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Trivariate joint modeling for longitudinal count data, recurrent events, and a terminal event for family data has increased interest in medical studies. For example, families with Lynch syndrome (LS) are at high risk of developing colorectal cancer (CRC), where the number of polyps and the frequency of colonoscopy screening visits are highly associated with the risk of CRC among individuals and families. To assess how screening visits influence polyp detection, which in turn influences time to CRC, we propose a clustered trivariate joint model. The proposed model facilitates longitudinal count data that are zero-inflated and over-dispersed and invokes individual-specific and family-specific random effects to account for dependence among individuals and families. We formulate our proposed model as a latent Gaussian model to use the Bayesian estimation approach with the integrated nested Laplace approximation algorithm and evaluate its performance using simulation studies. Our trivariate joint model is applied to a series of 18 families from Newfoundland, with the occurrence of CRC taken as the terminal event, the colonoscopy screening visits as recurrent events, and the number of polyps detected at each visit as zero-inflated count data with overdispersion. We showed that our trivariate model fits better than alternative bivariate models and that the cluster effects should not be ignored when analyzing family data. Finally, the proposed model enables us to quantify heterogeneity across families and individuals in polyp detection and CRC risk, thus helping to identify individuals and families who would benefit from more intensive screening visits., (© 2024 The Author(s). Statistics in Medicine published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background and Hypothesis: Heart failure is characterized as cardiac dysfunction resulting in elevated cardiac filling pressures with symptoms and signs of congestion. Distinguishing heart failure from other causes of similar presentations in patients with kidney failure is challenging but necessary, and is needed in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to accurately estimate treatment effects. The objective of this study was to review heart failure events, their diagnostic criteria and adjudication in RCTs of patients with kidney failure treated with dialysis. We hypothesized that heart failure events, diagnostic criteria and adjudication were infrequently reported in RCTs in dialysis., Methods: We conducted a meta-epidemiologic systematic review of RCTs from high impact medical, nephrology and cardiology journals from 2000 to 2020. RCTs were eligible if they enrolled adults receiving maintenance dialysis for kidney failure and evaluated any intervention. Results. Of 561 RCTs in patients receiving dialysis, 36 (6.4%) reported heart failure events as primary (10, 27.8%) or secondary (31, 86.1%) outcomes. 10 of the 36 (27.8%) RCTs provided heart failure event diagnostic criteria and 5 of these 10 (50%) adjudicated heart failure events. These 10 RCTs included event diagnostic criteria for heart failure or heart failure hospitalizations, and their criteria included dyspnea (5/10), edema (2/10), rales/crackles (4/10), chest x-ray pulmonary edema or vascular redistribution (4/10), treatment in an acute setting (6/10) and ultrafiltration or dialysis (4/10). No study explicitly distinguished heart failure from volume overload secondary to non-adherence or underdialysis., Conclusion: Overall, we found that heart failure events are infrequently reported in RCTs in dialysis and are heterogeneously defined. Further research is required to develop standardized diagnostic criteria that are practical and meaningful to patients and clinicians., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the ERA.)

Background: Hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase inhibitors such as vadadustat may provide an oral alternative to injectable erythropoiesis-stimulating agents for treating anemia in patients receiving peritoneal dialysis. In two randomized (1:1), global, phase 3, open-label, sponsor-blind, parallel-group, active-controlled noninferiority trials in patients with dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease (INNO2VATE), vadadustat was noninferior to darbepoetin alfa with respect to cardiovascular safety and hematological efficacy. Vadadustat's effects in patients receiving only peritoneal dialysis is unclear., Methods: We conducted a post hoc analysis of patients in the INNO2VATE trials receiving peritoneal dialysis at baseline. The prespecified primary safety endpoint was time to first major cardiovascular event (MACE; defined as all-cause mortality or nonfatal myocardial infarction or stroke). The primary efficacy endpoint was mean change in hemoglobin from baseline to the primary evaluation period (Weeks 24-36)., Results: Of the 3923 patients randomized in the two INNO2VATE trials, 309 were receiving peritoneal dialysis (vadadustat, n = 152; darbepoetin alfa, n = 157) at baseline. Time to first MACE was similar in the vadadustat and darbepoetin alfa groups [hazard ratio 1.10; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.62, 1.93]. In patients receiving peritoneal dialysis, the difference in mean change in hemoglobin concentrations was -0.10 g/dL (95% CI -0.33, 0.12) in the primary evaluation period. The incidence of treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs) was 88.2% versus 95.5%, and serious TEAEs was 52.6% versus 73.2% in the vadadustat and darbepoetin alfa groups, respectively., Conclusions: In the subgroup of patients receiving peritoneal dialysis in the phase 3 INNO2VATE trials, safety and efficacy of vadadustat were similar to darbepoetin alfa., (© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the ERA.)

Background: Impaired quality of life is common in patients with end-stage kidney disease. We report the baseline quality of life measures in participants from the PIVOTAL randomized controlled trial and the potential relationship with the primary outcome (all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, stroke, and heart failure hospitalisation), and associations with key baseline characteristics., Methods: This was a post hoc analysis of 2141 patients enrolled in the PIVOTAL trial. Quality of life was measured using EQ5D index, Visual Analogue Scale, and the KD-QoL [Physical Component Score and Mental Component Score]., Results: Mean baseline EQ5D index and visual analogue scale scores were 0.68 and 60.7 and 33.7 (Physical Component Score) and 46.0 (Mental Component Score), respectively. Female sex, higher Body Mass Index, diabetes mellitus, history of myocardial infarction, stroke or heart failure were associated with significantly worse EQ5D index and visual analogue scale. Higher C-reactive protein levels and lower transferrin saturation were associated with worse quality of life. Haemoglobin was not an independent predictor of quality of life. A lower transferrin saturation was an independent predictor of worse physical component score. A higher C-reactive protein level was associated with most aspects of worse quality of life. Impaired functional status was associated with mortality., Conclusion: Quality of life was impaired in patients starting haemodialysis. A higher C-reactive protein level level was a consistent independent predictor of the majority of worse quality of life. Transferrin saturation ≤ 20% was associated with worse physical component score of quality of life. Baseline quality of life was predictive of all-cause mortality and the primary outcome measure., Eudract Registration Number: 2013-002267-25., (© 2023. The Author(s) under exclusive licence to Italian Society of Nephrology.)

Objective: Leptin (LEP) is an obesity-associated adipokine associated with tumor cell growth. We examined the relevance of genetic variants of LEP and leptin receptor ( LEPR ) to colorectal cancer (CRC) survival by using data from the Newfoundland Familial Colorectal Cancer Study., Methods: A total of 532 patients newly diagnosed with CRC between 1997 and 2003 were followed up until April 2010. Data on their demographics and lifestyles were collected via questionnaires. Genotyping of blood samples was performed with the Illumina Human Omni-Quad Bead chip. Multivariable Cox models were used to assess the relationships of 35 tag single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in LEP and LEPR with overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), and CRC-specific survival., Results: At the gene level, LEP was associated with DFS ( P = 0.017), and LEPR was associated with both DFS ( P = 0.021) and CRC-specific survival ( P = 0.013) in patients with CRC. In single-SNP analysis, LEP rs11763517, LEPR rs9436301, and LEPR rs7602 were associated with DFS after adjustment for multiple testing. The LEPR haplotypes G-C-T (rs7534511-rs9436301-rs1887285) and A-A-G (rs7602-rs970467-rs9436748) were associated with prolonged OS among patients with CRC overall (G-C-T: HR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.43-0.93; A-A-G: HR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.38-0.91) and those diagnosed with colon cancer (G-C-T: HR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.34-0.86; A-A-G: HR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.29-0.83). Similar results were observed for DFS. Moreover, significant interactions were found among LEPR rs7602 (A vs. G), LEPR rs1171278 (T vs . C), red meat intake, and BMI status: the associations between these variants and prolonged DFS were limited to patients with below-median red meat consumption and body mass index (BMI) < 25 kg/m 2 ., Conclusions: Polymorphic variations in the LEP and LEPR genes were associated with survival of patients after CRC diagnosis. The LEP / LEPR -CRC survival association was modified by participants' red meat intake and BMI., Competing Interests: No potential conflicts of interest are disclosed., (Copyright © 2023 Cancer Biology & Medicine.)

Rationale & Objective: In the PRO 2 TECT trials, vadadustat was found to be noninferior to darbepoetin alfa in hematologic efficacy but not for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; all-cause death or nonfatal myocardial infarction or stroke) in patients with non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease (NDD-CKD). We investigated the regional differences in MACE in the PRO 2 TECT trials., Study Design: Phase 3, global, open-label, randomized, active-controlled clinical trial., Setting & Participants: A total of 1,725 erythropoiesis-stimulating agent (ESA)-treated patients with anemia and NDD-CKD., Intervention: 1:1 randomization to receive vadadustat or darbepoetin alfa., Outcomes: The primary safety end point was the time to first MACE., Results: At baseline, patients in Europe (n=444) were primarily treated with darbepoetin alfa, showed higher proportions on low ESA doses (<90 U/kg/wk epoetin alfa equivalents) with a hemoglobin concentration of ≥10 g/dL compared with patients in the US (n=665) and non-US/non-Europe (n=614) regions. The MACE rates per 100 person-years in the 3 vadadustat groups across regions were 14.5 in the US, 11.6 in Europe, and 10.0 in the non-US/non-Europe groups, whereas event rates in the darbepoetin alfa group were considerably lower in Europe than in the US and non-US/non-Europe groups (6.7 vs 13.3 and 10.5, respectively). The overall hazard ratio for MACE for vadadustat vs darbepoetin alpha was 1.16; 95% CI, 0.93-1.45, but varied by geographical region, with a greater hazard ratio seen in Europe (US, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.78-1.46; Europe, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.24-3.39; non-US/non-Europe, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.60-1.37); interaction between study treatment and geographical region, P  = 0.07). In Europe, ESA rescue was associated with a higher risk of MACE in both groups., Limitations: Several analyses are exploratory., Conclusions: In this trial, there was a low risk of MACE in the darbepoetin alfa group in Europe. Patients in Europe were generally on low doses of ESA, with hemoglobin already within target range. The low risk of MACE may have been related to a limited need to switch and titrate darbepoetin alfa compared with the non-US/non-Europe group., Funding: Akebia Therapeutics, Inc., Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02680574., (© 2023 The Authors.)

Rationale & Objective: Prespecified analyses of the PRO 2 TECT trials comparing the safety of the oral hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase inhibitor vadadustat with darbepoetin alfa in patients with non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease (NDD-CKD) found no difference in major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; death from any cause or nonfatal myocardial infarction or stroke) among US patients and a higher risk among patients treated with vadadustat outside the United States. We investigated regional differences in MACE in the PRO 2 TECT trial that enrolled 1,751 patients previously untreated with erythropoiesis-stimulating agents., Study Design: Phase 3, global, open-label, randomized, active-controlled clinical trial., Setting and Participants: Erythropoiesis-stimulating agent-untreated patients with anemia and NDD-CKD., Intervention: Eligible patients were randomized 1:1 to receive vadadustat or darbepoetin alfa., Outcomes: The primary safety end point was time to first MACE. Secondary safety end points included time to first expanded MACE (MACE plus hospitalization for heart failure or thromboembolic event, excluding vascular access thrombosis)., Results: In the non-US/non-Europe region, there was a higher proportion of patients with baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) level of ≤10 mL/min/1.73 m 2 in the vadadustat group [96 (34.7%)] than in the darbepoetin alfa group [66 (24.0%)]. In this region, there were 21 excess MACEs reported in the vadadustat group [78 events (n=276)] versus the darbepoetin alfa [57 events (n=275)], including 13 excess noncardiovascular deaths, largely from kidney failure. Noncardiovascular deaths were concentrated in Brazil and South Africa, which enrolled higher proportions of patients with an eGFR of ≤10 mL/min/1.73 m 2 and who may not have had access to dialysis., Limitations: Different regional treatment patterns of patients with NDD-CKD., Conclusions: The higher MACE rate in the non-US/non-Europe vadadustat group may have been partly because of imbalances in the baseline eGFR level in countries where dialysis was not uniformly available resulting in many kidney-related deaths., (© 2023 The Authors.)

Background: Interactions among genetic variants are rarely studied but may explain a part of the variability in patient outcomes., Objectives: In this study, we aimed to identify 1 to 3 way interactions among SNPs from five Wnt protein interaction networks that predict the 5-year recurrence risk in a cohort of stage I-III colorectal cancer patients., Methods: 423 patients recruited to the Newfoundland Familial Colorectal Cancer Registry were included. Five Wnt family member proteins (Wnt1, Wnt2, Wnt5a, Wnt5b, and Wnt11) were selected. The BioGRID database was used to identify the proteins interacting with each of these proteins. Genotypes of the SNPs located in the interaction network genes were retrieved from a genome-wide SNP genotype data previously obtained in the patient cohort. The GMDR 0.9 program was utilized to examine 1-, 2-, and 3-SNP interactions using a 5-fold cross validation step. Top GMDR 0.9 models were assessed by permutation testing and, if significant, prognostic associations were verified by multivariable logistic regression models., Results: GMDR 0.9 has identified novel 1, 2, and 3-way SNP interactions associated with 5-year recurrence risk in colorectal cancer. Nine of these interactions were multi loci interactions (2-way or 3-way). Identified interaction models were able to distinguish patients based on their 5-year recurrence-free status in multivariable regression models. The significance of interactions was the highest in the 3-SNP models. Several of the identified SNPs were eQTLs, indicating potential biological roles of the genes they were associated with in colorectal cancer recurrence., Conclusions: We identified novel interacting genetic variants that associate with 5-year recurrence risk in colorectal cancer. A significant portion of the genes identified were previously linked to colorectal cancer pathogenesis or progression. These variants and genes are of interest for future functional and prognostic studies. Our results provide further evidence for the utility of GMDR models in identifying novel prognostic biomarkers and the biological importance of the Wnt pathways in colorectal cancer., Competing Interests: SS is an associate editor with Frontiers in Oncology/Genetics. The remaining authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2023 Curtis, Yu, Carey, Parfrey, Yilmaz and Savas.)

Background: Paradoxically epidemiological data illustrate a negative relationship between dietary folate intake and colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. The occurrence and progression of CRC may be influenced by variants in some key enzyme coding genes in the folate metabolic pathway. We investigated the correlation between genetic variants in methionine synthase reductase ( MTRR ) and methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase ( MTHFR ) and CRC survival., Methods: This study used data collected from the Newfoundland Familial Colorectal Cancer Study. A total of 532 patients diagnosed with CRC for the first time from 1999 to 2003 were enrolled, and their mortality were tracked until April 2010. DNA samples were genotyped by Illumina's integrated quantum 1 million chip. Cox models were established to assess 33 tag single-nucleotide polymorphisms in MTRR and MTHFR in relation to overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS) and CRC-specific survival., Results: The MTRR and MTHFR genes were associated with DFS and CRC-specific survival in CRC patients at the gene level. After multiple comparison adjustment, MTRR rs1801394 A (vs. G) allele was associated with increased DFS ( p = 0.024), while MTHRT rs3737966 (G vs. A), rs4846049 (T vs. G), rs1476413 (A vs. G), rs1801131 (C vs. A), rs12121543 (A vs. C), rs1801133 (C vs. T), rs4846052 (T vs. C), rs2066471 (A vs. G) and rs7533315 (T vs. C) were related to worse CRC-specific survival. Additionally, significant interactions were seen among pre-diagnostic alcohol consumption with MTRR rs1801394, rs3776467, rs326124, rs162040, and rs3776455, with superior OS associated with those protective variant alleles limited to patients with alcohol consumption under the median. The MTHFR rs3737966 (G vs. A) allele seemed to be detrimental to CRC survival only among subjects with fruit intake below the median., Conclusions: Polymorphic variants in MTRR and MTHFR genes that code for key enzymes for folate metabolism may be associated with survival in patients with CRC. The gene-CRC outcome association seems modulated by alcohol drinking and fruit intake.

Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) develop anemia largely because of inappropriately low erythropoietin (EPO) production and insufficient iron available to erythroid precursors. In four phase 3, randomized, open-label, clinical trials in dialysis-dependent and non-dialysis-dependent patients with CKD and anemia, the hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase inhibitor, vadadustat, was noninferior to the erythropoiesis-stimulating agent, darbepoetin alfa, in increasing and maintaining target hemoglobin concentrations. In these trials, vadadustat increased the concentrations of serum EPO, the numbers of circulating erythrocytes, and the numbers of circulating reticulocytes. Achieved hemoglobin concentrations were similar in patients treated with either vadadustat or darbepoetin alfa, but compared with patients receiving darbepoetin alfa, those receiving vadadustat had erythrocytes with increased mean corpuscular volume and mean corpuscular hemoglobin, while the red cell distribution width was decreased. Increased serum transferrin concentrations, as measured by total iron-binding capacity, combined with stable serum iron concentrations, resulted in decreased transferrin saturation in patients randomized to vadadustat compared with patients randomized to darbepoetin alfa. The decreases in transferrin saturation were associated with relatively greater declines in serum hepcidin and ferritin in patients receiving vadadustat compared with those receiving darbepoetin alfa. These results for serum transferrin saturation, hepcidin, ferritin, and erythrocyte indices were consistent with improved iron availability in the patients receiving vadadustat. Thus, overall, vadadustat had beneficial effects on three aspects of erythropoiesis in patients with anemia associated with CKD: increased endogenous EPO production, improved iron availability to erythroid cells, and increased reticulocytes in the circulation., (© 2022 Akebia Therapeutics Inc and The Authors. American Journal of Hematology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC.)

We examined dietary fiber intake for its relevance to Colorectal cancer (CRC) survival in a cohort of CRC patients and a meta-analysis including results from four prospective cohort studies. We analyzed 504 CRC patients enrolled in the Newfoundland Familial Colorectal Cancer Study (NFCCS) who were newly diagnosed with CRC between 1999 and 2003. Follow-up for deaths was through April 2010. All participants completed a self-administered food frequency questionnaire to evaluate their dietary intakes one year before diagnosis. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to explore the associations of dietary fiber intake with all-cause mortality and CRC-specific mortality. In the meta-analysis, we identified prospective cohort studies published between January 1991 and December 2021 by searching PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library. Fixed-effects or random-effects models were used to combine the study-specific hazard ratio (HR) from our original analysis and three other cohorts. In the NFCCS, we found that CRC patients with the second quartile of dietary fiber intake had a 42% lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 0.58, 95% CI: 0.35-0.98) and 58% lower risk of CRC-specific mortality (HR: 0.42, 95% CI: 0.21-0.87) compared with those with the lowest quartile. In the meta-analysis, a similar inverse association between dietary fiber and total mortality was detected among CRC patients; each 10 g/day increase in dietary fiber intake was associated with a 16% decreased risk of total mortality. The dose-response meta-analysis showed a linear relationship between dietary fiber intake and all-cause mortality, with no sign of a plateau. For CRC-specific mortality, intriguingly, the benefit associated with increasing dietary fiber intake achieved its maximum at approximately 22 g/day, and no further reduction in CRC-specific mortality was observed beyond this intake level. Our results suggest that high dietary fiber intake may be associated with prolonged survival among CRC patients. Our findings add to the sparse literature on the role of dietary fiber in CRC survival.

Background: SNP interactions may explain the variable outcome risk among colorectal cancer patients. Examining SNP interactions is challenging, especially with large datasets. Multifactor Dimensionality Reduction (MDR)-based programs may address this problem. Objectives: 1) To compare two MDR-based programs for their utility; and 2) to apply these programs to sets of MMP and VEGF-family gene SNPs in order to examine their interactions in relation to colorectal cancer survival outcomes. Methods: This study applied two data reduction methods, Cox-MDR and GMDR 0.9, to study one to three way SNP interactions. Both programs were run using a 5-fold cross validation step and the top models were verified by permutation testing. Prognostic associations of the SNP interactions were verified using multivariable regression methods. Eight datasets, including SNPs from MMP family genes ( n = 201) and seven sets of VEGF-family interaction networks ( n = 1,517 SNPs) were examined. Results: ∼90 million potential interactions were examined. Analyses in the MMP and VEGF gene family datasets found several novel 1- to 3-way SNP interactions. These interactions were able to distinguish between the patients with different outcome risks (regression p -values 0.03-2.2E-09). The strongest association was detected for a 3-way interaction including CHRM3 .rs665159&#95; EPN1 .rs6509955&#95; PTGER3 .rs1327460 variants. Conclusion: Our work demonstrates the utility of data reduction methods while identifying potential prognostic markers in colorectal cancer., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2022 Curtis, Yu, Carey, Parfrey, Yilmaz and Savas.)

Vitamin D, Ca and dairy products are negatively associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence, but little is known of their influence on CRC survival. To investigate prediagnostic intakes of vitamin D, Ca and dairy products for their relevance to CRC prognosis, we analysed 504 CRC patients enrolled in the Newfoundland Colorectal Cancer Registry Cohort Study who were diagnosed for the first time with CRC between 1999 and 2003. Follow-up for mortality and cancer recurrence was through April 2010. Data on diet and lifestyle factors were gathered via a validated, semi-quantitative FFQ and a Personal History Questionnaire. Multivariate Cox models estimated hazard ratios (HR) and 95 % CI for the relationship of prediagnostic intakes of vitamin D, Ca and dairy products with all-cause mortality (overall survival, OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) among CRC patients. We found that prediagnostic Ca intake from foods, but not total Ca intake, was negatively associated with all-cause mortality (HR for Q2 v . Q1, 0·44; 95 % CI, 0·26, 0·75). An inverse relationship was also seen in a dose-response fashion for prediagnostic cheese intake (HR for Q4 v . Q1, 0·57, 95 % CI, 0·34, 0·95, P trend = 0·029). No evidence for modification by sex, physical activity, alcohol drinking and cigarette smoking was observed. In summary, high prediagnostic intakes of cheese and Ca from foods may be associated with increased survival among CRC patients. By manipulating diet, this study may contribute to the development of novel therapies that add to the armamentarium against CRC. Replication studies are required before any nutritional interventions are made available.

Background: The incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) among individuals aged younger than 50 years has been increasing. As screening guidelines lower the recommended age of screening initiation, concerns including the burden on screening capacity and costs have been recognized, suggesting that an individualized approach may be warranted. We developed risk prediction models for early-onset CRC that incorporate an environmental risk score (ERS), including 16 lifestyle and environmental factors, and a polygenic risk score (PRS) of 141 variants., Methods: Relying on risk score weights for ERS and PRS derived from studies of CRC at all ages, we evaluated risks for early-onset CRC in 3486 cases and 3890 controls aged younger than 50 years. Relative and absolute risks for early-onset CRC were assessed according to values of the ERS and PRS. The discriminatory performance of these scores was estimated using the covariate-adjusted area under the receiver operating characteristic curve., Results: Increasing values of ERS and PRS were associated with increasing relative risks for early-onset CRC (odds ratio per SD of ERS = 1.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.08 to 1.20; odds ratio per SD of PRS = 1.59, 95% CI = 1.51 to 1.68), both contributing to case-control discrimination (area under the curve = 0.631, 95% CI = 0.615 to 0.647). Based on absolute risks, we can expect 26 excess cases per 10 000 men and 21 per 10 000 women among those scoring at the 90th percentile for both risk scores., Conclusions: Personal risk scores have the potential to identify individuals at differential relative and absolute risk for early-onset CRC. Improved discrimination may aid in targeted CRC screening of younger, high-risk individuals, potentially improving outcomes., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Introduction: Anemia frequently occurs in chronic kidney disease (CKD), is associated with poor quality of life and cardiovascular outcomes, and its treatment represents a considerable economic burden to the healthcare system. Although effective, the current standard of care for the treatment of anemia in chronic kidney disease patients with erythropoiesis-stimulating agents requires chronic/ongoing injections, making the treatment less accessible or desirable to patients not treated by in-center maintenance hemodialysis. Furthermore, safety concerns, including an increased risk of cardiovascular events and mortality, have emerged from their use in studies targeting hemoglobin concentrations in the normal or near-normal range. The orally active hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase inhibitor vadadustat may offer advantages over erythropoiesis-stimulating agents by correcting anemia via pathways activating endogenous erythropoietin production., Methods: To comprehensively analyze the safety profile of vadadustat in patients with dialysis-dependent and non-dialysis-dependent CKD-related anemia, we pooled the safety populations from each of the four trials in the phase 3 clinical program (n = 7,373) and compared the risk of treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs) for each treatment arm., Results: In patients randomized to vadadustat versus darbepoetin alfa, rates of TEAEs (88.9% vs. 89.3%), treatment-emergent serious adverse events (58.0% vs. 59.3%), and TEAEs leading to death (16.1% vs. 16.2%) were similar, as were rates of adverse events of special interest, including cardiovascular-, hepatic-, and neoplasm-related adverse events., Discussion/conclusion: Among patients with CKD-related anemia treated with vadadustat, we observed similar rates of adverse events relative to those treated with darbepoetin alfa., (© 2022 The Author(s). Published by S. Karger AG, Basel.)

We aimed to examine the associations of a genome-wide set of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and 254 copy number variations (CNVs) and/or insertion/deletions (INDELs) with clinical outcomes in colorectal cancer patients (n = 505). We also aimed to investigate whether their associations changed (e.g., appeared, diminished) over time. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards and piece-wise Cox regression models were used to examine the associations. The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) datasets were used for replication purposes and to examine the gene expression differences between tumor and nontumor tissue samples. A common SNP (WBP11-rs7314075) was associated with disease-specific survival with P-value of 3.2 × 10 -8 . Association of this region with disease-specific survival was also detected in the TCGA patient cohort. Two expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs) were identified in this locus that were implicated in the regulation of ERP27 expression. Interestingly, expression levels of ERP27 and WBP11 were significantly different between colorectal tumors and nontumor tissues. Three SNPs predicted the risk of recurrent disease only after 5 years postdiagnosis. Overall, our study identified novel variants, one of which also showed an association in the TCGA dataset, but no CNVs/INDELs, that associated with outcomes in colorectal cancer. Three SNPs were candidate predictors of long-term recurrence/metastasis risk., (© 2021 The Authors. Molecular Oncology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Federation of European Biochemical Societies.)

Background: Erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) are currently the mainstay of treatment for anaemia of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Vadadustat is an investigational oral hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl-hydroxylase inhibitor that stimulates endogenous erythropoietin formation. The INNO2VATE programme comprises two studies designed to evaluate the safety and efficacy of vadadustat versus the ESA darbepoetin alfa in ameliorating anaemia in patients with dialysis-dependent CKD (DD-CKD). Here we describe the trial design along with patient demographics and baseline characteristics., Methods: Two Phase 3, open-label, sponsor-blind, active-controlled trials enrolled adults with anaemia of CKD who recently initiated dialysis and had limited ESA exposure (incident DD-CKD trial) or were receiving maintenance dialysis with ESA treatment (prevalent DD-CKD trial). Study periods include correction/conversion (Weeks 0-23), maintenance (Weeks 24-52), long-term treatment (Weeks 53 to end of treatment) and safety follow-up. The primary safety endpoint is the time to the first major adverse cardiovascular event and the primary efficacy endpoint is the change in haemoglobin (baseline to Weeks 24-36)., Results: A total of 369 and 3554 patients were randomized in the incident DD-CKD and prevalent DD-CKD trials, respectively. Demographics and baseline characteristics were similar among patients in both trials and comparable to those typically observed in DD-CKD., Conclusions: The two INNO2VATE trials will provide important information on the safety and efficacy of a novel approach for anaemia management in a diverse DD-CKD population. Demographics and baseline characteristics of enrolled patients suggest that study results will be representative for a large proportion of the DD-CKD population., (© The Author(s) 2020. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of ERA-EDTA.)

Objective: An understanding of the etiologic heterogeneity of colorectal cancer (CRC) is critical for improving precision prevention, including individualized screening recommendations and the discovery of novel drug targets and repurposable drug candidates for chemoprevention. Known differences in molecular characteristics and environmental risk factors among tumors arising in different locations of the colorectum suggest partly distinct mechanisms of carcinogenesis. The extent to which the contribution of inherited genetic risk factors for CRC differs by anatomical subsite of the primary tumor has not been examined., Design: To identify new anatomical subsite-specific risk loci, we performed genome-wide association study (GWAS) meta-analyses including data of 48 214 CRC cases and 64 159 controls of European ancestry. We characterised effect heterogeneity at CRC risk loci using multinomial modelling., Results: We identified 13 loci that reached genome-wide significance (p<5×10 -8 ) and that were not reported by previous GWASs for overall CRC risk. Multiple lines of evidence support candidate genes at several of these loci. We detected substantial heterogeneity between anatomical subsites. Just over half (61) of 109 known and new risk variants showed no evidence for heterogeneity. In contrast, 22 variants showed association with distal CRC (including rectal cancer), but no evidence for association or an attenuated association with proximal CRC. For two loci, there was strong evidence for effects confined to proximal colon cancer., Conclusion: Genetic architectures of proximal and distal CRC are partly distinct. Studies of risk factors and mechanisms of carcinogenesis, and precision prevention strategies should take into consideration the anatomical subsite of the tumour., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2021. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)

Background: Incidence of early-onset (younger than 50 years of age) colorectal cancer (CRC) is increasing in many countries. Thus, elucidating the role of traditional CRC risk factors in early-onset CRC is a high priority. We sought to determine whether risk factors associated with late-onset CRC were also linked to early-onset CRC and whether association patterns differed by anatomic subsite., Methods: Using data pooled from 13 population-based studies, we studied 3767 CRC cases and 4049 controls aged younger than 50 years and 23 437 CRC cases and 35 311 controls aged 50 years and older. Using multivariable and multinomial logistic regression, we estimated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to assess the association between risk factors and early-onset CRC and by anatomic subsite., Results: Early-onset CRC was associated with not regularly using nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (OR = 1.43, 95% CI = 1.21 to 1.68), greater red meat intake (OR = 1.10, 95% CI = 1.04 to 1.16), lower educational attainment (OR = 1.10, 95% CI = 1.04 to 1.16), alcohol abstinence (OR = 1.23, 95% CI = 1.08 to 1.39), and heavier alcohol use (OR = 1.25, 95% CI = 1.04 to 1.50). No factors exhibited a greater excess in early-onset compared with late-onset CRC. Evaluating risks by anatomic subsite, we found that lower total fiber intake was linked more strongly to rectal (OR = 1.30, 95% CI = 1.14 to 1.48) than colon cancer (OR = 1.14, 95% CI = 1.02 to 1.27; P  = .04)., Conclusion: In this large study, we identified several nongenetic risk factors associated with early-onset CRC, providing a basis for targeted identification of those most at risk, which is imperative in mitigating the rising burden of this disease., (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press.)

Current clinical practice guidelines for anemia management in non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease (NDD-CKD) recommend the use of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) as standard of care. Vadadustat, an investigational oral hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl-hydroxylase inhibitor, stimulates endogenous erythropoietin production. The PRO 2 TECT program comprises 2 global, Phase 3, randomized, open-label, active-controlled, sponsor-blind clinical trials to evaluate safety and efficacy of vadadustat vs darbepoetin alfa in adult patients with anemia associated with NDD-CKD. Patients recruited into the ESA-untreated NDD-CKD trial (N = 1751) had hemoglobin <10 g/dL and had not received an ESA within 8 weeks prior to inclusion in the study. Patients recruited into the ESA-treated NDD-CKD trial (N = 1725) had hemoglobin between 8 and 11 g/dL (US) or 9 and 12 g/dL (non-US) and were actively treated with an ESA for anemia associated with CKD. Trial periods in both trials include (1) correction/conversion (weeks 0-23); (2) maintenance (weeks 24-52); (3) long-term treatment (week 53 to end of treatment); and (4) safety follow-up (end-of-treatment to 4 weeks later). The primary safety endpoint is time to first adjudicated major adverse cardiovascular event, defined as all-cause mortality, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke, pooled across both trials. The primary efficacy endpoint in each trial is change in hemoglobin from baseline to primary evaluation period (weeks 24-36), comparing vadadustat vs darbepoetin alfa treatment groups. Demographics and baseline characteristics are similar among patients in both trials and broadly representative of the NDD-CKD population. These trials will help to evaluate the safety and efficacy of vadadustat for management of anemia associated with NDD-CKD., Competing Interests: Disclosures GMC reports grants from NIDDK and Amgen and personal fees from Akebia Therapeutics, Inc., Satellite Healthcare, Ardelyx, AstraZeneca, Baxter, Cricket, DiaMedica, Gilead, Reata, Sanifit, Vertex, Angion, Bayer, and ReCor. PEP reports personal fees from Akebia Therapeutics, Inc., Astra-Zeneca, Bayer, Reata, Gilead, Corvidia, FibroGen, Tricida, and Ardelyx. PEP's institution, Renal Associates (PA), has received support from multiple pharmaceutical companies, including Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. RA reports personal fees from Akebia Therapeutics, Inc., Relypsa Inc., a Vifor Pharma Group Company, AbbVie, Amgen, AstraZeneca, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Celgene, Daiichi Sankyo, Eli Lilly, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Johnson & Johnson, Merck, Novartis, Sandoz, ZS Pharma, Takeda, Sanofi, Reata, Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Otsuka, OPKO Health, and Bird Rock Bio. RA has also served as associate editor of the American Journal of Nephrology and Nephrology, Dialysis, Transplantation and has received research grants from the US Veterans Administration and the National Institutes of Health. GAB reports grants, personal fees, and nonfinancial support from Akebia Therapeutics, Inc., Keryx Biopharmaceuticals, Inc., Astra-Zeneca, Kirin, and Ardelyx, Inc., as well as personal fees from U.S. Renal Care. YMKF reports personal fees and other from Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. AGJ has nothing to disclose. MJK reports personal fees from Akebia Therapeutics, Inc., FibroGen, Inc., and Micelle BioPharma, Inc. WL was an employee of Akebia Therapeutics, Inc., during the conduct of this study. ZK was an employee of Akebia Therapeutics, Inc., during the conduct of this study. EFL reports grants from Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. KM reports grants from NIH and personal fees from Akebia Therapeutics, Inc.; KM also reports grants and personal fees from Kyowa Kirin and Fukuda Denshi. PAM reports personal fees from Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. PSP reports personal fees from Akebia Therapeutics, Inc.; PSP was also a member of an advisory committee for Vifor Pharma and was a member of the data monitoring committee for the CREDANCE trial for Janssen. JW and KAW are employees of Statistics Collaborative, Inc., which received fees from Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. for conduction of study analyses. CT and TL are employees of Firma Clinical Research, which received fees from Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. for data analyses. MJS was a member of the steering committee for Akebia Therapeutics, Inc.; MJS also reports personal fees from Bayer and Carurian. DLV is an employee of Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. WCW reports personal fees from Akebia Therapeutics, Inc., Amgen, and Relypsa. and personal fees and nonfinancial support from AstraZeneca, Bayer, Daiichi-Sankyo, Janssen, Merck, and Vifor Fresenius Medical Care Renal Pharma. KUE reports grants from Amgen, Astra Zeneca, Bayer, Fresenius, Genzyme, and Vifor and personal fees from Akebia Therapeutics, Inc., Bayer, and Boehringer Ingelheim., (Copyright © 2020. Published by Elsevier Inc.)

Background: Vadadustat is an oral hypoxia-inducible factor (HIF) prolyl hydroxylase inhibitor, a class of drugs that stabilize HIF and stimulate erythropoietin and red-cell production., Methods: In two phase 3, randomized, open-label, active-controlled, noninferiority trials, we compared vadadustat with the erythropoiesis-stimulating agent (ESA) darbepoetin alfa in patients with non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease (NDD-CKD) not previously treated with an ESA who had a hemoglobin concentration of less than 10 g per deciliter and in patients with ESA-treated NDD-CKD and a hemoglobin concentration of 8 to 11 g per deciliter (in the United States) or 9 to 12 g per deciliter (in other countries). The primary safety end point, assessed in a time-to-event analysis, was the first major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE; a composite of death from any cause, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke), pooled across the two trials. Secondary safety end points included expanded MACE (MACE plus hospitalization for either heart failure or a thromboembolic event). The primary and key secondary efficacy end points in each trial were the mean change in hemoglobin concentration from baseline during two evaluation periods: weeks 24 through 36 and weeks 40 through 52., Results: A total of 1751 patients with ESA-untreated NDD-CKD and 1725 with ESA-treated NDD-CKD underwent randomization in the two trials. In the pooled analysis, in which 1739 patients received vadadustat and 1732 received darbepoetin alfa, the hazard ratio for MACE was 1.17 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01 to 1.36), which did not meet the prespecified noninferiority margin of 1.25. The mean between-group differences in the change in the hemoglobin concentration at weeks 24 through 36 were 0.05 g per deciliter (95% CI, -0.04 to 0.15) in the trial involving ESA-untreated patients and -0.01 g per deciliter (95% CI, -0.09 to 0.07) in the trial involving ESA-treated patients, which met the prespecified noninferiority margin of -0.75 g per deciliter., Conclusions: Vadadustat, as compared with darbepoetin alfa, met the prespecified noninferiority criterion for hematologic efficacy but not the prespecified noninferiority criterion for cardiovascular safety in patients with NDD-CKD. (Funded by Akebia Therapeutics and Otsuka Pharmaceutical; PRO 2 TECT ClinicalTrials.gov numbers, NCT02648347 and NCT02680574.)., (Copyright © 2021 Massachusetts Medical Society.)

Background: Vadadustat is an oral hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase inhibitor, a class of compounds that stimulate endogenous erythropoietin production., Methods: We conducted two randomized, open-label, noninferiority phase 3 trials to evaluate the safety and efficacy of vadadustat, as compared with darbepoetin alfa, in patients with anemia and incident or prevalent dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease (DD-CKD). The primary safety end point, assessed in a time-to-event analysis, was the first occurrence of a major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE, a composite of death from any cause, a nonfatal myocardial infarction, or a nonfatal stroke), pooled across the trials (noninferiority margin, 1.25). A key secondary safety end point was the first occurrence of a MACE plus hospitalization for either heart failure or a thromboembolic event. The primary and key secondary efficacy end points were the mean change in hemoglobin from baseline to weeks 24 to 36 and from baseline to weeks 40 to 52, respectively, in each trial (noninferiority margin, -0.75 g per deciliter)., Results: A total of 3923 patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive vadadustat or darbepoetin alfa: 369 in the incident DD-CKD trial and 3554 in the prevalent DD-CKD trial. In the pooled analysis, a first MACE occurred in 355 patients (18.2%) in the vadadustat group and in 377 patients (19.3%) in the darbepoetin alfa group (hazard ratio, 0.96; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.83 to 1.11). The mean differences between the groups in the change in hemoglobin concentration were -0.31 g per deciliter (95% CI, -0.53 to -0.10) at weeks 24 to 36 and -0.07 g per deciliter (95% CI, -0.34 to 0.19) at weeks 40 to 52 in the incident DD-CKD trial and -0.17 g per deciliter (95% CI, -0.23 to -0.10) and -0.18 g per deciliter (95% CI, -0.25 to -0.12), respectively, in the prevalent DD-CKD trial. The incidence of serious adverse events in the vadadustat group was 49.7% in the incident DD-CKD trial and 55.0% in the prevalent DD-CKD trial, and the incidences in the darbepoetin alfa group were 56.5% and 58.3%, respectively., Conclusions: Among patients with anemia and CKD who were undergoing dialysis, vadadustat was noninferior to darbepoetin alfa with respect to cardiovascular safety and correction and maintenance of hemoglobin concentrations. (Funded by Akebia Therapeutics and Otsuka Pharmaceutical; INNO 2 VATE ClinicalTrials.gov numbers, NCT02865850 and NCT02892149.)., (Copyright © 2021 Massachusetts Medical Society.)

Objective: The use of antipsychotics to treat seniors in long-term care facilities (LTCFs) has raised concern because of health consequences (i.e., increased risk of falls, stroke, death) in this vulnerable population. This study measured geographic patterns of antipsychotic utilization among seniors living in LTCFs in Newfoundland and Labrador (NL) and assessed potential inappropriateness., Method: We analyzed prescription records among adults 66 years and older with provincial prescription drug coverage admitted to LTCFs in NL between April 1, 2011, and March 31, 2014. Patterns of use were analyzed across the 4 regional health authorities (RHAs) in NL and LTCFs. Logistic, Poisson and linear regression models were used to test variations in prevalence, rate and volume of antipsychotic utilization. To assess potential inappropriateness of antipsychotic use, we analyzed data from Resident Assessment Instrument-Minimum Data Set (RAI-MDS) 2.0 forms from NL LTCFs between January 1, 2016, and December 31, 2018. Pearson chi-squared analysis was performed at the RHA and LTCF levels to determine changes in percentage of total prescriptions or antipsychotic prescriptions without psychosis., Results: Between 2011 and 2014, 2843 seniors were admitted to LTCFs across NL; of these, 1323 residents were prescribed 1 or more antipsychotics. Within the 3-year period, the percentage of antipsychotic use across facilities ranged from 35% to 78%. Using data from 27,260 RAI-MDS 2.0 assessments between 2016 and 2018, 71% (6995/9851) of antipsychotic prescriptions were potentially inappropriate., Discussion: There is substantial variation across NL regions concerning the utilization of antipsychotics for senior in LTCFs. Facility size and management styles may be reasons for this., Conclusion: With nearly three-quarters of antipsychotic prescriptions shown to be potentially inappropriate, systematic interventions to assess indications for antipsychotic use are warranted. Can Pharm J (Ott) 2021;154:xx-xx., Competing Interests: Conflict of Interest Statement:The authors declare that they have no significant competing financial, professional or personal interests that might have influenced the performance or presentation of the work described in this article., (© The Author(s) 2021.)

Introduction: Several jurisdictions have adopted a more conservative approach to anemia in patients receiving dialysis amid safety concerns from target hemoglobin studies. It is largely unknown if this has contributed to a change in clinical outcomes., Methods: A national registry was used to identify 35,945 adult patients who initiated and were maintained on dialysis for ≥90 days in Canada from January 2007 to December 2015. Outcomes were ascertained until March 2017 via linkage with hospital discharge diagnoses. Cox proportional hazards models were used to investigate the association between the era of dialysis initiation and the primary composite outcome (acute myocardial infarction [AMI], stroke, or mortality)., Results: The mean hemoglobin at dialysis initiation decreased from 102.9 g/l in 2007 to 95.5 g/l in 2015, corresponding with a higher prevalence of hemoglobin <80 g/l (8% to 17%) and a reduction in erythropoiesis stimulating agent (ESA) use (49% to 44%). After multivariable adjustment, Era 3 (2013-2015) was associated with an 8% relative risk reduction in the primary outcome compared with Era 1 (2007-2009) (hazard ratio [HR] 0.92, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.88-0.96), a 10% relative reduction in mortality (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.85-0.94) but no significant change in AMI or stroke. In a model without era, neither hemoglobin nor ESA use was an independent predictor of outcome., Conclusion: There have been modest declines in average hemoglobin values and ESA use among incident dialysis patients in Canada with no change in major cardiovascular outcomes. Patient survival has improved over time, likely for reasons other than anemia management., (© 2021 International Society of Nephrology. Published by Elsevier Inc.)

Today's clinical practice relies on the application of well-designed clinical research, the gold standard test of an intervention being the randomized controlled trial. Principles of the randomized control trial include emphasis on the principal research question, randomization, blinding; definitions of outcome measures, of inclusion and exclusion criteria, and of co-morbid and confounding factors; enrolling an adequate sample size; planning data management and analysis; preventing challenges to trial integrity such as drop-out, drop-in, and bias. The application of pre-trial planning is stressed to ensure the proper application of epidemiological principles resulting in clinical studies that are feasible and generalizable. In addition, funding strategies and trial team composition are discussed.

The intention-to-treat analysis is the gold standard for evaluating the efficacy in a randomized controlled trial. However, when non-adherence to randomized treatments is high the actual treatment effect may be underestimated. The impact of drop-out from the intervention group or drop-in to the control group may be controlled by trial design, increasing the sample size, effective study execution, and a pre-specified analytical plan to take contamination into account.These analyses may include censoring at the time of co-interventions associated with stopping treatment, lag censoring which allows an additional period after discontinuation of study treatment to account for residual treatment effects, inverse probability of censoring weights (IPCW), accelerated failure time models, and contamination adjusted intent-to-treat analysis . These methods are particularly useful in assessing the "prescribed efficacy" of the study treatment, which can aid clinical decision-making .

In longitudinal studies, the relationship between exposure and disease can be measured once or multiple times while participants are monitored over time. Traditional regression techniques are used to model outcome data when each epidemiological unit is observed once. These models include generalized linear models for quantitative continuous, discrete, or qualitative outcome responses, and models for time-to-event data. When data come from the same subjects or group of subjects, observations are not independent and the underlying correlation needs to be addressed in the analysis. In these circumstances, extended models are necessary to handle complexities related to clustered data, and repeated measurements of time-varying predictors and/or outcomes.

Statistical models are used to study the relationship between exposure and disease while accounting for the potential role of other factors' impact upon outcomes. This adjustment is useful to obtain unbiased estimates of true effects or to predict future outcomes. Statistical models include a systematic and an error component. The systematic component explains the variability of the response variable as a function of the predictors and is summarized in the effect estimates (model coefficients). The error element of the model represents the variability in the data unexplained by the model and is used to build measures of precisions around the point estimates (Confidence Intervals).

The quantity of health spending does not equate directly to the quality of healthcare. Social spending and nonmedical determinants of health impact on health outcomes. The value of health spending in the United States is limited by the high cost of goods and labor, and administrative costs, high use of low-level care, and lack of basic healthcare coverage in a substantial minority of the population. There are additional reasons for differences in the value of health spending as revealed by a comparison of Canada and Australia, where similar spending per capita results in better health system performance in Australia than in Canada. Within Canada, there are large differences between provinces in the value of health spending. Overutilization of health resources occurs when an intervention is not indicated, or of low value, or is provided at the wrong time. The Choosing Wisely Initiative is a solution for overutilization of low-value care. Recognition of the reality that effective treatments are often applied inconsistently and inappropriately has spurred the development of a science concerned with improvement of quality of care.

Clinical epidemiological research entails assessing the burden and etiology of disease, the diagnosis and prognosis of disease, the efficacy of preventive measures or treatments, the analysis of the risks and benefits of diagnostic and therapeutic maneuvers, and the evaluation of health care services. In all areas, the main focus is to describe the relationship between exposure and outcome and to determine one of the following: prevalence, incidence, cause, prognosis, or effect of treatment. The accuracy of these conclusions is determined by the validity of the study. Validity is determined by addressing potential biases and possible confounders that may be responsible for the observed association. Therefore, it is important to understand the types of bias that exist and also to be able to assess their impact on the magnitude and direction of the observed effect. The following chapter reviews the epidemiological concepts of selection bias, information bias, intervention bias, and confounding and discusses ways in which these sources of bias can be minimized.

Knowledge translation (KT) is critical to realizing real-world impacts from health research by reducing the amount of time it takes for evidence to inform practice. One way this is achieved is by engaging with knowledge users throughout the process to ensure that research responds to their needs. It is also important to share the study results in a way that is useful, accessible, and relevant to knowledge user groups. KT planning involves multiple categories described in templates that are available online and referenced in the text. Common knowledge translation challenges and suggested solutions, as well as real-world KT examples, are also provided.

Clinical epidemiology is the science of human disease investigation with a focus on diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment. The generation of a reasonable question requires definition of patients, interventions, controls, and outcomes. The goal of research design is to minimize error, ensure adequate samples, measure input and output variables appropriately, consider external and internal validities, limit bias, and address clinical as well as statistical relevance. The hierarchy of evidence for clinical decision-making places randomized controlled trials (RCT) or systematic review of good-quality RCTs at the top of the evidence pyramid. Prognostic and etiologic questions are best addressed with longitudinal cohort studies.

Quality-of-life (QoL) outcomes are important elements of randomized controlled trials. The instruments for measurement of QoL vary but usually multiple comparisons are possible, a concern that can be offset by prespecifying the outcomes of interest. Missing data may threaten the validity of QoL assessments in trials. Therefore, familiarity with the strategies used to account for missing data is necessary. Measures that incorporate both survival and QoL are helpful for treatment decisions. The definition of minimal clinically important differences in QoL scores is important and often derived using inadequate methods.

When analyzing the results of a trial, the primary outcome variable must be kept in clear focus. In the analysis plan, consideration must be given to comparing the characteristics of the subjects, taking account of differences in these characteristics, intention-to-treat analysis, interim analyses and stopping rules, mortality comparisons, composite outcomes, research design including run-in periods, factorial, stratified and crossover designs, number needed to treat, power issues, multivariate modeling, subgroup analysis, competing risks, and hypothesis-generating analyses.

Background: CT Imaging is often requested for patients with low back pain (LBP) by their general practitioners. It is currently unknown what reasons are common for these referrals and if CT images are ordered according to guidelines in one province in Canada, which has high rates of CT imaging. The objective of this study is to categorise lumbar spine CT referrals into serious spinal pathology, radicular syndrome, and non-specific LBP and evaluate the appropriateness of CT imaging referrals from general practitioners for patients with LBP., Methods: A retrospective medical record review of electronic health records was performed in one health region in Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada. Inclusion criteria were lumbar spine CT referrals ordered by general practitioners for adults ≥18 years, and performed between January 1st-December 31st, 2016. Each CT referral was identified from linked databases (Meditech and PACS). To the study authors' knowledge, guidelines regarding when to refer patients with low back pain for CT imaging had not been actively disseminated to general practitioners or implemented at clinics/hospitals during this time period. Data were manually extracted and categorised into three groups: red flag conditions (judged to be an appropriate referral), radicular syndrome (judged be unclear appropriateness), or nonspecific LBP (determined to be inappropriate)., Results: Three thousand six hundred nine lumbar spine CTs were included from 2016. The mean age of participants was 54.7 (SD 14 years), with females comprising 54.6% of referrals. 1.9% of lumbar CT referrals were missing/unclear, 6.5% of CTs were ordered on a red-flag suspicion, 75.6% for radicular syndromes, and 16.0% for non-specific LBP; only 6.5% of referrals were clearly appropriate. Key information including patient history and clinical exams performed at appointment were often missing from referrals., Conclusion: This audit found high proportions of inappropriate or questionable referrals for lumbar spine CT and many were missing information needed to categorise. Further research to understand the drivers of inappropriate imaging and cost to the healthcare system would be beneficial.

Protective associations of fruits, vegetables, and fiber intake with colorectal cancer risk have been shown in many, but not all epidemiologic studies. One possible reason for study heterogeneity is that dietary factors may have distinct effects by colorectal cancer molecular subtypes. Here, we investigate the association of fruit, vegetables, and fiber intake with four well-established colorectal cancer molecular subtypes separately and in combination. Nine observational studies including 9,592 cases with molecular subtypes for microsatellite instability (MSI), CpG island methylator phenotype (CIMP), and somatic mutations in BRAF and KRAS genes, and 7,869 controls were analyzed. Both case-only logistic regression analyses and polytomous logistic regression analyses (with one control set and multiple case groups) were used. Higher fruit intake was associated with a trend toward decreased risk of BRAF -mutated tumors [OR 4th vs. 1st quartile = 0.82 (95% confidence interval, 0.65-1.04)] but not BRAF -wildtype tumors [1.09 (0.97-1.22); P difference as shown in case-only analysis = 0.02]. This difference was observed in case-control studies and not in cohort studies. Compared with controls, higher fiber intake showed negative association with colorectal cancer risk for cases with microsatellite stable/MSI-low, CIMP-negative, BRAF -wildtype, and KRAS -wildtype tumors ( P trend range from 0.03 to 3.4e-03), which is consistent with the traditional adenoma-colorectal cancer pathway. These negative associations were stronger compared with MSI-high, CIMP-positive, BRAF -mutated, or KRAS -mutated tumors, but the differences were not statistically significant. These inverse associations for fruit and fiber intake may explain, in part, inconsistent findings between fruit or fiber intake and colorectal cancer risk that have previously been reported. SIGNIFICANCE: These analyses by colorectal cancer molecular subtypes potentially explain the inconsistent findings between dietary fruit or fiber intake and overall colorectal cancer risk that have previously been reported., (©2020 American Association for Cancer Research.)

Background: Bilirubin, a byproduct of hemoglobin breakdown and purported anti-oxidant, is thought to be cancer preventive. We conducted complementary serological and Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses to investigate whether alterations in circulating levels of bilirubin are associated with risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). We decided a priori to perform analyses separately in men and women based on suggestive evidence that associations may differ by sex., Methods: In a case-control study nested in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC), pre-diagnostic unconjugated bilirubin (UCB, the main component of total bilirubin) concentrations were measured by high-performance liquid chromatography in plasma samples of 1386 CRC cases and their individually matched controls. Additionally, 115 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) robustly associated (P < 5 × 10 -8 ) with circulating total bilirubin were instrumented in a 2-sample MR to test for a potential causal effect of bilirubin on CRC risk in 52,775 CRC cases and 45,940 matched controls in the Genetics and Epidemiology of Colorectal Cancer Consortium (GECCO), the Colon Cancer Family Registry (CCFR), and the Colorectal Transdisciplinary (CORECT) study., Results: The associations between circulating UCB levels and CRC risk differed by sex (P heterogeneity  = 0.008). Among men, higher levels of UCB were positively associated with CRC risk (odds ratio [OR] = 1.19, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.04-1.36; per 1-SD increment of log-UCB). In women, an inverse association was observed (OR = 0.86 (0.76-0.97)). In the MR analysis of the main UGT1A1 SNP (rs6431625), genetically predicted higher levels of total bilirubin were associated with a 7% increase in CRC risk in men (OR = 1.07 (1.02-1.12); P = 0.006; per 1-SD increment of total bilirubin), while there was no association in women (OR = 1.01 (0.96-1.06); P = 0.73). Raised bilirubin levels, predicted by instrumental variables excluding rs6431625, were suggestive of an inverse association with CRC in men, but not in women. These differences by sex did not reach formal statistical significance (P heterogeneity  ≥ 0.2)., Conclusions: Additional insight into the relationship between circulating bilirubin and CRC is needed in order to conclude on a potential causal role of bilirubin in CRC development.

Objectives: Measuring blood urea at the same time as serum creatinine in stable ambulatory patients in family practice is largely unnecessary. The objective was to assess the relative impact of changing the laboratory requisition versus audit and feedback and academic detailing on the volume of orders for blood urea., Design and Methods: A natural experiment was observed over the period April 2015 to March 2018 in the Canadian province of Newfoundland where three health regions had different approaches to trying to reduce such urea testing. The Eastern and Western regions removed urea from the standard laboratory requisition but the test could still be ordered by writing it on the requisition. Central region requisitions continued to list urea. Audit and feedback was undertaken with family doctors in Eastern region after the requisition change and that was followed by academic detailing. A nephrologist gave presentations to groups of family doctors on one occasion in Central region., Results: The volume of serum creatinine testing was largely unchanged over time in each region. The volume of urea testing reduced by 73%, 48% and 28% in Eastern, Western and central regions. Interrupted time series analysis showed significant changes in test volume after requisition change in Eastern and Western regions as well as after audit and feedback in Eastern and the presentations in Central region. The incremental impact of academic detailing was not statistically significant., Conclusion: We conclude that removing urea from standard test order menus was the most effective in reducing test volumes, but combination with audit and feedback augmented the impact., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2020 The Canadian Society of Clinical Chemists. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: High-level exercise has been associated with a malignant phenotype in desmosomal and genotype-negative forms of arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC). This is the first study to examine this issue with ARVC secondary to the TMEM43 p.S358L mutation., Objective: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the impact of exercise on arrhythmic risk and cardiac death in TMEM43 p.S358L ARVC., Methods: Individuals with the TMEM43 p.S358L mutation enrolled in a prospective registry who had received a primary prevention implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) were invited to complete the modified Paffenbarger Physical Activity Questionnaire to assess their physical activity in the year before their ICD implantation. Time-to-event analyses using unadjusted and adjusted Cox proportional hazards models evaluated associations between physical activity and first appropriate ICD discharge secondary to malignant ventricular arrhythmia or cardiac death., Results: In 80 subjects with the TMEM43 p.S358L mutation, exercise ≥9.0 metabolic equivalent of task (MET)-hours/day (high level) in the year before ICD implantation was associated with an adjusted 9.1-fold increased hazard of first appropriate ICD discharge (there were no deaths) relative to physical activity <9.0 MET-hours/day (moderate level) (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.3-24.6 MET-hours/day; P < .001). The median age from birth to first appropriate ICD discharge was 58.5 years (95% CI 56.5-60.5 years) vs 35.8 years (95% CI 28.2-43.4 years) (P < .001) in subjects in moderate- and high-level exercise groups, respectively., Conclusion: Exercise ≥9.0 MET-hours/day is associated with an increased risk of malignant ventricular arrhythmias in the TMEM43 p.S358L subtype of ARVC. Extrapolating these data, we suggest molecular testing be offered in early childhood to inform exercise choices reflective of the genotype., (Copyright © 2020 Heart Rhythm Society. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: In March 2016, an Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) initiative was implemented for all elective colorectal resections at an urban hospital in St. John's, Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada. An ERAS coordinator supervised and enforced guideline compliance for 6 months. The aim of this study was to evaluate the sustainability of the ERAS program after supervision of guideline compliance was eliminated., Methods: Patient outcomes and guideline compliance were compared between surgeries performed under standard practice (April 2014 to March 2015) and those performed during and after the implementation of the ERAS initiative (March 2016 to August 2016 was the implementation phase and September 2016 to February 2017 was the sustainability phase)., Results: Hospital length of stay decreased from 7.26 days at baseline to 5.44 days during the implementation phase of the ERAS program (p < 0.001). There was no significant difference between length of stay at baseline and during the 6-month sustainability phase of the ERAS program (7.10 d). There were no significant differences in rates of readmission or mortality during and after implementation. Rate of ileus decreased significantly from 13.8% during the implementation phase to 4.6% during the sustainability phase (p = 0.036). Total guideline compliance increased from 52.2% at baseline to 80.7% during the implementation phase (p < 0.001), and decreased to 74.7% during the sustainability phase (p < 0.001). Adherence to postoperative guidelines regressed: 79.2% in the implementation phase and 68.6% in the sustainability phase (p < 0.001)., Conclusion: La durée des séjours à l’hôpital a diminué après l’adoption du programme de RAAC, lorsque le coordonnateur du programme était présent. Les méthodes de maintien des lignes directrices après leur adoption seront cruciales au succès de programmes similaires à l’avenir., Competing Interests: None declared., (© 2020 Joule Inc. or its licensors.)

Joint models for recurrent and terminal events have not been yet developed for clustered data. The goals of our study are to develop a statistical framework for modelling clustered recurrent and terminal events and to perform dynamic predictions of the terminal event in family studies. We propose a joint nested frailty model for colonoscopy screening visits and colorectal cancer onset in Lynch Syndrome families. The screening and disease processes could each depend on individuals' screening history and other measured covariates and be correlated within families; our approach allows for familial correlations to affect both the visit process and the terminal event and the dependence between the two processes is specified through frailty distributions. We provide dynamic predictions of colorectal cancer risk for an individual conditional on his/her own screening history, his/her family history of screening and disease and other important clinical covariates. We apply our model to 18 Lynch Syndrome families from Newfoundland for individualized dynamic predictions of colorectal cancer risks. We demonstrate that the screening visits are non-ignorable for estimating the disease risks, and the joint nested frailty model improves dynamic prediction accuracies compared to existing joint frailty models after accounting for familial and individual screening and cancer histories.

Background & Aims: Early-onset colorectal cancer (CRC, in persons younger than 50 years old) is increasing in incidence; yet, in the absence of a family history of CRC, this population lacks harmonized recommendations for prevention. We aimed to determine whether a polygenic risk score (PRS) developed from 95 CRC-associated common genetic risk variants was associated with risk for early-onset CRC., Methods: We studied risk for CRC associated with a weighted PRS in 12,197 participants younger than 50 years old vs 95,865 participants 50 years or older. PRS was calculated based on single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with CRC in a large-scale genome-wide association study as of January 2019. Participants were pooled from 3 large consortia that provided clinical and genotyping data: the Colon Cancer Family Registry, the Colorectal Transdisciplinary Study, and the Genetics and Epidemiology of Colorectal Cancer Consortium and were all of genetically defined European descent. Findings were replicated in an independent cohort of 72,573 participants., Results: Overall associations with CRC per standard deviation of PRS were significant for early-onset cancer, and were stronger compared with late-onset cancer (P for interaction = .01); when we compared the highest PRS quartile with the lowest, risk increased 3.7-fold for early-onset CRC (95% CI 3.28-4.24) vs 2.9-fold for late-onset CRC (95% CI 2.80-3.04). This association was strongest for participants without a first-degree family history of CRC (P for interaction = 5.61 × 10 -5 ). When we compared the highest with the lowest quartiles in this group, risk increased 4.3-fold for early-onset CRC (95% CI 3.61-5.01) vs 2.9-fold for late-onset CRC (95% CI 2.70-3.00). Sensitivity analyses were consistent with these findings., Conclusions: In an analysis of associations with CRC per standard deviation of PRS, we found the cumulative burden of CRC-associated common genetic variants to associate with early-onset cancer, and to be more strongly associated with early-onset than late-onset cancer, particularly in the absence of CRC family history. Analyses of PRS, along with environmental and lifestyle risk factors, might identify younger individuals who would benefit from preventive measures., (Copyright © 2020 AGA Institute. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Alcohol consumption is an established risk factor for colorectal cancer (CRC). However, while studies have consistently reported elevated risk of CRC among heavy drinkers, associations at moderate levels of alcohol consumption are less clear. We conducted a combined analysis of 16 studies of CRC to examine the shape of the alcohol-CRC association, investigate potential effect modifiers of the association, and examine differential effects of alcohol consumption by cancer anatomic site and stage. We collected information on alcohol consumption for 14,276 CRC cases and 15,802 controls from 5 case-control and 11 nested case-control studies of CRC. We compared adjusted logistic regression models with linear and restricted cubic splines to select a model that best fit the association between alcohol consumption and CRC. Study-specific results were pooled using fixed-effects meta-analysis. Compared to non-/occasional drinking (≤1 g/day), light/moderate drinking (up to 2 drinks/day) was associated with a decreased risk of CRC (odds ratio [OR]: 0.92, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.88-0.98, p = 0.005), heavy drinking (2-3 drinks/day) was not significantly associated with CRC risk (OR: 1.11, 95% CI: 0.99-1.24, p = 0.08) and very heavy drinking (more than 3 drinks/day) was associated with a significant increased risk (OR: 1.25, 95% CI: 1.11-1.40, p < 0.001). We observed no evidence of interactions with lifestyle risk factors or of differences by cancer site or stage. These results provide further evidence that there is a J-shaped association between alcohol consumption and CRC risk. This overall pattern was not significantly modified by other CRC risk factors and there was no effect heterogeneity by tumor site or stage., (Published 2019. This article is a U.S. Government work and is in the public domain in the USA.)

Background: Reducing computed tomography (CT) examinations of the lumbar spine is one of Choosing Wisely Canada's initial top 10 recommendations. This study's objective was to report the age- and-sex standardized rates of lumbar spine CT ordered by family physicians in 1 health region in Newfoundland and Labrador., Methods: We conducted a retrospective study using local health data from Meditech, an electronic health record system, from 2013 to 2016 for the Eastern Health Region of Newfoundland and Labrador, the largest health region in the province. Records were included if the referral was for an adult aged 20 years or more, and CT was ordered by a family physician. Lumbar spine CT rates were contextualized with age- and sex-stratified estimates. Population estimates were provided by the Newfoundland and Labrador Centre for Health Information to calculate age- and sex-standardized rates per 100 000 people. We calculated rate ratios to test for statistical significance in differences in rates between years., Results: A total of 14 370 records were examined. The age- and sex-standardized rates of lumbar spine CT per 100 000 were 1225 in 2013, 1393 in 2014, 1556 in 2015 and 1395 in 2016. The rate ratio was 1.137 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.084-1.194) for the comparison between 2014 and 2013, 1.117 (95% CI 1.067-1.169) between 2015 and 2014, and 0.896 (95% CI 0.857-0.938) between 2016 and 2015., Interpretation: The age- and sex-standardized rates suggest that there was a steady rate of lumbar spine CT examinations being ordered by family physicians in Newfoundland and Labrador in 2013-2016. Although all rate ratios were statistically significant, the magnitude of the difference between years is likely not clinically relevant. These rates are important because they serve as a benchmark for future initiatives to reduce unnecessary referrals for lumbar spine CT., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (Copyright 2020, Joule Inc. or its licensors.)

Background: Since 2000, guidelines have been consistent in recommending when diagnostic imaging for low back pain should be obtained to ensure patient safety and reduce unnecessary tests. This systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted to determine the pooled proportion of CT and x-ray imaging of the lumbar spine that were considered appropriate in primary and emergency care., Methods: Pubmed, CINAHL, The Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews and Embase were searched for synonyms of "low back pain", "guidelines", and "adherence" that were published after 2000. Titles, abstracts, and full texts were reviewed for inclusion with forward and backward tracking on included studies. Included studies had data extracted and synthesized. Risk of bias was performed on all studies, and GRADE was performed on included studies that provided data on CT and x-ray separately. A random effect, single proportion meta-analysis model was used., Results: Six studies were included in the descriptive synthesis, and 5 studies included in the meta-analysis. Five of the 6 studies assessed appropriateness of x-rays; two of the six studies assessed appropriateness of CTs. The pooled estimate for appropriateness of x-rays was 43% (95% CI: 30%, 56%) and the pooled estimate for appropriateness of CTs was 54% (95% CI: 51%, 58%). Studies did not report adequate information to fulfill the RECORD checklist (reporting guidelines for research using observational data). Risk of bias was high in 4 studies, moderate in one, and low in one. GRADE for x-ray appropriateness was low-quality and for CT appropriateness was very-low-quality., Conclusion: While this study determined a pooled proportion of appropriateness for both x-ray and CT imaging for low back pain, there is limited confidence in these numbers due to the downgrading of the evidence using GRADE. Further research on this topic is needed to inform our understanding of x-ray and CT appropriateness in order to improve healthcare systems and decrease patient harms., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Background: Colorectal cancer is the third most common cancer in the world. In this study, we assessed the long-term survival characteristics and prognostic associations and potential time-varying effects of clinico-demographic variables and two molecular markers (microsatellite instability (MSI) and BRAF Val600Glu mutation) in a population-based patient cohort followed up to ~ 19 years., Methods: The patient cohort included 738 incident cases diagnosed between 1999 and 2003. Cox models were used to analyze the association between the variables and a set of survival outcome measures (overall survival (OS), disease-specific survival (DSS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), metastasis-free survival (MFS), recurrence/metastasis-free survival (RMFS), and event-free survival (EFS)). Cox proportional hazard (PH) assumption was tested for all variables, and Cox models with time-varying effects were used if any departure from the PH assumption was detected., Results: During the follow-up, ~ 61% patients died from any cause, ~ 26% died from colorectal cancer, and ~ 10% and ~ 20% experienced recurrences and distant metastases, respectively. Stage IV disease and post-diagnostic recurrence or metastasis were strongly linked to risk of death from colorectal cancer. If a patient had survived the first 6 years without any disease-related event (i.e., recurrence, metastasis, or death from colorectal cancer), their risks became very minimal after this time period. Distinct sets of markers were associated with different outcome measures. In some cases, the effects by variables were constant throughout the follow-up. For example, MSI-high tumor phenotype and older age at diagnosis predicted longer MFS times consistently over the follow-up. However, in some other cases, the effects of the variables varied with time. For example, adjuvant radiotherapy treatment was associated with increased risk of metastasis in patients who received this treatment after 5.5 years post-diagnosis, but not before that., Conclusions: This study describes the long-term survival characteristics of a prospective cohort of colorectal cancer patients, relationships between baseline variables and a detailed set of patient outcomes over a long time, and time-varying effects of a group of variables. The results presented advance our understanding of the long-term prognostic characteristics in colorectal cancer and are expected to inspire future studies and clinical care strategies.

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Aims: Metformin could have benefits on cardiovascular disease and kidney disease progression but is often withheld from individuals with diabetes and chronic kidney disease (CKD) because of a concern that it may increase the risk of lactic acidosis., Materials and Methods: All-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, cardiovascular events (death, hospitalization for heart failure, myocardial infarction, stroke or myocardial ischemia), end stage renal disease (ESRD) and the kidney disease composite (ESRD or death) were compared in metformin users and non-users with diabetes and CKD enrolled in the Trial to Reduce Cardiovascular Events with Aranesp (darbepoeitin-alfa) Therapy (TREAT) (NCT00093015). Outcomes were compared after propensity matching of users and non-users and in multivariable proportional hazards models., Results: There were 591 individuals who used metformin at baseline and 3447 non-users. Among propensity-matched users, the crude incidence rate for mortality, cardiovascular mortality, cardiovascular events and the combined endpoint was lower in metformin users than in non-users, but ESRD was marginally higher (4.0% vs 3.6%). Metformin use was independently associated with a reduced risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.36-0.69), cardiovascular death (HR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.32-0.74), the cardiovascular composite (HR, 0.67, 95% CI, 0.51-0.88) and the kidney disease composite (HR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.61-0.98). Associations with ESRD (HR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.65-1.55) were not significant. Results were qualitatively similar in adjusted analyses of the full population. Two cases of lactic acidosis were observed., Conclusions: Metformin may be safer for use in CKD than previously considered and may lower the risk of death and cardiovascular events in individuals with stage 3 CKD., (© 2019 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Rationale & Objective: Evidence from clinical trials to guide patient preparation for maintenance dialysis therapy is limited. Although anemia is associated with mortality and cardiovascular (CV) disease in individuals initiating maintenance dialysis therapy, it is not known if treatment of anemia before dialysis therapy initiation with erythropoiesis-stimulating agents alters outcomes., Study Design: Post hoc analysis of a randomized controlled trial., Setting & Participants: Participants with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease who progressed to dialysis therapy (n=590) in the Trial to Reduce Cardiovascular Events With Aranesp Therapy (TREAT)., Exposure: Randomized treatment assignment (darbepoetin vs placebo)., Outcomes: All-cause mortality, CV mortality, nonfatal myocardial infarction, heart failure, and stroke within the first 180 days of dialysis therapy initiation., Analytical Approach: Proportional hazards regression., Results: Overall, 590 of 4,038 (14.6%) participants initiated dialysis therapy during the trial (n=298 and 292 in the darbepoetin and placebo groups, respectively). Corresponding hemoglobin levels were 11.3±1.6 and 9.5±1.5g/dL (P<0.001). Death from any cause occurred in 31 (10.4%) participants assigned to darbepoetin and 28 (9.6%) assigned to placebo (HR, 1.16; 95% CI, 0.69-1.93), while death from CV causes occurred in 15 (5.0%) and 13 (4.5%) participants, respectively (HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 0.58-1.93). There were no differences in risk for nonfatal myocardial infarction or heart failure. Stroke occurred in 8 (2.8%) participants assigned to darbepoetin and 1 (0.3%) assigned to placebo (HR, 8.6; 95% CI, 1.1-68.7)., Limitations: Post hoc analyses of a subgroup of study participants., Conclusions: Despite initiating dialysis therapy with a higher hemoglobin level, prior treatment with darbepoetin was not associated with a reduction in mortality, myocardial infarction, or heart failure in the first 180 days, but a higher frequency of stroke was observed. In the absence of more definitive data, this may inform decisions regarding the use of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents to treat mild to moderate anemia in patients with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease nearing dialysis therapy initiation., (Copyright © 2018. Published by Elsevier Inc.)