Search

Active cigarette smoking was intensively reported to increase the risk of aortic mortality while research on the association between smoking cessation and aortic mortality remains scarce. This study aimed to reconfirm the associations of exposure to cigarettes and smoking cessation associated with aortic mortality in a large Japanese population.In the Japan Collaborative Cohort (JACC) Study, 91,141 residents (57±10 years; men, 43%) who were free of stroke, coronary heart disease, and cancer were followed up from 1989-90 until 2009 during which 110 deaths from aortic dissection and 112 deaths from aneurysm were identified. Cox proportional hazard model was used to estimate multivariable hazard ratios (95%CI) for total and specific aortic mortality.Compared to never smoking, HRs for total aortic mortality were 2.39 (1.40-4.08) for ＜20, 3.57 (2.19-5.83)for 20-39, and 3.92 (2.37-6.48) for ≥ 40 pack-years exposure. Compared to current smoking, HRs for total aortic mortality were 0.42 (0.18-0.97) for 10-15 years, 0.27 (0.11-0.66) for ＞15 years of cessation, and 0.24 (0.13-0.44) for never smoking. Similar inverse dose-response pattern was observed between smoking cessation duration and risk of mortality from aortic aneurysm (p for trend=0.001), but the association with aortic dissection mortality did not reach statistical significance.Cigarette smoking was associated with an increased risk of aortic mortality while smoking cessation was so with a reduced risk among the Japanese population.

This work was supported by Grants-in-Aid for Scientifc Research from the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology of Japan (MEXT) (Monbusho); Grants-in-Aid for Scientifc Research on Priority Areas of Cancer; and Grants-in-Aid for Scientifc Research on Priority Areas of Cancer Epidemiology from MEXT (MonbuKagaku-sho) (nos. 61010076, 62010074, 63010074, 1010068, 2151065, 3151064, 4151063, 5151069, 6279102, 11181101, 17015022, 18014011, 20014026, 20390156, and 26293138); by JSPS Kakenhi grant number JP16H06277; and by a grant-in-aid from the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Health and Labor Sciences research grants, Japan (Research on Health Services: H17–Kenkou–007; Comprehensive Research on Cardiovascular Disease and Life–Related Disease: H18–Junkankitou [Seishuu]–Ippan–012; H19–Junkankitou [Seishuu]–Ippan–012; H20–Junkankitou [Seishuu]–Ippan–013; H23–Junkankitou [Seishuu]–Ippan–005; H26-Junkankitou [Seisaku]-Ippan-001); H29–Junkankitou [Seishuu]–Ippan–003 and 20FA1002).

Objective: To assess dietary behaviours and related lifestyles according to the presence or absence of skipping breakfast. Design: We analysed the cross-sectional data from a baseline survey of a large-scale population-based cohort study in Japan conducted in 2011–2016. Participants provided information on dietary behaviours and lifestyles through a self-administered questionnaire. Skipping breakfast was defined as not eating breakfast at least once a week and was classified according to the frequency of skipping breakfast as 1–2, 3–4 or ≥5 times/week. Setting: Sixteen municipalities in seven prefectural areas across Japan under the Japan Public Health Centre-based prospective study for the Next Generation. Participants: 112 785 residents (51 952 males and 60 833 females) aged 40–74 years. Results: After adjustment for age, socio-demographic status, drinking status and smoking status, individuals who skipped breakfast at least once a week, compared with those who ate breakfast every day, were more likely to have adverse dietary behaviours such as frequent eating out (multivariable OR = 2·08, 95 % CI (1·96, 2·21) in males and 2·15, 95 % CI (1·99, 2·33) in females), frequent eating instant foods (1·89, 95 % CI (1·77, 2·01) in males and 1·72, 95 % CI (1·56, 1·89) in females). They had late bedtime (1·85, 95 % CI (1·75, 1·95) in males and 1·98, 95 % CI (1·86, 2·11) in females) and living alone (2·37, 95 % CI (2·17, 2·58) in males and 2·02, 95 % CI (1·83, 2·21) in females), using the logistic regression model. Conclusions: Both adult males and females who skipped breakfast were likely to eat out, to have a dietary habit of eating instant foods and have lifestyles such as late bedtime and living alone than those who ate breakfast.

Background Breastfeeding is said to prevent overweight and obesity in childhood but the evidence about its long-term impact on body size into adolescence and adulthood is scarce. We sought to examine the association between feeding types and subsequent physical size at the ages of 3, 6, 12, and 22 years. Methods The Ibaraki Children's Cohort (IBACHIL) Study, which began in 1992, involved a cohort of 4,592 Japanese children from 87 communities of a single prefecture whose parents answered health questionnaires about their child's health and life habits at the age of 3 years. Follow-up questionnaires were distributed to the same cohort when they were 6, 12, and 22 years old. Self-reported height and weight, body mass index (BMI), and overweight status at ages of 3 (n = 4,290), 6 (n = 1,999; proportion of participants analyzed = 47%), 12 (n = 2,227; 52%), and 22 (n = 1,459; 34%) years were compared according to feeding type (breastfeeding, formula feeding, and mixed feeding) during infancy. Results At the age of 3 years, multivariable adjusted-mean weight and prevalence of overweight were less for breastfed children than those formula-fed in both boys (weight: 14.6 kg vs 14.7 kg, P = 0.07, overweight: 6.3% vs 9.3%, P = 0.03) and in girls (14.0 kg vs 14.2 kg, P = 0.01 and 10.4% vs 13.6%, P = 0.06). However, there were no statistically significant differences in weight, BMI, and overweight at the ages of 6, 12, and 22 years according to feeding type. Conclusions Breastfeeding may prevent overweight in childhood, but its impact is not significant in adolescence and adulthood.

We aimed to examine the impact of overweight and obesity on mortality from nonrheumatic aortic valve disease.In the Japan Collaborative Cohort Study, we analyzed data of 98,378 participants aged 40-79 years, with no history of coronary heart disease, stroke, or cancer at baseline (1988-1990) and who completed a lifestyle questionnaire including height and body weight; they were followed for mortality until the end of 2009. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate the multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of nonrheumatic aortic valve disease mortality according to body mass index (BMI) after adjusting for potential confounding factors.During the median 19.2 years follow-up, 60 deaths from nonrheumatic aortic valve disease were reported. BMI was positively associated with the risk of mortality from nonrheumatic aortic valve disease; the multivariable HRs (95% CIs) were 0.90 (0.40-2.06) for persons with BMI ＜21 kg/mOverweight and obesity may be independent risk factors for nonrheumatic aortic valve disease mortality in Asian populations.

BACKGROUND Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) is an established causative factor of gastric cancer. Although the expansion of insurance coverage has led to an increase in the number of patients treated for H. pylori, the population impact of eradication treatment for H.pylori has been scarcely investigated. This study aimed to clarify the long-term responses of H. pylori antibody titer after eradication treatment using large scale cross-sectional data from the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study for the Next Generation (JPHC-NEXT Study). METHODS A total of 55,282 Japanese participants aged 40 to 74 years residing in 16 areas provided blood samples between 2011 and 2016. From these, treated (n=6,276) and untreated subjects who were seropositive for H. pylori or had serological atrophy (n= 22,420) formed the study population (n=28,696). Seropositivity was defined as an anti-H. pylori IgG titer of ≥10 U/mL. Antibody level was compared among subjects according to self-reported treatment history as untreated, and treated for less than one year (

To investigate the association between stage 1 hypertension, defined as systolic blood pressure (BP) of 130-139 mmHg or diastolic BP of 80-89 mmHg, in the first and second trimesters and the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes.We analyzed 79,249 singleton pregnancies from a nationwide birth cohort study. BP in the first and second trimesters was classified into normal, elevated, stage1 hypertension, and stage 2 hypertension. We examined the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes in each group using multivariable logistic regression analysis. We also investigated the influence of BP changes between the first and second trimesters on adverse pregnancy outcomes.Overall preterm birth (PTB 37 weeks), early PTB (34 weeks), and small for gestational age (SGA).Stage 1 hypertension in the first trimester was associated with increased risks of overall PTB (aOR, 1.23; 95 %CI, 1.08-1.39), early PTB (aOR, 1.38; 95 %CI, 1.07-1.79), and SGA (aOR, 1.19; 95 %CI, 1.04-1.36) compared to normal BP. These risks were more evident in the second trimester; overall PTB (aOR, 1.87; 95 %CI, 1.64-2.14), early PTB (aOR, 2.21; 95 %CI, 1.69-2.87), and SGA (aOR, 1.38; 95 %CI, 1.18-1.62). The risk of PTB was higher among women with an upward BP trajectory between the first and second trimesters.Stage 1 hypertension in the first and second trimesters was associated with increased risks of overall PTB, early PTB, and SGA. Monitoring the BP trajectory for stage 1 hypertension may be useful for identifying high-risk groups.

We aimed to longitudinally clarify the changes in cardiovascular disease risk factors associated with menopause in Japanese women in the 2000s.Of the 4,596 women who underwent health examinations between 2007 and 2012 in three communities of the Circulatory Risk in Communities Study, 263 women who reported going through menopause during that period were included in the study. We randomly selected 1,665 men as control subjects who participated in a health examination at least once between 2001 and 2009 and at least once between 2010 and 2018 by 1:1 pair-matching for age, community, and examination year. The health examination data from 3 to 6 years before (2001-2009) and after menopause age (2010-2018) were compared in terms of body mass index, systolic and diastolic blood pressure levels, serum total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglycerides, uric acid, hemoglobin A1c, hemoglobin, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, and current smoker status.Compared with the men, the women showed a greater increase in serum total cholesterol (+16.7 vs -3.1 mg/dL, P0.001), non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (+15.9 vs -6.3 mg/dL, P0.001), fasting triglycerides (+1.2 vs +1.0 mg/dL, P = 0.027), triglycerides regardless of fasting status (+1.2 vs -0.9 mg/dL, P0.001), uric acid (+0.5 vs +0.2 mg/dL, P = 0.008), hemoglobin (+0.9 vs -0.3 g/dL, P0.001), aspartate aminotransferase (+2.9 vs -2.7 IU/L, P0.001), and alanine aminotransferase (+2.9 vs -2.6 IU/L, P0.001). No differences were found in the changes in body mass index, systolic and diastolic blood pressures, and hemoglobin A1c between the women and the matched men.Menopause may be a crucial factor related to changes in serum total cholesterol, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglycerides, uric acid, hemoglobin, and liver enzymes.

Aims The 2021 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guideline on cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention categorizes moderate and severe chronic kidney disease (CKD) as high and very-high CVD risk status regardless of other factors like age and does not include estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria in its algorithms, systemic coronary risk estimation 2 (SCORE2) and systemic coronary risk estimation 2 in older persons (SCORE2-OP), to predict CVD risk. We developed and validated an ‘Add-on’ to incorporate CKD measures into these algorithms, using a validated approach. Methods In 3,054 840 participants from 34 datasets, we developed three Add-ons [eGFR only, eGFR + urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) (the primary Add-on), and eGFR + dipstick proteinuria] for SCORE2 and SCORE2-OP. We validated C-statistics and net reclassification improvement (NRI), accounting for competing risk of non-CVD death, in 5,997 719 participants from 34 different datasets. Results In the target population of SCORE2 and SCORE2-OP without diabetes, the CKD Add-on (eGFR only) and CKD Add-on (eGFR + ACR) improved C-statistic by 0.006 (95%CI 0.004–0.008) and 0.016 (0.010–0.023), respectively, for SCORE2 and 0.012 (0.009–0.015) and 0.024 (0.014–0.035), respectively, for SCORE2-OP. Similar results were seen when we included individuals with diabetes and tested the CKD Add-on (eGFR + dipstick). In 57 485 European participants with CKD, SCORE2 or SCORE2-OP with a CKD Add-on showed a significant NRI [e.g. 0.100 (0.062–0.138) for SCORE2] compared to the qualitative approach in the ESC guideline. Conclusion Our Add-ons with CKD measures improved CVD risk prediction beyond SCORE2 and SCORE2-OP. This approach will help clinicians and patients with CKD refine risk prediction and further personalize preventive therapies for CVD.

To examine whether bean intake (including soybeans) among Japanese adults is associated with risk of disabling dementia severe enough to require care under the national insurance system.This cohort study involved 3739 individuals aged 40 to 64 years. The participants were categorized into five groups based on their dietary bean intake estimated by a 24h dietary recall. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals of disabling dementia were estimated using Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for potential confounding factors (smoking, drinking, and intakes of energy and fish).During the 59,681 person-year follow-up, 670 cases of disabling dementia were observed. A weak inverse association between bean intake and risk of disabling dementia was found; the multivariable hazard ratios (95% CIs) were 0.79 (0.62-1.00), 0.80 (0.63-1.01), 0.84 (0.67-1.06), and 0.78 (0.62-0.99) for the four groups with higher bean intake, respectively, compared with the lowest group (P for trend = 0.21). A significant inverse association was observed for dementia without a history of stroke; for the four groups with higher bean intake the multivariable hazard ratios were 0.81 (0.61-1.08), 0.70 (0.52-0.95), 0.71 (0.52-0.95), and 0.69 (0.51-0.92), respectively, (P for trend = 0.03). No such association was observed for dementia with history of stroke. The group with increased natto intake were inversely associated with risk of disabling dementia (P for trend = 0.003), but tofu intake was not (P for trend = 0.19).Bean intake was inversely associated with risk of disabling dementia in those without a history of stroke.

Aims Reports on the association between height and aortic disease have been modest, and there are only a few studies investigating the association between height and mortality from specific aortic disease types or by sex. Methods We conducted the Japan Collaborative Cohort Study, a prospective study of 99,067 Japanese (41,730 men and 57,337 women) aged 40-79 years old. Height was self-reported, and the participants were followed up from 1988-1989 to the end of 2009. Sex-specific hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of mortality from aortic disease type according to sex-specific quartiles of height were analyzed using the Cox proportional hazards model. Results During the median follow-up period of 19.1 years, the numbers of deaths due to aortic aneurysm, thoracic aortic aneurysm, abdominal aortic aneurysm, and aortic dissection were 87, 29, 48, and 56 among men and 35, 17, 15, and 65 among women, respectively. The sex-specific multivariate hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) and p for trend for the highest versus lowest quartiles of height were 1.10 (0.66-1.83), p=0.58 among men and 1.54 (0.85-2.79), p=0.06 among women for total aortic disease; 1.85 (0.80-4.28), p=0.16 among men and 5.67 (0.90-35.77), p=0.08 among women for abdominal aortic aneurysm; and 1.13 (0.48-2.64), p=0.65 among men and 1.70 (0.82-3.50), p=0.04 among women for aortic dissection. The positive association was observed for both sexes, albeit more prominent among women. No association was found between height and mortality from thoracic aortic aneurysms. Conclusions As per our findings, we were able to determine that height was positively associated with mortality from abdominal aortic aneurysm in the Japanese population.

Background The main source of secondhand smoke (SHS) exposure during childhood occurs at home due to close family members who smoke. This study examined the association between childhood SHS exposure and the risk of respiratory disease mortality among non-smoking adults. Methods Data from 44 233 never-smoking Japanese men and women aged 40–79 years who participated in the JACC study between 1988 and 1990 were analyzed. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals of respiratory disease mortality according to the number of smoking family members during childhood. Subdistribution HRs (SHRs) were calculated as a competing risk analysis. Results A total of 735 deaths from respiratory diseases were documented in a median follow-up of 19.2 years. Living with three or more smoking family members during childhood was associated with a higher risk of respiratory disease mortality in adulthood among women; multivariable SHR compared with participants with no family member smokers during childhood was 1.60 (1.01–2.54) for participants with three or more family members who smoked during their childhood. Conclusions SHS exposure from three or more family members during childhood was associated with an increased risk of respiratory disease-related mortality in adulthood.

AIM Reports have shown that physical activity is inversely associated with heart failure risk, but evidence in Asian populations is lacking. We sought to examine the impacts of walking and sports participation on heart failure mortality among a Japanese population. METHODS We involved 36,223 Japanese men and 50,615 women (aged 40-79 years) who completed a self-administered questionnaire between 1988 and 1990. We divided participants into four categories of walking (＜0.5, 0.5, 0.6-1.0, and ≥ 1 h/day) and sports participation (＜1, 1-2, 3-4, and ≥ 5 h/week) and examined associations with activity and heart failure mortality through 2009. RESULTS We found inverse associations between physical activity and heart failure mortality. The multivariable hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for the highest category of walking time compared with the second-lowest category were 0.76 (0.59-0.99) in men and 0.78 (0.61-0.99) in women, while the ratios for the highest category of sports participation time compared with the second-lowest category were 0.62 (0.41-0.93) in men and 1.09 (0.73-1.65) in women. The lower hazard ratios in the highest categories of walking and sports participation time in men became no longer statistically significant after excluding heart failure deaths for the first 5, 10, and 15 years for walking time and 10 and 15 years for sports participation. However, in women, the low hazard ratios for the highest category ≥ 1.0 h/day of walking time did not change materially. CONCLUSIONS Physical activity was associated with a lower risk of mortality from heart failure in this Japanese community-based population. The attenuated and nonsignificant association of walking and sports participation with the risk in men after exclusion of first 5-15 years heart failure death was probably due to changes in physical activity and death certificate diagnosis during the follow-up and reverse causation. However, the persistent inverse association between walking and the risk in women suggests a beneficial preventive effect on heart failure.

Background Aortic aneurysm rupture and acute aortic dissection are life‐threatening conditions and represent an ever‐growing public health challenge. Comprehensive epidemiologic investigations for their risk factors are scant. We aimed to investigate risk factors associated with mortality from aortic diseases through analysis of a community‐based Japanese cohort. Methods and Results IPHS (Ibaraki Prefectural Health Study) comprises 95 723 participants who took part in municipal health checkups in 1993. Factors considered for analysis included age, sex, body mass index, blood pressure, serum lipids (high‐density lipoprotein [HDL] cholesterol, non‐HDL cholesterol, and triglycerides), diabetes, antihypertensive and lipid‐lowering drug use, and smoking and drinking habits. Cox proportional hazards models were applied to evaluate the associations between these variables and mortality from aortic diseases. During the median 26‐year follow‐up, 190 participants died of aortic aneurysm rupture, and 188 died of aortic dissection. An increased multivariable hazard ratio (HR) for mortality from total aortic diseases was observed for high systolic blood pressure (1.61 [1.00–2.59]), diastolic blood pressure (2.95 [1.95–4.48]), high non‐HDL cholesterol (1.63 [1.19–2.24]), low HDL cholesterol (1.86 [1.29–2.68]), and heavy (>20 cigarettes/day) smoking habit (2.46 [1.66–3.63]). A lower multivariable HR was observed for diabetes (0.50 [0.28–0.89]). Conclusions Smoking habit, higher systolic blood pressure and diastolic blood pressure levels, higher non‐HDL, and lower HDL cholesterol levels were positively associated with mortality from total aortic diseases, whereas diabetes was inversely associated.

IntroductionAutoantibodies against inflammatory cytokines may be used for the prevention of atherosclerosis. Preclinical studies consider colony-stimulating factor 2 (CSF2) as an essential cytokine with a causal relationship to atherosclerosis and cancer. We examined the serum anti-CSF2 antibody levels in patients with atherosclerosis or solid cancer.MethodsWe measured the serum anti-CSF2 antibody levels via amplified luminescent proximity homogeneous assay-linked immunosorbent assay based on the recognition of recombinant glutathione S-transferase-fused CSF2 protein or a CSF2-derived peptide as the antigen.ResultsThe serum anti-CSF2 antibody (s-CSF2-Ab) levels were significantly higher in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS), acute myocardial infarction (AMI), diabetes mellitus (DM), and chronic kidney disease (CKD) compared with healthy donors (HDs). In addition, the s-CSF2-Ab levels were associated with intima-media thickness and hypertension. The analyzes of samples obtained from a Japan Public Health Center-based prospective study suggested the utility of s-CSF2-Ab as a risk factor for AIS. Furthermore, the s-CSF2-Ab levels were higher in patients with esophageal, colorectal, gastric, and lung cancer than in HDs but not in those with mammary cancer. In addition, the s-CSF2-Ab levels were associated with unfavorable postoperative prognosis in colorectal cancer (CRC). In CRC, the s-CSF2-Ab levels were more closely associated with poor prognosis in patients with p53-Ab-negative CRC despite the lack of significant association of the anti-p53 antibody (p53-Ab) levels with the overall survival.ConclusionS-CSF2-Ab was useful for the diagnosis of atherosclerosis-related AIS, AMI, DM, and CKD and could discriminate poor prognosis, especially in p53-Ab-negative CRC.

Objectives: Nursing home terminations have increased worldwide due to rising costs, staffing shortages, and the coronavirus disease pandemic. However, little is known about the impact that business operating systems have on nursing home termination.Methods: This study used the National Long-term Care database, which comprised 7,842 operating nursing homes in January 2018. Nursing home termination was identified when nursing homes discontinued provision of long-term care services to all residents between January 2018 and December 2020. Business operating systems that were reimbursed by the LTC insurance system were the exposure of interest. The logistic regression model for nursing home termination included a series of organizational, internal, and external factors as covariates.Results: From 2018 to 2020, 83 (1.1%) nursing homes were terminated. The proportion of reimbursed nursing homes varied greatly depending on the type of business operating systems. Implementing physical function training and improving working conditions were significantly associated with a lower risk of nursing home termination.Conclusion: Financial incentives to several business operating systems are an effective way to build a sustainable environment for nursing homes to continue to exist.

Aim We aimed to examine the impact of high-risk levels of cardiovascular risk factors on the incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in overweight and non-overweight individuals without treatment for the risk factors. Methods A total of 8,051 individuals aged 40-74 years without a history of CVD and/or without treatment for hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, and kidney disease at baseline in 1995-2000 were followed up for a median of 14.1 years. We classified the participants into three risk categories (low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups) on the basis of individual risk factors (blood pressure, serum glucose, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol [LDL-C], and urinary protein) according to the guidelines of Japanese clinical societies. The high-risk group (systolic blood pressure ≥ 160 mmHg or diastolic blood pressure ≥ 100 mmHg, fasting serum glucose ≥ 130 mg/dL or non-fasting serum glucose ≥ 180 mg/dL, LDL-C ≥ 180 mg/dL, proteinuria ≥ 2+) needed to refer to physicians or start treatment immediately. Overweight was defined as a body mass index of ≥ 25 kg/m2. Results Compared with those in the non-overweight low-risk group, the hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence intervals, population-attributable fractions [PAFs]) of CVD in the high-risk categories of blood pressure were 2.0 (1.4-2.9, 7.0%) in the non-overweight high-risk group and 2.9 (1.9-4.3, 6.8%) in the overweight high-risk group. The corresponding HRs (95% confidence intervals, PAFs) of serum glucose were 2.0 (1.2-3.4, 2.5%) and 2.2 (1.1-4.3, 1.5%) in the non-overweight and overweight high-risk groups, respectively. Such associations were not observed for the high-risk group of LDL-C and proteinuria. Conclusions The present long-term observational study implies that targeting persons with non-treated severe hypertension and diabetes is prioritized to prevent CVD regardless of overweight status.

This study aimed to investigate the association between retinal microvascular abnormalities and the risk of incident stroke and its subtypes in the general Japanese population.A total of 12 965 residents aged 40-74 years without a history of stroke and/or coronary heart disease underwent retinal photography during the annual health checkups of four Japanese communities between 1990 and 1999. Retinal microvascular abnormalities, such as the presence or absence of generalized arteriolar narrowing, focal arteriolar narrowing, arteriovenous nicking, enhanced arteriolar light reflex, and retinal hemorrhages were graded using standard protocols.During a median follow-up of 20 years, 817 patients were diagnosed with incident stroke. Retinal microvascular abnormalities were positively associated with the risk of total stroke; after adjustment for age, sex, community, SBP, antihypertensive medication use, and other cardiovascular risk factors, the multivariable hazard ratio [95% confidence interval (CI)] was 1.68 (1.42-1.98), 1.67 (1.34-2.07), 1.41 (1.17-1.72), 1.54 (1.26-1.87), and 1.57 (1.19-2.07) for generalized arteriolar narrowing, focal arteriolar narrowing, arteriovenous nicking, enhanced arteriolar light reflex, and retinal hemorrhages, respectively. Similar positive associations were observed for the risk of stroke subtypes, except for subarachnoid hemorrhage, for which no association was observed. Furthermore, the positive associations were similar in participants with and without hypertension.Retinal microvascular abnormalities were positively associated with the risk of incident stroke in the general Japanese population. Routine retinal photography could provide positive clinical insights into stroke risk stratification independent of blood pressure, antihypertensive medication use, and other risk factors.

Background This study was conducted to examine the impacts of coffee and green tea consumption on cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality among people with severe hypertension. Methods and Results In the JACC (Japan Collaborative Cohort Study for Evaluation of Cancer Risk), 18 609 participants (6574 men and 12 035 women) aged 40 to 79 years at baseline who completed a lifestyle, diet, and medical history questionnaire, and health examinations, were followed up until 2009. We classified the participants into four blood pressure (BP) categories: optimal and normal BP, high‐normal BP, grade 1 hypertension, and grade 2–3 hypertension. A Cox proportional hazard model was used to calculate the multivariable hazard ratios with 95% CIs of CVD mortality. During the 18.9 years of median follow‐up, a total of 842 CVD deaths were documented. Coffee consumption was associated with an increased risk of CVD mortality among people with grade 2–3 hypertension; the multivariable hazard ratios (95% CI) of CVD mortality were 0.98 (0.67–1.43) for Conclusions Heavy coffee consumption was associated with an increased risk of CVD mortality among people with severe hypertension, but not people without hypertension and with grade 1 hypertension. In contrast, green tea consumption was not associated with an increased risk of CVD mortality across all categories of BP.

Aim Seaweed contains soluble dietary fibers, potassium, and flavonoids and was recently reported to be inversely associated with the risk of coronary heart disease and mortality from stroke. However, epidemiological evidence on this issue has remained scarce. Methods At the baseline survey of four Japanese communities between 1984 and 2000, we enrolled 6,169 men and women aged 40-79 years who had no history of cardiovascular disease. We assessed their seaweed intake using the data from a 24 h dietary recall survey and categorized the intake into four groups (0, 1-5.5, 5.5-15, and ≥ 15 g/day). We used sex-specific Cox proportional hazards models to examine the association between seaweed intake and risk of cardiovascular disease (stroke, stroke subtypes, and coronary heart disease). Results During the 130,248 person-year follow-up, 523 cases of cardiovascular disease occurred: 369 cases of stroke and 154 cases of coronary heart disease. Seaweed intake levels were inversely associated with the risk of total stroke and cerebral infarction among men but not among women. Adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors did not change the associations: the hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals; P for trend) for the highest versus lowest categories of seaweed intake were 0.63 (0.42-0.94; 0.01) for total stroke and 0.59 (0.36-0.97; 0.03) for cerebral infarction. No associations were observed between seaweed intake and risks of intraparenchymal hemorrhage, subarachnoid hemorrhage, or coronary heart disease among men or women. Conclusions We found an inverse association between seaweed intake and risk of total stroke, especially that from cerebral infarction, among Japanese men.

Background: The association between overweight and chronic musculoskeletal pain may vary by anatomical site and be modified by hypertension status. This study examined the associations between overweight and low back and knee pains and their effect modification by hypertension status. Methods: We conducted a community-based cross-sectional study involving 2,845 adults (1,080 men and 1,765 women) aged 40–89 years. Chronic knee pain (CKP) and low back pain (CLBP) lasting more than 3 months were categorized into more or less severe pain. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of the association between overweight and more or less severe CKP and CLBP were determined using logistic regression and stratified by hypertension status. Adjustment variables were age, sex, area, hypertension, smoking and drinking status, inactivity, job category, mental stress, depression, and overall CKP or CLBP. Results: Overall, 288 (10.1%) and 631 (22.2%) adults had more and less severe CKP, respectively, and 284 (10.0%) and 830 (29.2%) had more and less severe CLBP, respectively. Overweight was associated with overall CKP and more or less severe CKP, regardless of hypertension status. Overweight was not associated with overall CLBP; its association was more pronounced for more severe CLBP. The association between overweight and more severe CLBP was evident among non-hypertensives (multivariable OR 1.72; 95% CI, 1.09–2.71); however, that between overweight and less severe CLBP was not evident (multivariable OR 1.07; 95% CI, 0.73–1.56). Conclusions: As hypertension may attenuate the association between overweight and CLBP, we should consider hypertension status for proper management of CLBP among overweight individuals.

Background: End-stage renal disease is associated with a high risk of cardiovascular events. It is unknown, however, whether mild-to-moderate kidney dysfunction is causally related to coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke. Methods: Observational analyses were conducted using individual-level data from 4 population data sources (Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration, EPIC-CVD [European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition–Cardiovascular Disease Study], Million Veteran Program, and UK Biobank), comprising 648 135 participants with no history of cardiovascular disease or diabetes at baseline, yielding 42 858 and 15 693 incident CHD and stroke events, respectively, during 6.8 million person-years of follow-up. Using a genetic risk score of 218 variants for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), we conducted Mendelian randomization analyses involving 413 718 participants (25 917 CHD and 8622 strokes) in EPIC-CVD, Million Veteran Program, and UK Biobank. Results: There were U-shaped observational associations of creatinine-based eGFR with CHD and stroke, with higher risk in participants with eGFR values 105 mL·min –1 ·1.73 m –2 , compared with those with eGFR between 60 and 105 mL·min –1 ·1.73 m –2 . Mendelian randomization analyses for CHD showed an association among participants with eGFR –1 ·1.73 m –2 , with a 14% (95% CI, 3%–27%) higher CHD risk per 5 mL·min –1 ·1.73 m –2 lower genetically predicted eGFR, but not for those with eGFR >105 mL·min –1 ·1.73 m –2 . Results were not materially different after adjustment for factors associated with the eGFR genetic risk score, such as lipoprotein(a), triglycerides, hemoglobin A1c, and blood pressure. Mendelian randomization results for stroke were nonsignificant but broadly similar to those for CHD. Conclusions: In people without manifest cardiovascular disease or diabetes, mild-to-moderate kidney dysfunction is causally related to risk of CHD, highlighting the potential value of preventive approaches that preserve and modulate kidney function.

Background and purpose An effect of dietary carotenes on risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is uncertain. We aimed to investigate whether the association between dietary carotenes intake and risk of CVD mortality will persist after controlling for the intakes of potential cardioprotective dietary factors that correlate with dietary alpha- and/or beta-carotenes. Methods and results We followed up a total of 58,646 Japanese between 1988 and 1990 and 2009. We used a food frequency questionnaire (FFQ) to determine the dietary intakes of carotenes, and estimated the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of CVD mortality in relation to carotene intake by the proportional hazard regression developed by David Cox. During 965,970 person-years of follow-up (median 19.3 years), we identified 3388 total CVD deaths. After adjusting for demographic and lifestyle factors, dietary intakes of alpha-carotene were significantly associated with the reduced risk of mortality from coronary heart disease (CHD); adjusted HR (95% CI) in the highest versus lowest quintiles of intake was 0.75 (0.58–0.96; P-trend = 0.02) and dietary intakes of beta-carotene were significantly associated with the reduced risk of mortality from CVD, CHD, and other CVD; adjusted HRs (95% CIs) were 0.88 (0.79–0.98; P-trend = 0.04), 0.78 (0.61–0.99; P-trend = 0.01), and 0.81 (0.67–0.98; P-trend = 0.04), respectively. However, after further adjusting for the dietary intakes of potassium, calcium, vitamins C, E, or K, these associations disappeared. Conclusions —Dietary alpha- and beta-carotene intakes were not associated with risk of CVD mortality after controlling for intakes of other potential cardioprotective nutrients.

Historically, a right bundle branch block has been considered a benign finding in asymptomatic individuals. However, this conclusion is based on a few old studies with small sample sizes. We examined the association between a complete right bundle branch block (CRBBB) and subsequent cardiovascular mortality in the general population in Japan. In this large community-based cohort study, data of 90,022 individuals (mean age, 58.5 ± 10.2 years; 66.2% women) who participated in annual community-based health check-ups were assessed. Subjects were followed up from 1993 to the end of 2016. Cox proportional hazards’ models and log-rank tests were used for the data analysis. CRBBB was documented in 1,344 participants (1.5%). Among all included participants, CRBBB was associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular mortality after adjustment for all potential confounders (hazard ratio [HR] 1.21; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.06–1.38). The increased risk of cardiovascular mortality was particularly evident in women aged

Background: Few studies have provided observational data on long-term trends in the incidence of stroke and its subtypes, and shown the urban–rural disparities of stroke incidence in Japan. Methods: A multiple-source, community-based stroke surveillance was performed since 1963/1964 to determine all first-ever stroke cases among Japanese residents aged ⩾40 years living in the Minami-Takayasu district in Yao city, an urban community, and Ikawa town, a rural community. Sex-specific, age-standardized incidence per 1000/year with 95% confidence intervals was calculated during seven periods of 1963/1964–1971 (urban population (% men): 3242 (47.3%); rural population (% men): 2311 (46.0%)), 1972–1979, 1980–1987, 1988–1995, 1996–2003, 2004–2011, and 2012–2018 (13,307 (46.7%); 3586 (44.8%)). Results: The age-standardized incidence of all strokes in the Japanese urban community decreased from 6.60 to 1.15 per 1000/year for men and 3.28 to 0.59 for women. In the rural community, the corresponding incidence decreased from 11.51 to 1.98 for men and 6.46 to 1.31 for women. Similar reductions were observed in the incidence of intracerebral hemorrhage, subarachnoid hemorrhage, ischemic stroke, and lacunar stroke. In the period of 2012–2018, the incidence ratios (95% confidence intervals) of all strokes for the rural compared to the urban community were 1.72 (1.08–2.75) for men and 2.23 (1.23–4.03) for women. Conclusion: The stroke incidence continued to decline in both urban and rural Japanese communities with the regional disparities over the past half century, whereas it remained higher than that in many Western countries.

Evidence on the risk factors for incident heart failure in Asia has been limited. We sought to identify the risk factors for pre-heart failure or symptomatic heart failure, based on N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), in the Japanese general population.We performed a retrospective cohort study based on the Circulatory Risk in Communities Study involving 5335 Japanese individuals whose NT-proBNP levels were measured between 2010 and 2015. Of these, 2768 people aged between 30 and 69 years who undertook annual cardiovascular risk surveys at least once between 1990 and 2000 were retrospectively eligible to be participants in this study. We performed multivariable logistic regression analyses to calculate the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of pre-heart failure or symptomatic heart failure defined as NT-proBNP400 pg/mL or as having a diagnosis of heart failure and taking medication for heart failure for several cardiovascular risk factors (body mass index, blood pressure, diabetes mellitus, total cholesterol, triglyceride, smoking status, drinking status).We identified 85 cases of heart failure. The multivariable ORs (95% CIs) were 5.70 (2.70-12.0) for body mass index of 27-29.9 kg/mThe accumulation of these risk factors was associated with a graded higher risk of pre-heart failure or symptomatic heart failure.

Purpose To investigate whether and how unhealthy sleep habits (i.e., the frequency of difficulty falling or staying asleep, and the frequency of waking up tired) and the duration of sleep are related to the prevalence of dry eye disease (DED) in a general population. Methods This study included a total of 106,282 subjects aged 40–74 years who participated in a baseline survey of the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study for the Next Generation. DED was defined as the presence of clinically diagnosed DED or severe symptoms. Multivariable-adjusted logistic regression models were used to assess the relationships of various components of sleep status with DED. Results Higher frequencies of having difficulty falling or staying asleep, and waking up tired were significantly related to increased DED in both sexes (Ptrend Conclusions Sleep deprivation and poor sleep quality were significantly related to DED in a Japanese population.

ObjectiveTo examine whether the relationship between smoking cessation and risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) was modified by weight gain.MethodsA total of 69 910 participants (29 650 men and 46 260 women) aged 45–74 years were grouped into six groups by smoking status in the first and 5-year surveys: sustained smokers, recent quitters according to postcessation weight gain (no weight gain, 0.1–5.0 kg, >5.0 kg), long-term quitters and never smokers. Quitting smoking within and longer than 5 years were defined as recent and long-term quitters, respectively. We used Cox proportional hazard models to estimate the HR for incident CVD, coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke.ResultsWe identified 4023 CVDs (889 CHDs and 3217 strokes) during a median of 14.8 years of follow-up. Compared with sustained smokers, the multivariable HR (95% CI) for CVD was 0.66 (0.52 to 0.83) for recent quitters without weight gain, 0.71 (0.55 to 0.90) for recent quitters with weight gain of 0.1–5.0 kg, 0.70 (0.44 to 1.10) for recent quitters with weight gain of >5.0 kg, 0.56 (0.49 to 0.64) for long-term quitters, and 0.60 (0.55 to 0.66) for never smokers. The analysis restricted to men showed a similar association. Prespecified analysis by age suggested that recent quitters overall had a lower HR for CVD among those aged ConclusionsPostcessation weight gain did not attenuate the protective association between smoking cessation and risk of CVD.

Aims Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) have a higher burden of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality than the general population. Endothelial dysfunction has been suggested to play a role in both glomerular filtration rate loss and cardiovascular damage. Thus, the present study aimed to evaluate the relationship between endothelial dysfunction and the prevalence of CKD in the general Japanese population. Methods We conducted a cross-sectional study of 1042 men and women aged 30-81 years in two communities under the Circulatory Risk in Communities Study between 2013 and 2017. Endothelial function was evaluated by percent change of brachial artery flow-mediated dilation (%FMD) before and after the cuff inflation. Results Among the total 1042 participants, there were 62 cases of CKD (~6%). The multivariable odds ratios (ORs) (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) of CKD according to quartiles of %FMD were 2.02 (0.68-5.99), 3.56 (1.27-9.94), and 3.14 (1.10-8.93) for the third to lowest quartile compared with the highest %FMD quartile; p for trend=0.02. The respective multivariable ORs (95% CIs) of CKD in subjects without antihypertensive medication use (39 cases among 886 subjects) were 1.83 (0.46-7.33), 3.41 (0.92-12.61), and 4.60 (1.22-17.31); p for trend=0.01, and that for one-point decrement in %FMD was 1.16 (1.00-1.35); p for interaction with the status of antihypertensive medication use was 0.12. Conclusions Our cross-sectional study suggested the relationship between endothelial dysfunction and the higher prevalence of CKD in the general Japanese population.

Background Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is a serious cause of mortality and disability. AIS is a serious cause of mortality and disability. Early diagnosis of atherosclerosis, which is the major cause of AIS, allows therapeutic intervention before the onset, leading to prevention of AIS. Methods Serological identification by cDNA expression cDNA libraries and the protein array method were used for the screening of antigens recognized by serum IgG antibodies in patients with atherosclerosis. Recombinant proteins or synthetic peptides derived from candidate antigens were used as antigens to compare serum IgG levels between healthy donors (HDs) and patients with atherosclerosis-related disease using the amplified luminescent proximity homogeneous assay-linked immunosorbent assay. Results The first screening using the protein array method identified death-inducer obliterator 1 (DIDO1), forkhead box J2 (FOXJ2), and cleavage and polyadenylation specificity factor (CPSF2) as the target antigens of serum IgG antibodies in patients with AIS. Then, we prepared various antigens including glutathione S-transferase-fused DIDO1 protein as well as peptides of the amino acids 297–311 of DIDO1, 426–440 of FOXJ2, and 607–621 of CPSF2 to examine serum antibody levels. Compared with HDs, a significant increase in antibody levels of the DIDO1 protein and peptide in patients with AIS, transient ischemic attack (TIA), and chronic kidney disease (CKD) but not in those with acute myocardial infarction and diabetes mellitus (DM). Serum anti-FOXJ2 antibody levels were elevated in most patients with atherosclerosis-related diseases, whereas serum anti-CPSF2 antibody levels were associated with AIS, TIA, and DM. Receiver operating characteristic curves showed that serum DIDO1 antibody levels were highly associated with CKD, and correlation analysis revealed that serum anti-FOXJ2 antibody levels were associated with hypertension. A prospective case–control study on ischemic stroke verified that the serum antibody levels of the DIDO1 protein and DIDO1, FOXJ2, and CPSF2 peptides showed significantly higher odds ratios with a risk of AIS in patients with the highest quartile than in those with the lowest quartile, indicating that these antibody markers are useful as risk factors for AIS. Conclusions Serum antibody levels of DIDO1, FOXJ2, and CPSF2 are useful in predicting the onset of atherosclerosis-related AIS caused by kidney failure, hypertension, and DM, respectively.

Aim The fact that low concentrations of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol are associated with the risk of cardiovascular disease is well known, but high-density lipoprotein metabolism has not been fully understood. Apolipoprotein A2 (ApoA2) is the second-most dominant apolipoprotein of high-density lipoprotein. We tested the hypothesis that ApoA2 isoforms are inversely associated with myocardial infarction. Methods We measured the plasma levels of three ApoA2 isoforms (ApoA2-ATQ/ATQ, ApoA2-ATQ/AT, ApoA2-AT/AT) in nested case-control study samples of 1:2 from the Japan Public Health-Center-based Study (JPHC Study): 106 myocardial infarction incidence cases and 212 controls. Results ApoA2-AT/AT was inversely associated with risk of myocardial infarction, in a matched model (OR, 2.78; 95% CI, 1.26-6.09 for lowest compared with the highest quartile), but its association was attenuated after adjustment for smoking only (OR=2.13; 95% CI, 0.91-4.97) or drinking only (OR=2.07; 0.91-4.74), and the multivariable OR was 1.20 (95% CI, 0.41-3.57). Neither ApoA2-ATQ/ATQ nor ApoA2-ATQ/AT was associated with the risk of myocardial infarction. Conclusions Our nested case-control study did not show a significant association of ApoA2 isoforms with a risk of myocardial infarction.

This study aimed to investigate whether the impact of body mass index (BMI) on the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) has changed among the 1960s, 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, and early 2000s in Japan.The study population consisted of residents in Japan aged 40-69 years who had no history of CVD. The baseline surveys have been conducted every year since 1963. We defined the first, second, third, fourth, and fifth cohorts as 1963-1969 (n=4,248), 1970-1979 (n=6,742), 1980-1989 (n=12,789), 1990-1999 (n=12,537), and 2000-2005 (n=9,140) respectively. The participants were followed up for a median of 15 years for each cohort to determine the incidence of CVD. We classified them into four categories (BMI ＜21.0, 21.0-＜23.0, 23.0-＜25.0, and ≥ 25.0 kg/mFrom 1963-1969 to 2000-2005, the prevalence of BMI ≥ 25.0 increased over time. Compared with BMI 23.0-＜25.0, the age-, sex- and community-adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval [CIs]) of CVD for BMI ≥ 25.0 were 1.10 (0.77-1.57), 0.89 (0.68-1.18), 1.03 (0.85-1.26), 1.28 (1.04-1.58), and 1.36 (1.04-1.78)in the first, second, third, fourth, and fifth cohorts, respectively. The corresponding population attributable fractions were 2.0% (nonsignificant), -2.6% (nonsignificant), 0.9% (nonsignificant), 7.6%, and 10.9%. Further adjustment for systolic blood pressure and antihypertensive medication use in the fourth and fifth cohorts attenuated the associations, which may reflect that blood pressure may mediate the BMI-CVD association.The proportion of CVD attributable to overweight/obesity has increased during the periods between 1963-1969 and 2000-2005. The significant associations between overweight/obesity and risk of CVD after the 1990s were mediated by blood pressure levels.

The evidence for the impact of alcohol consumption on long-term mortality among myocardial infarction (MI) survivors was limited. We aimed to examine whether alcohol consumption was associated with cause-specific and all-cause mortality in men with or without a history of MI.A total of 32,004 men aged 40-79 years with no history of MI and 1,137 male MI survivors, free of stroke and cancer, were followed through the end of 2009. Alcohol consumption was assessed using self-administered questionnaires at baseline and five years.In MI survivors, consuming 23-45 g/day of alcohol was associated with a lower risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality compared to never drinkers: the multivariable hazard ratio was 0.36 (95% confidence interval: 0.16-0.80). In non-MI men, a 10-26% lower risk was observed at ＜23 or 23-45 g/day with the U-shaped association for CHD, cardiovascular disease, other causes, and all causes (P-quadratic ＜0.001).Alcohol consumption of 23-45 g/day was associated with a lower CHD mortality in MI survivors as so in men without MI.

Although a positive link between hypertension and intraocular pressure (IOP) has been suggested, the individual effects of systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP and DBP, respectively) on IOP remain unclear, particularly among Japanese populations. Here, we conducted a large-scale, cross-sectional study to determine individual and combined effects of SBP/DBP and hypertension on IOP. In total, 6783 Japanese people aged over 40 years underwent systemic and ophthalmological examinations, including measurements of blood pressure and IOP, conducted using non-contact tonometers. After adjusting for a priori known confounding factors, SBP and DBP levels were found to be positively correlated with IOP levels. The multivariable-adjusted odds ratio when comparing the hypertensive and normotensive groups for the prevalence of ocular hypertension was 1.88 (95% confidence interval, 1.14–3.08). When analysing the combined effects of SBP and DBP on ocular hypertension, SBP elevation had a greater effect on ocular hypertension than DBP increase. In conclusion, SBP and DBP levels and the prevalence of systemic hypertension were found to be positively associated with IOP levels and the prevalence of ocular hypertension in an ophthalmologically healthy Japanese population. Our findings suggest that systemic blood pressure control may be key for controlling IOP.

Background: The health risks associated with moderate alcohol consumption continue to be debated. Small amounts of alcohol might lower the risk of some health outcomes but increase the risk of others, suggesting that the overall risk depends, in part, on background disease rates, which vary by region, age, sex, and year. Methods: For this analysis, we constructed burden-weighted dose-response relative risk curves across 22 health outcomes to estimate the theoretical minimum risk exposure level (TMREL) and non-drinker equivalence (NDE), the consumption level at which the health risk is equivalent to that of a non-drinker, using disease rates from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2020 for 21 regions, including 204 countries and territories, by 5-year age group, sex, and year for individuals aged 15-95 years and older from 1990 to 2020. Based on the NDE, we quantified the population consuming harmful amounts of alcohol. Findings: The burden-weighted relative risk curves for alcohol use varied by region and age. Among individuals aged 15-39 years in 2020, the TMREL varied between 0 (95% uncertainty interval 0-0) and 0·603 (0·400-1·00) standard drinks per day, and the NDE varied between 0·002 (0-0) and 1·75 (0·698-4·30) standard drinks per day. Among individuals aged 40 years and older, the burden-weighted relative risk curve was J-shaped for all regions, with a 2020 TMREL that ranged from 0·114 (0-0·403) to 1·87 (0·500-3·30) standard drinks per day and an NDE that ranged between 0·193 (0-0·900) and 6·94 (3·40-8·30) standard drinks per day. Among individuals consuming harmful amounts of alcohol in 2020, 59·1% (54·3-65·4) were aged 15-39 years and 76·9% (73·0-81·3) were male. Interpretation: There is strong evidence to support recommendations on alcohol consumption varying by age and location. Stronger interventions, particularly those tailored towards younger individuals, are needed to reduce the substantial global health loss attributable to alcohol. Research reported in this publication was supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. S Afzal acknowledges the support for intellectual contributions to this manuscript by the Department of Community Medicine and Epidemiology at King Edward Medical University, Lahore, Pakistan. T Bärnighausen was supported by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation through the Alexander von Humboldt Professor award, funded by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research. L Belo acknowledges support from FCT in the scope of the project UIDP/04378/2020 and UIDB/04378/2020 of UCIBIO and the project LA/P/0140/2020 of i4HB. D Bennett is supported by the UK Medical Research Council Population Health Research Unit at the University of Oxford (Oxford, UK). M Carvalho acknowledges support from FCT in the scope of the project UIDP/04378/2020 and UIDB/04378/2020 of UCIBIO and the project LA/P/0140/2020 of i4HB. L Castro-de-Araujo was funded by the Medical Research Council (UK), Grant no. MR/T03355X/1 and by the National Institute of Mental Health Grant no. R01MH128911. FJ Elgar is supported by the Canada Research Chairs program. F Greaves acknowledges support from the NIHR Applied Research Collaboration for NW London. V K Gupta acknowledges funding support from the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC), Australia. VB Gupta acknowledges funding support from the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC), Australia. C Herteliu is partially supported by a grant from the Romanian National Authority for Scientific Research and Innovation, CNDS-UEFISCDI, project number PN-III-P4-ID-PCCF-2016-0084. C Herteliu is partially supported by a grant from the Romanian Ministry of Research Innovation and Digitalization, MCID, project number ID-585-CTR-42-PFE-2021. S Hussain was supported by the Operational Programme Research, Development and Education –Project, Postdoc2MUNI “(No. CZ.02.2.69/0.0/0.0/18_053/0016952). S M S Islam is funded by the National Health and Medical Research Council and received funding from the National Heart Foundation of Australia. The Serbian part of this GBD-related contribution has been co-financed through Grant OI 175 014 of the Ministry of Education Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia. M Kivimaki was supported by the Wellcome Trust (221854/Z/20/Z), the UK Medical Research Council (MR/S011676/1), the US National Institute on Aging (R01AG056477), and the Academy of Finland (350426). K Krishan is supported by the UGC Centre of Advanced Study (Phase II), awarded to the Department of Anthropology, Panjab University, Chandigarh, India. B Lacey acknowledges support from the UK Biobank, funded largely by the UK Medical Research Council and Wellcome. S Lorkowski acknowledges institutional support from the Competence Cluster for Nutrition and Cardiovascular Health (nutriCARD) Halle-Jena-Leipzig (Germany; German Federal Ministry of Education and Research; grant agreement number 01EA1808A). G Lucchetti received a productivity scholarship from the Brazilian National Council for Scientific and Technological Development — CNPq (Level 1D). J McGrath was supported by the Danish National Research Foundation (Niels Bohr Professor). J McGrath is employed by the Queensland Centre for Mental Health Research (Australia), which receives support from the Queensland Health Department. C Parry acknowleges the South African Medical Research Council. A Peden is supported by a National Health and Medical Research Council Emerging Leadership Fellowship (Grant ID: APP2009306). M R Phillips was supported in part by the Global Alliance for Chronic Diseases - National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC. No. 81761128031). M Pinheiro acknowledges FCT for funding through program DL 57/2016 – Norma transitória. A Rahman acknowledges the support from the Data Science Research Unit in Charles Sturt University (Bathurst, NSW, Australia). U Saeed would like to acknowledge the International Center of Medical Sciences Research (ICMSR), Islamabad, Pakistan. A M Samy acknowledges support from Ain Shams University (Cairo, Egypt) and the Egyptian Fulbright Mission Program. N Senthil Kumar acknowledges the DBT, New Delhi sponsored Advanced State Level Biotech Hub (BT/NER/143/SP44475/2021), Mizoram University (Aizawl, Mizoram, India) for facilitating this work. F Sha is supported by the Shenzhen Science and Technology Program (Grant No. KQTD20190929172835662). A Shetty acknowledges Kasturba Medical College (Mangalore, India) and Manipal Academy of Higher Education (Manipal, India) for all the academic support. R Shrestha acknowledges a career development award from the National Institutes of Health (K01DA051346). D Silva was financed in part by the Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior-Brazil (CAPES)-Finance Code 001 and is supported in part by CNPq - Brazil (309589/2021-5). D Sleet acknowledges partial support from Veritas Management Group, Inc and The Bizzell Group, LLC. S Trias-Llimós acknowledges research funding from the Juan de la Cierva-Formación program of the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation (FJC-2019-039314-I). Sí

This study determined the validity of claims-based definitions for identifying the incidence of total and site-specific cancers in a population-based cohort study.Claims data were obtained for 21 946 participants aged 40-74 years enrolled in the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study for the Next Generation. We defined total and site-specific cancer incidence using combinations of codes from claims data, including diagnosis and procedure codes for cancer therapy. Data from the cancer registry were used as the gold standard to evaluate validity.Among 21 946 participants, 454 total, 89 stomach, 67 colorectal, 51 lung, 39 breast and 99 prostate invasive cancer cases were newly diagnosed in the cancer registry. For invasive cancer, the sensitivity and specificity of the definition that combined codes for diagnosis and procedures for cancer therapy were 87.0% and 99.4% for total, 88.8% and 99.9% for stomach, 80.6% and 99.9% for colorectal, 86.3% and 99.9% for lung, 100% and 99.9% for breast and 91.9% and 99.9% for prostate cancer, respectively. Furthermore, for invasive and/or in situ cancer, the sensitivity and specificity of the definition were 84.5% and 99.5% for total, 66.7% and 99.9% for colorectal and 100% and 99.9% for breast cancer.Our findings suggest that claims-based definitions using diagnosis and procedure codes generally have high validity for total, stomach, lung, breast and prostate cancer incidence, but may underestimate colorectal cancer incidence.

In this study, we aimed to evaluate the association between age at menarche and risk of cardiovascular disease mortality.In total, 54,937 women aged 40-79 years old between 1988 and 1990 without a history of cardiovascular disease were eligible for analysis and were followed through December 2009. We used the Cox proportional hazards models to examine the association between age at menarche and risk of cardiovascular disease.Compared with women with age at menarche of 15 years, the hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of stroke were 1.22 (0.85-1.75) for women with age at menarche of 9-12 years, 1.08 (0.85-1.36) for those of 13 years, 1.23 (1.02-1.47) for those of 14 years, 1.27 (1.07-1.50) for those of 16 years, 1.16 (0.95-1.41) for those of 17 years, and 1.39(1.16-1.68) for those of 18-20 years (P for trend=0.045). A similar pattern was observed for hemorrhagic stroke, ischemic stroke, and total cardiovascular disease. No such association was found for coronary heart disease. When stratified by age, for women aged 40-59 at baseline, the similar U-shaped association was observed. In contrast, for women aged 60-79 years at baseline, a significantly high hazard ratio was noted in the group of late age at menarche, but not in the group of early age at menarche.Both women with early and late age at menarche were determined to have higher risk of death from stroke and cardiovascular disease.

Epidemiological evidence is extremely limited about high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and future coronary heart disease (CHD) events for the general population in countries with low mortality from CHD. Therefore, we investigated the association between hs-cTnT levels and the risk of incident CHD using a nested case-control study in a large Japanese cohort study.The participants were residents of four Japanese communities in the Circulatory Risk in Communities Study (CIRCS). We obtained 120 cases (81 men and 39 women, aged 38-86 years at baseline) of first incident CHD and 240 controls matched by age, sex, communities, and blood sampling term. Serum hs-cTnT levels were measured using an electrochemiluminescence immunoassay with stored sera collected between 2001 and 2011. The median period between sampling at survey and CHD incidence was 2.0 (interquartile range, 0.9-3.7) years. After adjusting for conventional risk factors, the multivariable odds ratios (ORs) of CHD were calculated using conditional logistic regression analyses.hs-cTnT ranged from ≤ 3 (assay detection limit) to 155 ng/L. Compared with the lowest quartile of hs-cTnT, multivariable ORs (95% confidence intervals) of CHD for the second, third, and highest quartiles were 1.30 (0.57-2.95), 2.48 (1.09-5.64), and 3.01 (1.27-7.12), respectively. Similar associations were observed after adjusting for estimated glomerular filtration, or after excluding matched groups, including people with chronic kidney disease.Serum hs-cTnT could predict CHD in the Japanese general population. These findings implicate a benefit from monitoring hs-cTnT to predict CHD even among populations in countries with low mortality from CHD.

The association between hobby engagement and risk of dementia reported from a short-term follow-up study for individuals aged ≥65 years may be liable to reverse causation. We examined the association between hobby engagement in age of 40-69 years and risk of dementia in a long-term follow-up study among Japanese including individuals in mid-life, when the majority of individuals have normal cognitive function.A total of 22,377 individuals aged 40-69 years completed a self-administered questionnaire in 1993-1994. The participants answered whether they had hobbies according to the three following responses: having no hobbies, having a hobby, and having many hobbies. Follow-up for incident disabling dementia was conducted with long-term care insurance data from 2006 to 2016.During 11.0 years of median follow-up, 3,095 participants developed disabling dementia. Adjusting for the demographic, behavioral, and psychosocial factors, the multivariable hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of incident disabling dementia compared with "having no hobbies" were 0.82 (0.75-0.89) for "having a hobby" and 0.78 (0.67-0.91) for "having many hobbies". The inverse association was similarly observed in both middle (40-64 years) and older ages (65-69 years). For disabling dementia subtypes, hobby engagement was inversely associated with the risk of dementia without a history of stroke (probably non-vascular type dementia), but not with that of post-stroke dementia (probably vascular type dementia).Hobby engagement in both mid-life and late-life was associated with a lower risk of disabling dementia without a history of stroke.

Background and aims The impact of weight changes in middle age on the incidence of cardiovascular disease has not been well elucidated. We investigated whether a 5-year weight change was associated with risk of stroke and coronary heart disease (CHD) in middle-aged individuals. Methods We analyzed data of 74,928 participants aged 40–69 years who provided responses to the baseline and 5-year follow-up questionnaires in the Japan Public Health Center–based Prospective Study. Weight change was calculated by subtracting self-reported weight at baseline from that at 5-year follow-up. Stroke and CHD events were confirmed by reviewing hospital records. Results During 997,406 person-years of follow-up, we documented 3,975 stroke and 914 CHD events. The multivariable HRs of stroke for losing ≥5 kg compared to stable weight (change ≤2 kg) was 1.17 (95% CI, 1.01–1.37) in men versus 1.33 (1.13–1.57) for losing ≥5 kg and 1.61 (1.36–1.92) for gaining ≥5 kg in women (U-shaped association). These associations did not change after the exclusion of early events. The multivariable HR of CHD for gaining ≥5 kg was 1.22 (0.95–1.58) in men. After exclusion of early events within another 5 years, that positive association became stronger [multivariable HR 1.34 (1.00–1.82)]. Conclusions Weight gain during middle age was associated with an increased risk of stroke in women and an increased risk of CHD in men. Weight loss was associated with an increased risk of stroke in both men and women.

Aims: Reports on an association between body mass index and aortic disease, which remains controversial. This study investigated the association between body mass index and mortality from aortic disease. Methods: We conducted the Japan Collaborative Cohort Study, a prospective study of 103,972 Japanese men and women aged 40–79 years. Body mass index was calculated on the basis of self-reported height and weight, and the participants were followed up from 1988–89 through 2009. Sex-specific hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of mortality from aortic disease according to quintiles of body mass index were analyzed using the Cox proportional hazards model. Results: During the median 18.8 years of follow-up, we documented 139 deaths due to aortic aneurysm (including 51 thoracic and 74 abdominal aortic aneurysms) and 134 deaths due to aortic dissection. We observed positive associations of body mass index with mortality from aortic aneurysm among men: the multivariable hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for highest versus lowest quintiles of body mass index were 4.48 (2.10–9.58), P for trend < 0.0001 for aortic aneurysm; 6.52 (1.33–32.02), P = 0.005 for thoracic aortic aneurysm; 3.81 (1.39–10.49), P = 0.01 for abdominal aortic aneurysm; and 2.71 (1.59–4.62), P = 0.001 for total aortic disease. No association was found for aortic dissection. Among ever-smokers (men ≥ 90%) but not never-smokers (women ≥ 84%), an association between body mass index and aortic disease mortality was observed regardless of sex, which may explain the sex difference (P for sex-interaction = 0.046). Conclusions: We found a positive association between body mass index and mortality from aortic aneurysm among Japanese men and smokers.