and sources of the UK's comparative advantage within the European Union (EU). It finds that both inter-industry and intra-industry trade are important despite clear aggregation effects. Having established that there is a significant degree of inter-industry specialization the sources of this are analysed, using a factor-content approach. Results are reported for aggregate factors of production and, in the case of labour, by disaggregated skill categories. A key finding is that the UK's net trade with the EU is driven more by a specialization in specific types of skill than by an overall endowment of human capital. The results also suggest that the inter-industry specialization cannot be explained by comparative advantage alone. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper aims at investigating the behavior of risk premia of currencies participating in the European Monetary System (EMS) against the dollar. For this purpose a multivariate GARCH-in-mean model is specified, allowing the risk premia of EMS currencies other than the deutschmark to be determined as a function of their conditional covariance with the deutschmark/dollar exchange rate. The risk premium of the latter is determined by its own conditional variance. The model is able to capture the time-varying character of the relationship between EMS currencies and the deutschmark. Furthermore, the model allows us to examine how changes in the conditional variances and covariances of future exchange rates affect the level of current exchange rates. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In post-1992 Europe, capital will tend to flow to areas of lowest unit output cost. Differences in the quality of labour-management relations, here proxied by strike activity, could be an important component of such costs. The performance of strike models for EC member states is examined, paying particular attention to the evidence for reaction equality to macroeconomic stimuli and for the existence of 'strike waves'. Both hypotheses are rejected, meaning, firstly, that there is no justification for data-pooling but, secondly, that member states are free to pursue policies to improve their industrial relations environments without fear that they will be undermined by developments elsewhere.
This paper, therefore, provides an initial analysis of inter-EC strike patterns, beginning, in Section II, with a brief presentation of the stylized facts. Section III then evaluates the performance of certain aggregate strike models which have recently found favour in the literature, in an EC context. This is followed, in Section IV, by an investigation of two important questions. The first seeking to establish whether the responses of EC strike patterns to macro-stimuli are equal across members and the second aiming to identify whether there are omitted common influences from the strike models which could indicate the existence of strike-waves. Finally, Section V summarizes and concludes the work. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper demonstrates that the relative price of health care could be used to explain the conflicting results of the empirical studies which attempt to measure the income elasticity of demand. Our empirical results, based on a conventional model and cross-national data set for the EC, show that whereas health care may be labelled as a luxury good, the large income effect can be interpreted as merely offsetting the price effect. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper we examine the relationship between consumers' opinions as proxied by a survey-based confidence index and measurable economic variables in four major EC countries. We are particularly interested in the impact of foreign factors, such as the price of oil and the exchange rate. Several studies have attempted to assess the usefulness of the information contained in consumer surveys. Studies by Hymans (1970), Fair (1971), Shapiro (1972), McNeil (1974)for the US and by Vanden Abeele (1983) for the main EC countries have concluded that indexes of consumer sentiment do not contain much useful information since they can be explained by a small number of economic variables. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper considers a version of the time-series model and estimates it for five European countries, with a specification to explain variations in mortality rates in terms of income and unemployment variations. Ideally it would be some measure of health status, not mortality rates, which would be best suited to the problem, but no such measure has been agreed within each country even before consideration of cross-country comparability. Mortality rates, while representing the complete absence of health, at least have the merit of being measurable and available for each of the countries included. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The objectives of this paper are to test the relative version of the law of one price in the short and the long run at various levels of aggregation for traded goods. The use of an error-correction model is made to test the validity of the hypothesis in the short run with a built-in tendency to one price in the long run. Using unit value trade data at the aggregate, 2-digit and 3-digit levels of the Standard International Trade Classification, the law of one price is generally rejected in the short run, although a long-run proportional relationship between prices is often found. An intriguing feature of the results is that when data on the prices of fairly homogeneous products are used the hypothesis is rejected both in the short and long run. This suggests that non-price changes which are likely to be incorporated in unit values are probably gradual and affect EEC countries in a similar manner. Price changes, however, are somewhat erratic and hence with unit-value data, the law of one price in the long run is not contradicted, while it is refuted at the desegregated level when price data are used. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The purpose of this paper is to evaluate ECR's hedging performance and to consider the implications of the findings for corporate management of foreign exchange risk. Specifically, this study is aimed to determine if the ECR advisory service possesses 'expertise'. In a way, the evidence on the performance of ECR is clearly related to the efficient market theory. Concentration on ECR's performance is unique in comparison to Goodman (1979) and Levich (1980) studies in the sense that this study evaluates a specific hedging recommendation rather than a prediction of the future spot rate. Finally, it is hoped that on the basis of additional empirical evidence on the subject of foreign exchange advisory services some conclusions can be drawn about the usefulness of these forecasts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Studies of the demand for tourism, the results of which have appeared in economics journals, are still few in number. The reasons for this are twofold: the special nature of tourism demand and the lack of adequate data.
There are several reasons why tourism represents an unusual form of demand (see Schulmeister, 1979). First, it is a demand for a 'bundle' of goods and services: as such, no production sector 'tourism' actually exists, which casts doubt for some on the existence of tourism as a concrete economic entity. Second, as tourism is conventionally defined (United Nations, 1978), demand for it is of two types: tourism as private consumption (demand of private households) and tourism as part of production (business trips). These components could be subject to different influences and/or the same influences but to differing degrees, yet very often it is impossible to examine each component in isolation. Third, tourism goods and services are not transported to their users, but rather the consumers are transported to the goods and services. As a result, transport costs and facilities assume an importance for tourism which far exceeds that for merchandise trade and, also, tourist flows are far more susceptible to noneconomic influences such as political instability, sporting events and other special influences.
The purpose of this paper is to extend this work: first, by analysing by means of a system of demand equations the share of each European country in total US tourist expenditure in Europe between 1964 and 1981 and, second, by formalizing the link with economic theory more fully than was done in previous studies. Market shares of US tourist expenditure in Europe. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The time series properties of unemployment rates for Germany, Japan, the UK and the US are re-examined. Evidence of nonlinear structure in the residuals of the most parsimonious linear ARMA models is reported for all countries except Japan. Modelling this nonlinearity using SETAR models suggests strong asymmetry in unemployment dynamics and the presence of a possible limit cycle for the UK. However, residual diagnostics for these models indicate remaining structure. Alternative TAR models conditioned on past growth rates of industrial production yield substantial reductions in residual variance over both linear and SETAR counterparts, iid residuals in all cases other than the US, and threshold values at or very near zero, clearly identifying the asymmetric behaviour of unemployment during expansionary and contractionary phases of the business cycle. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper examines the impact on stock price predictability that the removal of exchange controls had on major European countries during the late 1970s and 1980s. It is found that for Germany, Switzerland and France, the removal of exchange controls led to an increase in the interdependence between these and other markets. In contrast, there is little evidence of an increase in interdependence for the UK and Italy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Policy uncertainty (PU), and sustainability disclosure, influence the performance of the firms. We use European data to extend the nascent literature on sustainability disclosure, and economic policy uncertainty by investigating the moderating impact of sustainability disclosure on the relationship between economic policy uncertainty and firm performance. We find overwhelming evidence that policy uncertainty reduces firm performance; however, sustainability disclosure moderates this destructing impact of policy uncertainty on firm performance. Our results show that environmental and social disclosure by the European firms enhances their reputation and help these firms in reducing the policy-induced uncertainty. A higher governance disclosure representing efficient corporate governance also help European firms to moderate the negative effect of policy uncertainty on their performance. Our results are robust to alternate proxies of firm performance as well as endogeneity issues. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We identify the network structure of spillovers and time-varying spillover intensities across European sovereign credit markets proposing a novel Copula-Granger causality based structural vector auto-regressive (SVAR) approach. Via the proposed framework, we examine the topological and time-varying spillover and contagion between 13 European credit markets, which is found to be consistent with crisis events. The heterogeneity in directional impacts could be useful in revealing contagion effects across the credit markets. We also find that newly proposed surprise and uncertainty indexes, among other macro-economic variables, significantly explain the spillover dynamics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The banking sector and the stock market in Europe have been adversely impacted by a series of global financial crises over the last two decades. Major financial reforms were implemented to enhance the stability and competition within the banking sector. Measures were also implemented to create a vibrant stock market in Europe to stimulate economic growth in Europe. This study examines the interactions between stock market development, banking competition, and banking stability in European countries from 1996 to 2016. The purpose of the study is to understand the inter-linkages between these variables to ascertain the spillover impact of policy reforms in the banking sector on the stock market and vice-versa. Using a vector error-correction model, the study finds long-run and short-run inter-linkages between banking competition, banking stability, and stock market development in European countries. The study's most robust result is that banking competition and banking stability stimulate stock market development in the long run. There is also some evidence that healthy competition in the banking sector and stock market development instils greater stability in the banking sector. The results suggest that policy measures put in place to create a vibrant stock market must include elevating banking competition and banking stability, with policymakers being cognizant that causality may be bidirectional. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article investigates the relationship between firm's R&D intensity, expressed as R&D expenditure over sales, and investment intensity in tangible assets. It is commonly acknowledged that R&D requires additional physical investment to be implemented. R&D increases a firm's productivity and return to tangible investments, thus, providing to the firm incentives to bear high tangible capital costs and to invest more. This represents a crucial issue for a firm's growth, particularly considering the strong interaction between physical capital accumulation and technological progress. The analysis is based on a large sample of manufacturing firms across seven European countries in the period 2007-2009. Since the sub-sample of firms performing R&D might not be random, there may potentially be an endogeneity issue. The analysis also considers that firms may decide to spend on R&D and investment in physical capital simultaneously. The questions of both endogeneity and simultaneity are dealt with by employing an instrumental variable two-step procedure. We find a positive and significant impact of R&D intensity on firms' tangible investment intensity. The econometric results highlight the importance of financial factors, particularly with respect to firms' internal resources. Exposure to international trade has a negative impact on investment, possibly depending on the time-span of the sample used. Abbreviations: Technological Innovation and R&D; Investment Capital; Industry Studies; Firm Behavior; Empirical Analysis [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Utilizing a European panel dataset, we contribute to the scant empirical literature on the lawyer-induced litigation hypothesis. To address endogeneity problems that arise when estimating the effect of the number of lawyers on civil litigation rates, we use two strategies. We first estimate our model by means of the 2SLS procedure. Second, we exploit the instrumental variable approach based on the linear GMM estimator of Arellano and Bond. The estimations result in a positive and significant effect of lawyers that is robust across the different model specifications and estimation methods in which we address endogeneity. In criminal litigation, where lawyers cannot induce demand, we find no such positive relation between lawyers and litigation. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

Numerous theoretical and empirical studies provide evidence of a positive correlation between eco-innovation and environmental regulation. However, few analyses explain how environmental policies drive eco-innovation. This article studies eco-innovation-friendly mechanisms in the design of European REACH (Registration, Evaluation, Authorization of Chemicals) regulation. The aim of REACH, which became effective in 2007, is ‘to ensure a high level of protection of human health and the environment while improving competitiveness and innovation’ which makes it appropriate and original for analysing the relationship between environmental regulation and eco-innovation. The primary contribution of this article is to provide a new theoretical and empirical perspective on eco-innovation by showing how design regulation is able to push and pull the environment innovation, based on an original survey related to REACH regulation. The econometric model shows that (1) regulatory-push mechanisms seem to be more important drivers than regulatory-pull mechanisms; (2) the process of authorization and the obligation to transmit information throughout the supply chain play an important role in ‘pushing’ eco-innovation, suggesting that policymakers should promote new ‘green knowledge’ to encourage eco-innovation; (3) extending obligations has a significantly positive effect on ‘pulling’ eco-innovation and (4) only well-designed instruments, appropriate for the techno-industrial and institutional contexts in which they are to be applied, lead to innovation. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

While there have been many studies that examine contagion within the Euro-zone, this article investigates the potential contagion from changes in the Greek sovereign risk premium over 2009–2016, as measured by the yield on 10-year government bonds, to six European countries outside of the Euro-zone all of which operated a managed float against the Euro. We find evidence of contagion to potential Euro-zone ascendants (Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland), but ‘flight to safety’ (or safe haven) effects for the United Kingdom, Sweden and Switzerland. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Migrants into European countries are often less educated than European natives. We analyse whether migrants' children are more or less likely than natives' children to achieve upward educational mobility across generations, and study differences in the factors, which contribute to differences in mobility for the two groups. We find that migrants' descendants are more often upwardly mobile (and less often downwardly mobile) than their native peers in the majority of countries studied, and show that the main factor contributing to these patterns is the education level of parents. Although a lower parental education means that their children are less likely to access the same amount of human, social and financial capital as children of more highly educated parents, migrants' descendants over the last two generations were able to make significant progress in reducing education gaps with natives. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The unprecedented expansion of sovereign balance sheets since the beginning of the global crisis has given a new meaning to the termsovereign risk. Developments in Europe since early 2010 revealed new challenges for the functioning of private banks in an environment of heightened sovereign risk and may have contributed to deleveraging. The article uses an innovative way of measuring the perception of sovereign risk and its impact. Using an extension of a common market discipline framework, it shows that exposure to sovereign risk may have limited the ability of banks in Europe to collect deposits. Potential identification issues between deposits and bank efficiency are controlled by using data envelopment analysis (DEA). The results are robust to inclusion of conventional measures of bank performance and the sector-wide holdings of foreign sovereign debt. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

We investigate if accruals quality is a valuable indicator of earnings quality for stock market investors. Our particular focus is on the incremental informative value of taking into account managers’ incentives for using accruals. We propose a market-based approach for assessing the usefulness of this indicator to improve investors’ decisions. Specifically, we examine the association between accruals quality and information asymmetry among stock market participants. Our empirical study uses data on European firms and our results are consistent with a positive association between poor earnings quality and high information asymmetry. However, given some previous studies suggesting that accruals-based measures may be noisy indicators of earnings quality, we develop a method to increase the informational content of the accruals quality measure. Based on our results, we find that combining accruals quality with the dispersion in analysts’ forecasts provides a better indicator of earnings quality rather than only accruals quality. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

Based on a unique composite dataset measuring heterogeneous sports participation, labour market outcomes and local facilities provision, this article examines for the first time the association between different types of sports participation and employment and earnings in England. Clear associations between labour market outcomes and sports participation are established through matching estimation while controlling for some important confounding factors. The results, which are supplemented and supported by a formal sensitivity analysis, suggest a link between different types of sports participation to initial access to employment and then higher income opportunities with ageing. However, these vary between the genders and across sports. Specifically, the results suggest that team sports contribute most to employability, but that this varies by age across genders and that outdoor activities contribute most towards higher incomes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The sale of soccer players is a serious issue for the sustainability of professional teams. This article discusses the efficiency of the values that 183 European soccer teams have received for the sales of their players since 2007. We estimated stochastic frontiers for these soccer teams using stochastic frontier analysis. We found that teams with higher numbers of titles, with huge past acquisitions of players, and achieving good rankings in the previous season tend to receive more transfer inflows. The efficiency of these inflows can be significantly influenced if the team exhibits a long sports history or if the team participates in the Champions League or in the Europa League. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

This study analyses the determinants of dispersion of economic issue mentions in European party manifestos. We examined three main economic domains (governmental control of the economy, free market capitalism and support for the welfare state) as consequences of globalization forces, economic conditions, partisanship and electoral turnout. Employing aggregate-level Comparative Manifesto Project (CMP) data from legislative elections in 15 European countries from 1970 to 2010, we confirm that parties hold a common view of the salience of economic control of the state as a consequence of globalization pressure and economic growth levels. Partisanship of the cabinets (regardless of the political orientation) counteracted issue salience concentration in the welfare domain. Government size favoured dispersion in the free market realm. Our results do not indicate clear homogenization of parties’ economic messages in elections over the last 40 years. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

Although a long tradition exists of studying the economics of education, performance comparisons of different kinds have traditionally been difficult to undertake. An important impediment has been the lack of comparable data. To a large extent, this study remedies the shortcomings of earlier studies. Our contribution is twofold. First, the current higher education policy of contraction and economizing, common to most European countries, make knowledge of potential efficiency gains crucial. Second, a unique database allows us to study a broad diversity of organizations as well as organizations located in a number of different European countries. The study suggests evaluating higher education institution (HEI) performance in a production theory context, applying the well-known data envelopment analysis (DEA) method to a cross section of 944 HEIs in 17 European countries. The DEA approach is particularly suitable in this context where little is known about production technologies and economic behaviour of the HEIs. On average, provision of education is found to be most efficient in the Slovak Republic followed by Belgium and Latvia, while Denmark and Norway display the lowest efficiency. The study also indicates a positive relation between efficiency and HEI size and efficiency and research intensity. Furthermore, the study points to the importance of continued data collection. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

This study aims to improve our understanding of overqualification by incorporating distinctions in employment status (i.e. self-employed workers, private employees and public employees) in the analysis of the incidence, effects, dynamics and routes out of overqualification. To this end, we apply discrete choice – ordered and nonordered – and count models to the data obtained from theEuropean Community Household Panelfor the EU-15. Our results indicate that the incidence of overqualification varies by employment status, where self-employed workers report the lowest occurrence. Furthermore, this analysis suggests that overqualification is a permanent phenomenon and demonstrates that successful pathways out of overqualification differ by employment status. The implications of these results for education and labour market policies are also discussed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We use an integrated approach to analyse the reasons behind the discount on the balance-sheet fair value of illiquid financial instruments held by European banks and classified into the Level 3 Fair Value hierarchy under IFRS 7. We believe that the potential sources of misalignment are (1) the lack of disclosure, (2) earnings management, and (3) the lack of liquidity. We show that the discount implicit in market values is linked to the lack of mandatory additional disclosure required by IFRS 7 and that this result supports the strong enforcement activity made by national authorities. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

The level of income inequality in a European country influences the competitive balance of its major soccer leagues. We test this hypothesis using cointegration techniques for seven male professional soccer leagues (the Dutch, English, French, German, Italian, Spanish and Ukrainian soccer leagues) from the 1980/1981 season to the 2011/2012 season. Controlling for the level of income inequality using variables such as real GDP per capita, trade openness and the emigration rate, we conclude that income inequality (measured by the Gini index) causes changes in the measures of competitive balance that we employ (the Hirschman–Herfindahl index and the SD) concerning the final number of points scored by the various teams. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article studies volatility spillover between the US and the three largest European stock markets (Frankfurt, London and Paris) around the time of the recent Subprime crisis. In order to investigate the impact of the latter, we break our sample down into two sub-periods: a pre-crisis period and a post-crisis period, using a structural break test that has the advantage of endogenously testing for further breaks in the data. Unlike previous studies that have frequently investigated this issue using low frequency data, our article makes use of intraday data. Accordingly, using Threshold generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model estimations, we find weak evidence of volatility transmission between the two regions before the Subprime crisis. However, during the post-crisis period, we record returns and volatility spillover from US to European markets and vice versa at different times of the trading day, indicating that the two regions became more dependent during the recent Subprime crisis, a finding that supports the contagion hypothesis between the US and European stock markets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Empirical investigation (Nowaket al., 2012) points out that vertical intra-industry trade (VIIT) in Europe is the dominant type of intra-industry trade (IIT) in the tourism sector. This article is the first in tourism literature to test separately the determinants of vertically and horizontally differentiated services, using the most recent models in the theory of IIT. We examine bilateral trade among all trading partners of the sample of European countries, covering the period from 2000 to 2008. We show that differences in gross domestic productper capitaand the income-distribution overlap, as well as cultural proximity, are the most significant driving forces behind VIIT for European countries. Geographic distance has a negative effect, whereas specific tourism endowments and relative size of the economies are less conclusive. These results confirm theory predictions and most of the empirical findings related to the pattern of VIIT for the manufacturing sector. As expected, we find that determinants of VIIT cannot explain horizontal intra-industry trade in tourism. We suggest two alternative methods of estimation: generalized least squares logistic function and the fractional logit estimator. We conclude that there are common factors explaining IIT in the manufacturing and tourism trades. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

In this article, we study the duration of public finance cycles in 12 European countries since 1960. We applied periodogram techniques on the levels of fiscal illusion found for these established democracies and tested the statistical significance of the Fourier frequency peaks. Our empirical efforts revealed that most of the cycles in these countries could be characterized as long-term cycles (approximately 30 years), embodying subcycles of approximately 15 years. These findings show that in addition to the commonly studied electoral cycles or real business cycles, our democracies demonstrate extended public finance cycles that extend over various legislative tenures ruled by different political parties. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The aim of this study is to analyse the impact of trade openness on technical efficiency of the European Union’s (EU) agricultural sector. There are no systematic theories linking trade policy to technical efficiency; hence, the relation between trade liberalization and technical efficiency is fundamentally ambiguous. Stochastic frontier analysis is used to model the relationship between EU’s production resources and agricultural output, as well as the importance of trade openness on technical efficiency of a country. The data for 16 of the 28 EU members were available for the period 1980–2007 including land, capital, fertilizer, labour, agricultural GDP, foreign direct investments (FDI), exports and import data. Results indicate that trade openness has an immediate, negative impact on efficiency in the EU agricultural sector. Over time, however, trade openness does increase efficiency. The FDI outflows increase efficiency. This suggests that an initial reduction in capital supply forces EU nations to utilize other factor inputs more efficiently. However, there is the unexamined potential that over time the depletion of capital results in a decrease in efficiency. Finally, formerly communist member-countries of the EU are found to have the lowest technical efficiency scores whereas Southern European nations have the highest efficiency. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

Motivated by the theoretical prediction of the opportunistic behaviour of large banks that face expected public intervention, we test a full and a partial form of the too-big-to-fail (TBTF) hypothesis. The full form of the hypothesis implies the increase in the risk undertakings and profitability of banks that exceed a certain dimension; the partial form of the hypothesis implies only an augmented risk appetite of large banks compared to their smaller counterparts. The examined area is the European banking industry, whose behaviour is observed over the first wave of the present financial crisis (2007/09). The estimation of a quadratic fit that links change in a bank’s credit risk profile and profitability retention rates with a bank’s size suggests the existence of a partial form of the TBTF hypothesis. However, a more precise, local rolling windows estimation of the size sensitivities reveals that large banks – those whose liabilities exceed approximately 2% of the country of origin’s GDP (15% of our sample) – show an increase in credit risk profile and a superior capability of retaining higher ROA scores,vis-à-vis their smaller counterparts. With the caveats of our investigation, we interpret these results as evidence of a full form of the TBTF hypothesis. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

Home bias in consumption refers to consumers strongly preferring domestic over foreign products. However, if the products were to be differentiated, would there then be a taste for country of origin? If this were the case, what would be the market shares if consumers were to only value prices and characteristics and not the brand’s nationality? Using a structural demand, we account for home bias in the European car market and compute the counterfactual market shares in the absence of home bias. We find that home-biased preferences explain more than half of the market shares of domestic car manufacturers in their domestic markets, limiting the role of trade frictions. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

We use financial information on banks from Asia, Europe, North America and Oceania to examine the role of wholesale funding on the transmission of financial crises to bank lending, as well as to study the response of financial institutions in different regions during the crises. We consider the role of wholesale funding during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and Asian Financial Crisis (AFC). Our results suggest that during the GFC, wholesale funding dependence had a negative effect on loans growth across regions, but with substantial regional heterogeneity. The growth of loans from financial institutions in Asia and Europe was consistently sensitive to wholesale funding dependence. Although wholesale funding did not play a significant role in the transmission mechanism of the AFC, a subsample of financial institutions in Asia, who depended more heavily on wholesale funding, experienced a faster loan growth and may have been able to better withstand the crisis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this article, we show that the recent financial crisis has significantly affected the potential total factor productivity (TFP) of the four largest euro area economies, as well as that of the rest of the euro area. We used a reduced-form equation of TFP, based on an approach recently developed by Cahn and Saint-Guilhem (2010). Our empirical findings show that the permanent impact on potential TFP varies across countries from –3.9 points to –1.3 points in Q2 2012. When these losses are incorporated, TFP gaps develop closely in line with capacity utilization rates (CUR). Moreover, in the case of France, including CUR in our TFP model improves the quasi-real-time reliability of TFP gap estimates. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The main objective of this work was to test European regional determinants of sports competitiveness. We studied competitiveness in volleyball, basketball and handball. We developed a theoretical model based on the model proposed by Bernard and Busse (2004) to analyse the effect of regional institutions and sport environments that can interfere with sports competitiveness. To test our model, we constructed an enlarged database for all European NUTS2 since 1995, which we analysed using panel data techniques (censored Tobit models). Our results reveal that the regions that are able to maintain player performance do so by persistent effort and external influences. These factors contribute more to regional competitiveness than a region’s central location or political prominence. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

We investigate the impact of changes in capital of European banks on their risk-taking behaviour from 1992 to 2006, a time period covering the Basel I capital requirements. We specifically focus on the initial level and type of regulatory capital banks hold. First, we assume that risk changes depend on banks’ex anteregulatory capital position. Second, we consider the impact of an increase in each component of regulatory capital on banks’ risk changes. We find that, for highly capitalized, adequately capitalized and strongly undercapitalized banks, an increase in equity or in subordinated debt positively affects risk. Moderately undercapitalized banks tend to invest in less risky assets when their equity ratio increases but not when they improve their capital position by extending hybrid capital or subordinated debt. On the whole, our conclusions support the need to implement more explicit thresholds to classify European banks according to their capital ratios but also to clearly distinguish pure equity from hybrid and subordinated instruments. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

Acquisition announcements influence the stock price of target firms, providing an opportunity for insiders to obtain significant abnormal returns. We study the presence of positive abnormal returns before the announcement date, in target firms, quoted in Euronext markets (Belgium, France, The Netherlands and Portugal) from 2001 to 2007. We investigate whether the pre-announcement run-up of prices can be explained by rumours in the media and the percentage of capital previously owned by the bidding firm, among other factors. We examine cumulative abnormal returns in an event window of 60 days prior the acquisition announcement, with the event date adjusted for the previous disclosure of news about the acquisition, in the media. We compute a run-up index, and find that there are abnormal positive returns before the announcement date, confirming previous studies. We find that a significant part of the run-up is explained by: (i) market anticipation triggered by legitimate sources of information, namely, rumours in the media about the possibility of an acquisition bid and (ii) the percentage of capital previously owned in the target firm, by the bidding firm. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article examines intra-industry information transfers in the European and Japanese electric industry in the wake of the Fukushima nuclear accident. For European conventional utilities, the downward price drift is relatively small and transient in nature. Yet, we find positive and lingering effects of the accident on the shares of alternative electric utilities. Japanese utilities were hit the hardest and the shock seems to be long-lasting. An interesting finding of this article is the abrupt increase (decrease) in the systematic risk of conventional (alternative) electric utilities following the event. In Europe, we could only document a decrease in the idiosyncratic risk of conventional utilities, pointing to enhanced return synchronicity in the conventional power industry. In turn, total risk seems to be stationary around the accident. In rebuttal, idiosyncratic and systematic risks (and consequently total risk) have substantially risen in Japan since the event. Finally, intercept values related to European utilities remained stable around the accident while Japanese utilities incurred a substantial decline in their daily average returns as captured by alpha shifts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Finding proper policy instruments to promote productivity growth features prominently in the Europe 2020 strategy and is central in many national as well as European policy debates. In view of the increased mobility of high-skilled workers in Europe, ongoing globalization and increased interregional and international co-operation, location patterns of innovative activity may be subject to drastic changes. A proper understanding of location patterns of innovative outputs can enhance the effectiveness and efficiency of national and European placed-based innovation policies. Building on the literature on the knowledge production function, the aim of this article is to explain the observed differences in the production of innovative outputs across European regions. Our main research question is whether geographical proximity and social capital are important vehicles of knowledge transmission in Europe. Several other variables are used to control for structural differences across European regions. We find support for the hypothesis that both social capital and geographical proximity are important factors in explaining the observed differences in the production of innovative output across European regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]