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Diet is a primary source of nutrients but also toxic metal exposure. In pregnancy, balancing essential metal exposure while reducing non-essential ones is vital for fetal and maternal health. However, the effect of metal mixtures from diets like the Mediterranean, known for health benefits, remains unclear. This study aimed to explore the association between Mediterranean diet adherence and metals exposure, both individually and as mixtures. The study involved 907 pregnant participants from the New Hampshire Birth Cohort Study. We calculated the relative Mediterranean diet score (rMED) through a validated food frequency questionnaire, which includes 8 traditional Mediterranean dietary components. Also, at ~24-28 weeks of gestation, we used ICP-MS to measure speciation of Al, Cd, Co, Cu, Fe, Hg, Mo, Ni, Sb, Se, Sn, Zn, and As in urine, as well as Pb, Hg, As, Ni, and Se in toenails. We used multiple linear regression and Weighted Quantile Sum regression to analyze the association between rMED and metal mixtures. The models were adjusted for age, pre-pregnancy BMI, smoking during pregnancy, and educational level. High adherence to the Mediterranean diet was associated with increased urinary Al (® = 0.26 (95 % confidence interval (CI) = 0.05; 0.46)), Cd (β = 0.12 (95%CI = 0.00; 0.24)), Mo (β = 0.10 (95%CI = 0.00; 0.20)), and AsB (β = 0.88 (95%CI = 0.49; 1.27)) as well as toenail Hg (β = 0.44 (95%CI = 0.22; 0.65)), Ni (β = 0.37 (95%CI = 0.06; 0.67)), and Pb (β = 0.22 (95%CI = 0.03; 0.40)) compared to those with low adherence. The intake of fruits and nuts, fish and seafood, legumes, cereals, meat, and olive oil were found to be related to the metal biomarkers within the rMED. In conclusion, the Mediterranean diet enhances essential metal intake but may also increase exposure to harmful ones., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest Hannah E. Laue reports financial support was provided by National Institutes of Environmental Health Sciences. Antonio J Signes Pastor reports financial support was provided by Valencia Directorate of Research Culture and Sport. Margaret R. Karagas reports financial support was provided by National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences. If there are other authors, they declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2023 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Infants and young children commonly consume apple-based products, which may contain high concentrations of inorganic arsenic (iAs). As yet, iAs exposure from ingesting apple products has not been well-characterized in early childhood. Therefore, we investigated the association between urinary arsenic concentrations and intake of apple products in one-year-old infants participating in the New Hampshire Birth Cohort Study. A three-day food diary prior to collection of a spot urine sample was used to determine infant's consumption of apple products. The sum of urinary iAs, monomethylarsonic acid, and dimethylarsinic acid, referred to as ΣAs, was used to estimate iAs exposure. A total of 242 infants had urinary arsenic speciation analyzed without indication of fish/seafood consumption (urinary arsenobetaine < 1 μg/L) and with a completed three-day food diary. Of these, 183 (76%) infants ate apples or products containing apple. The geometric mean urinary ΣAs among the 59 infants who did not consume any type of apple product was 2.78 μg/L as compared to 2.38, 2.46, 2.28, and 2.73 μg/L among infants who exclusively consumed apple juice ( n = 30), apple puree ( n = 67), apples as whole fruit ( n = 20) or products mixed with apples ( n = 21), respectively. Differences in urinary ΣAs associated with apple consumption were not statistically significant in generalized linear models adjusted for urine dilution, rice consumption, and household water arsenic. Thus, while infants in our study frequently consumed apples and apple products, we did not find evidence that it increased iAs exposure.

Objective: To evaluate the potential impact of intrapartum antibiotics, and their specific classes, on the infant gut microbiota in the first year of life., Design: Prospective study of infants in the New Hampshire Birth Cohort Study (NHBCS)., Settings: Rural New Hampshire, USA., Population or Sample: Two hundred and sixty-six full-term infants from the NHBCS., Methods: Intrapartum antibiotic use during labour and delivery was abstracted from medical records. Faecal samples collected at 6 weeks and 1 year of age were characterised by 16S rRNA sequencing, and metagenomics analysis in a subset of samples., Exposures: Maternal exposure to antibiotics during labour and delivery., Main Outcome Measure: Taxonomic and functional profiles of faecal samples., Results: Infant exposure to intrapartum antibiotics, particularly to two or more antibiotic classes, was independently associated with lower microbial diversity scores as well as a unique bacterial community at 6 weeks (GUnifrac, P = 0.02). At 1 year, infants in the penicillin-only group had significantly lower α diversity scores than infants not exposed to intrapartum antibiotics. Within the first year of life, intrapartum exposure to penicillins was related to a significantly lower increase in several taxa including Bacteroides, use of cephalosporins was associated with a significantly lower rise over time in Bifidobacterium and infants in the multi-class group experienced a significantly higher increase in Veillonella dispar., Conclusions: Our findings suggest that intrapartum antibiotics alter the developmental trajectory of the infant gut microbiome, and specific antibiotic types may impact community composition, diversity and keystone immune training taxa., Tweetable Abstract: Class of intrapartum antibiotics administered during delivery relates to maturation of infant gut microbiota., (© 2019 Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists.)

Background: Aspirin may reduce the risk of several types of cancer., Objectives: To evaluate if folic acid is associated with risk of basal cell carcinoma (BCC)., Methods: BCC incidence was evaluated in a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial of aspirin (81 mg daily or 325 mg daily for ~3 years) and/or folic acid (1 mg daily for ~6 years) for the prevention of colorectal adenomas among 1121 participants with a previous adenoma. BCC was confirmed by blinded review of pathology reports., Results: One hundred and four of 958 non-Hispanic white participants were diagnosed with BCC over a median follow-up of 13·5 years. Cumulative incidence of BCC was 12% [95% confidence interval (CI) 7-17] for placebo, 16% (95% CI 11-21) for 81 mg aspirin daily and 15% (95% CI 10-20) for 325 mg aspirin daily [hazard ratio (HR) for any aspirin 1·45 (95% CI 0·93-2·26); HR for 81 mg daily 1·57 (95% CI 0·96-2·56); HR for 325 mg daily 1·33 (95% CI 0·80-2·20)]. BCC risk was higher with aspirin use in those without previous skin cancer but lower with aspirin use in those with previous skin cancer (P interaction = 0·02 for 81 mg aspirin daily; P interaction = 0·03 for 325 mg aspirin daily). Folic acid supplementation was unrelated to BCC incidence (HR 0·85; 95% CI 0·57-1·27)., Conclusions: Neither aspirin nor folic acid treatment had a statistically significant effect on risk of BCC. Subgroup analysis suggested that chemopreventive effects of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs may be specific to those at high risk for BCC., (© 2018 British Association of Dermatologists.)

The promise of epigenome-wide association studies and cancer-specific somatic DNA methylation changes in improving our understanding of cancer, coupled with the decreasing cost and increasing coverage of DNA methylation microarrays, has brought about a surge in the use of these technologies. Here, we aim to provide both a review of issues encountered in the processing and analysis of array-based DNA methylation data and a summary of the advantages of recent approaches proposed for handling those issues, focusing on approaches publicly available in open-source environments such as R and Bioconductor. We hope that the processing tools and analysis flowchart described herein will facilitate researchers to effectively use these powerful DNA methylation array-based platforms, thereby advancing our understanding of human health and disease.

We measured fingernail metal levels, Békésy-type pure-tone thresholds and distortion product otoacoustic emission (DPOAE) levels in 59 subjects residing in the gold mining community of Bonanza, Nicaragua. Auditory testing revealed widespread hearing loss in the cohort. Nail metal concentrations (mercury, lead, aluminum, manganese and arsenic) far exceeded reference levels. No relationship was found between metal levels and auditory test results for the group as a whole. Statistically significant relationships were found between DPOAE response amplitudes and metal concentrations in a subgroup with less than 40 h per week of significant noise exposure; however, conclusions regarding these relationships should be tempered by the large number of analyses performed. Several young individuals with high metal levels reported neurological symptoms and had poor hearing. The data suggest that metal levels in artisanal mining communities present a significant public health problem and may affect hearing., (Copyright © 2012 S. Karger AG, Basel.)

Unlabelled: Pulmonary damage caused by chronic colonization of the cystic fibrosis (CF) lung by microbial communities is the proximal cause of respiratory failure. While there has been an effort to document the microbiome of the CF lung in pediatric and adult patients, little is known regarding the developing microflora in infants. We examined the respiratory and intestinal microbiota development in infants with CF from birth to 21 months. Distinct genera dominated in the gut compared to those in the respiratory tract, yet some bacteria overlapped, demonstrating a core microbiota dominated by Veillonella and Streptococcus. Bacterial diversity increased significantly over time, with evidence of more rapidly acquired diversity in the respiratory tract. There was a high degree of concordance between the bacteria that were increasing or decreasing over time in both compartments; in particular, a significant proportion (14/16 genera) increasing in the gut were also increasing in the respiratory tract. For 7 genera, gut colonization presages their appearance in the respiratory tract. Clustering analysis of respiratory samples indicated profiles of bacteria associated with breast-feeding, and for gut samples, introduction of solid foods even after adjustment for the time at which the sample was collected. Furthermore, changes in diet also result in altered respiratory microflora, suggesting a link between nutrition and development of microbial communities in the respiratory tract. Our findings suggest that nutritional factors and gut colonization patterns are determinants of the microbial development of respiratory tract microbiota in infants with CF and present opportunities for early intervention in CF with altered dietary or probiotic strategies., Importance: While efforts have been focused on assessing the microbiome of pediatric and adult cystic fibrosis (CF) patients to understand how chronic colonization by these microbes contributes to pulmonary damage, little is known regarding the earliest development of respiratory and gut microflora in infants with CF. Our findings suggest that colonization of the respiratory tract by microbes is presaged by colonization of the gut and demonstrated a role of nutrition in development of the respiratory microflora. Thus, targeted dietary or probiotic strategies may be an effective means to change the course of the colonization of the CF lung and thereby improve patient outcomes.

Background: Despite many studies on diet and bladder cancer, there are areas that remain unexplored including meat mutagens, specific vegetable groups, and vitamins from diet., Methods: We conducted a population-based case-control study of bladder cancer in Maine, New Hampshire, and Vermont. A total of 1171 cases were ascertained through hospital pathology records and cancer registries from 2001 to 2004. Overall, 1418 controls were identified from the Department of Motor Vehicles (<65 years) and Center for Medicaid and Medicare Services (65-79 years) and were frequency-matched to cases by state, sex, and age (within 5 years). Diet was assessed with a self-administered Diet History Questionnaire. Unconditional logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI)., Results: Processed meat intake was positively associated with bladder cancer (highest vs lowest quartile OR: 1.28; 95% CI: 1.00-1.65; P(trend)=0.035), with a stronger association for processed red meat (OR: 1.41; 95% CI: 1.08-1.84; P(trend)=0.024). There were no associations between intake of fruits or vegetables and bladder cancer. We did, however, observe an inverse association with vitamin B12 intake (OR: 0.77; 95% CI: 0.61-0.99; P=0.019)., Conclusion: Vitamin B12 from diet may be protective against bladder cancer, whereas consuming processed meat may increase risk., (© 2012 Cancer Research UK)

Introduction: Incidence rates of bladder cancer are notably higher in men than in women. While there is evidence that reproductive and hormonal risk factors may influence risk of bladder cancer, data are inconclusive., Materials and Methods: We examined reproductive, menstrual and hormonal use history in our population-based case-control study of bladder cancer in New Hampshire (NH), USA (n=207 women cases and n=463 women controls). Additionally, we performed a meta-analysis of the published literature. We used unconditional logistic regression analysis to compute adjusted odds ratios associated with each risk factor in the NH study. We combined these estimates with those from the published literature using inverse variance effects models., Results: In the NH study, a slightly decreased odds ratio was found among women who had ever had a birth compared to nulliparous women and an elevated odds ratio among women who underwent surgical menopause (bilateral oophorectomy), especially at an early age. No overall associations were found with oral contraceptive use or hormone replacement therapy. These findings were generally in agreement with the meta-analytic results for which the combined relative risk (RR) estimate was reduced among ever parous women (combined RR estimate for ever parous versus nulliparous=0.66, 95% confidence intervals [95% CI] 0.55-0.79) and elevated among those undergoing an early menopause (combined RR estimate for early versus late menopause=1.59, 95% CI 1.31-1.92). No consistent risk was observed for the other factors., Discussion: Some reproductive and menstrual factors appear to be related to the incidence of bladder cancer among women; but whether effects are due to female hormones is uncertain., (Copyright © 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Associations between bladder cancer risk and NAT2 and GSTM1 polymorphisms have emerged as some of the most consistent findings in the genetic epidemiology of common metabolic polymorphisms and cancer, but their interaction with tobacco use, intensity and duration remain unclear. In a New England population-based case-control study of urothelial carcinoma, we collected mouthwash samples from 1088 of 1171 cases (92.9%) and 1282 of 1418 controls (91.2%) for genotype analysis of GSTM1, GSTT1 and NAT2 polymorphisms. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals of bladder cancer among New England Bladder Cancer Study subjects with one or two inactive GSTM1 alleles (i.e. the 'null' genotype) were 1.26 (0.85-1.88) and 1.54 (1.05-2.25), respectively (P-trend = 0.008), compared with those with two active copies. GSTT1 inactive alleles were not associated with risk. NAT2 slow acetylation status was not associated with risk among never (1.04; 0.71-1.51), former (0.95; 0.75-1.20) or current smokers (1.33; 0.91-1.95); however, a relationship emerged when smoking intensity was evaluated. Among slow acetylators who ever smoked at least 40 cigarettes/day, risk was elevated among ever (1.82; 1.14-2.91, P-interaction = 0.07) and current heavy smokers (3.16; 1.22-8.19, P-interaction = 0.03) compared with rapid acetylators in each category; but was not observed at lower intensities. In contrast, the effect of GSTM1-null genotype was not greater among smokers, regardless of intensity. Meta-analysis of the NAT2 associations with bladder cancer showed a highly significant relationship. Findings from this large USA population-based study provided evidence that the NAT2 slow acetylation genotype interacts with tobacco smoking as a function of exposure intensity.

DNA methylation profiles can be used to define molecular cancer subtypes that may better inform disease etiology and clinical decision-making. This investigation aimed to create DNA methylation profiles of bladder cancer based on CpG methylation from almost 800 cancer-related genes and to then examine the relationship of those profiles with exposures related to risk and clinical characteristics. DNA, derived from formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tumor samples obtained from incident cases involved in a population-based case-control study of bladder cancer in New Hampshire, was used for methylation profiling on the Illumina GoldenGate Methylation Bead Array. Unsupervised clustering of those loci with the greatest change in methylation between tumor and non-diseased tissue was performed to defined molecular subgroups of disease, and univariate tests of association followed by multinomial logistic regression was used to examine the association between these classes, bladder cancer risk factors and clinical phenotypes. Membership in the two most methylated classes was significantly associated with invasive disease (P < 0.001 for both class 3 and 4). Male gender (P = 0.04) and age >70 years (P = 0.05) was associated with membership in one of the most methylated classes. Finally, average water arsenic levels in the highest percentile predicted membership in an intermediately methylated class of tumors (P = 0.02 for both classes). Exposures and demographic associated with increased risk of bladder cancer specifically associate with particular subgroups of tumors defined by DNA methylation profiling and these subgroups may define more aggressive disease.

Background: Use of immunosuppressive drugs post organ transplantation, and prolonged use of glucorticoids for other conditions have been associated with subsequent risk of certain malignancies, that is, skin cancers and lymphoma. There is evidence that the incidence of bladder cancer is also elevated among organ transplant recipients, however, it is unknown whether other groups of patients, that is, those taking oral glucocorticoids, likewise are at an increased risk., Methods: In a population-based case-control study in New Hampshire, USA, we compared the use of glucocorticoids in 786 bladder cancer cases and in 1083 controls. We used unconditional logistic regression analysis to compute adjusted odds ratios (ORs) associated with oral glucocorticoid use., Results: In our analysis, the risk of bladder cancer was related to a history of prolonged oral glucocorticoid use (OR=1.85, 95% CI=1.24-2.76, adjusted for age, gender and smoking). Associations with oral glucocorticoid use were stronger for invasive tumours (OR=2.12, 95% CI=1.17-3.85) and tumours with high (3+) p53 staining intensity (OR=2.35, 95% CI=1.26-4.36)., Conclusion: Our results raise the possibility of an increased risk of bladder cancer from systemic use of glucocorticoids, and a potential role of immune surveillance in bladder cancer aetiology.

In North Jutland County, Denmark, we investigated whether use of oral glucocorticoids was associated with an increased risk of developing basal cell carcinoma (BCC), squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), malignant melanoma (MM), and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL). From the Danish Cancer Registry we identified 5422 BCC, 935 SCC, 983 MM, and 481 NHL cases during 1989-2003. Using risk-set sampling we selected four age- and gender-matched population controls for each case from the Civil Registration System. Prescriptions for oral glucocorticoids before diagnosis were obtained from the Prescription Database of North Jutland County on the basis of National Health Service data. We used conditional logistic regression to estimate incidence rate ratios (IRRs), adjusting for chronic medical diseases (information about these were obtained from the National Patient Registry) and use of other immunosuppressants. We found slightly elevated risk estimates for BCC (IRR, 1.15 (95% CI: 1.07-1.25)), SCC (IRR, 1.14 (95% CI: 0.94-1.39)), MM (IRR, 1.15 (95% CI: 0.94-1.41), and NHL (IRR, 1.11 (95% CI: 0.85-1.46)) among users of oral glucocorticoids. Our study supports an overall association between glucocorticoid use and risk of BCC that cannot be explained by the presence of chronic diseases or concomitant use of other immunosuppressants.

Diuretics have photosensitising properties. However, little is known about how these diuretics affect the risk of skin cancers. In North Jutland County, Denmark, we investigated whether the use of photosensitising diuretics was associated with an increased risk for developing basal cell carcinoma (BCC), squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and malignant melanoma (MM). From the cancer registry, we identified primary cases of BCC, SCC and MM during the period of 1989-2003. We selected four population controls for each case from the Danish Civil Registration System, matched on age and gender. Prescriptions for photosensitising diuretics before cancer diagnosis were ascertained in the county's Prescription Database. We used conditional logistic regression to compute incidence rate ratio (IRR), controlling for the chronic medical conditions and for the previous use of oral glucocorticoids. We found an increased risk of SCC (IRR of 1.79 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.45-2.21)) and MM (IRR of 1.43 (95% CI: 1.09-1.88)) among users of combined amiloride and hydrochlorothiazide therapy. An increased risk of MM (IRR of 3.30 (95% CI: 1.34-8.10)) was found among users of indapamide. We found little associations with risk of BCC. Our findings provide evidence that the use of some photosensitising diuretics is associated with an increased risk for SCC and MM.

Background: Nonmelanoma skin cancer (NMSC) is a growing public health problem among Caucasians, thus mortality data that may provide insight into the clinical course and foster our understanding of NMSC are important., Objectives: We examined total and cause-specific mortality among patients with NMSC registered in the Danish Cancer Registry from 1978 to 2001., Methods: A total of 82 837 patients with basal cell carcinoma (BCC) and 13 453 patients with squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) were followed through the National Death Registry for specific causes of death. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were computed based on mortality rates in the general population., Results: Among patients with BCC, we found a slightly reduced total mortality [SMR 0.97, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.96-0.98] with decreased SMRs seen for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), cardiovascular disease (CVD) and diabetes mellitus. The SMR for suicide was increased. Among patients with SCC, we found an increased total mortality (SMR 1.30, 95% CI 1.26-1.33) due primarily to excess deaths from cancers, COPD, CVD and infectious diseases., Conclusions: We found markedly different mortality patterns among patients with BCC and those with SCC, suggesting important differences in the clinical course of these patients.

The molecular pathology of bladder cancer has been the subject of considerable interest and mutation of the p53 gene, which has been associated with more invasive bladder cancer, has been widely studied. Further, there is evidence that p53 inactivation (either mutation or protein dysregulation), independent of stage, may be predictive of bladder cancer progression. In an effort to avoid possible biases associated with selection of more advanced cases, we examined p53 inactivation in a population-based study of bladder cancer in New Hampshire, using both mutation and immunohistochemical methods. We found the overall prevalence of mutation to be approximately 10%, while immunohistochemical analysis suggests that approximately 66% of the tumours have dysregulated p53 at the protein level. There was a significant association of mutation with persistent p53 staining, but there remained a marked number of tumours discordant for mutation and aberrant p53 immunohistochemistry. Based upon immunohistochemical staining alone, intensity rather than extent of p53 staining was more strongly related to tumour invasiveness. Additionally, all tumours with a mutation in exon 8 stained intensely. Taken together, this suggests that intense staining represents a distinct phenotype of dysfunctional protein. Our data indicate that population-based approaches to somatic alteration of p53 in bladder cancer are crucial to understanding the relationship of p53 changes to aetiology and the outcome of this disease, and further suggest that the pattern of immunohistochemical staining may represent distinct, discernible phenotypes. British Journal of Cancer (2004) 90, 1572-1576. doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6601748 www.bjcancer.com Published online 6 April 2004

Data regarding the effects of oral contraceptive use on women's risk of melanoma have been difficult to resolve. We undertook a pooled analysis of all case-control studies of melanoma in women completed as of July 1994 for which electronic data were available on oral contraceptive use along with other melanoma risk factors such as hair colour, sun sensitivity, family history of melanoma and sun exposure. Using the original data from each investigation (a total of 2391 cases and 3199 controls), we combined the study-specific odds ratios and standard errors to obtain a pooled estimate that incorporates inter-study heterogeneity. Overall, we observed no excess risk associated with oral contraceptive use for 1 year or longer compared to never use or use for less than 1 year (pooled odds ratio (pOR)=0.86; 95% CI=0.74-1.01), and there was no evidence of heterogeneity between studies. We found no relation between melanoma incidence and duration of oral contraceptive use, age began, year of use, years since first use or last use, or specifically current oral contraceptive use. In aggregate, our findings do not suggest a major role of oral contraceptive use on women's risk of melanoma.

Non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC) is an important cause of morbidity and long-term mortality in organ transplant recipients receiving immunosuppressive drugs such as azathioprine and cyclosporin, often combined with adrenocortical steroids (glucocorticoids). At lower doses, glucocorticoids alone are prescribed for other conditions including musculoskeletal, connective tissue and respiratory disorders. Presently, it is unknown whether patients taking glucocorticoids are at an increased risk of skin malignancies. In a population-based case-control study in New Hampshire, USA, we compared use of glucocorticoids in 592 basal cell carcinoma (BCC) and 281 squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) cases and in 532 age and gender matched controls; neither cases nor controls had a history of organ transplantation. Participants underwent a structured personal interview regarding history of medication use and skin cancer risk factors. We used unconditional logistic regression analysis to compute odds ratios associated with glucocorticoid use for 1 month or longer while controlling for potential confounding factors. Risk of SCC was increased among users of oral glucocorticoids (adjusted odds ratio = 2.31; 95% CI = 1.27, 4.18), and risk of BCC was elevated modestly (adjusted odds ratio = 1.49; 95% CI = 0.90, 2.47). In contrast, risk of both SCC and BCC were unrelated to use of inhaled steroids. Our data suggest that use of oral glucocorticoids may increase risk of NMSC, and SCC in particular, among patients other than organ transplant recipients. We hypothesize that immunosuppression induced by oral glucocorticoids may allow these cancers to emerge from immunosurveillance., (Copyright 2001 Cancer Research Campaign.)

Epidemiologic studies of disease often produce inconclusive or contradictory results due to small sample sizes or regional variations in the disease incidence or the exposures. To clarify these issues, researchers occasionally pool and reanalyse original data from several large studies. In this paper we explore the use of a two-stage random-effects model for analysing pooled case-control studies and undertake a thorough examination of bias in the pooled estimator under various conditions. The two-stage model analyses each study using the model appropriate to the design with study-specific confounders, and combines the individual study-specific adjusted log-odds ratios using a linear mixed-effects model; it is computationally simple and can incorporate study-level covariates and random effects. Simulations indicate that when the individual studies are large, two-stage methods produce nearly unbiased exposure estimates and standard errors of the exposure estimates from a generalized linear mixed model. By contrast, joint fixed-effects logistic regression produces attenuated exposure estimates and underestimates the standard error when heterogeneity is present. While bias in the pooled regression coefficient increases with interstudy heterogeneity for both models, it is much smaller using the two-stage model. In pooled analyses, where covariates may not be uniformly defined and coded across studies, and occasionally not measured in all studies, a joint model is often not feasible. The two-stage method is shown to be a simple, valid and practical method for the analysis of pooled binary data. The results are applied to a study of reproductive history and cutaneous melanoma risk in women using data from ten large case-control studies., (Copyright 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.)

Arsenic is a known carcinogen specifically linked to skin cancer occurrence in regions with highly contaminated drinking water or in individuals who took arsenic-containing medicines. Presently, it is unknown whether such effects occur at environmental levels found in the United States. To address this question, the authors used data collected on 587 basal cell and 284 squamous cell skin cancer cases and 524 controls interviewed as part of a case-control study conducted in New Hampshire between 1993 and 1996. Arsenic was determined in toenail clippings using instrumental neutron activation analysis. The odds ratios for squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and basal cell carcinoma (BCC) were close to unity in all but the highest category. Among individuals with toenail arsenic concentrations above the 97th percentile, the adjusted odds ratios were 2.07 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.92, 4.66) for SCC and 1.44 (95% CI: 0.74, 2.81) for BCC, compared with those with concentrations at or below the median. While the risks of SCC and BCC did not appear elevated at the toenail arsenic concentrations detected in most study subjects, the authors cannot exclude the possibility of a dose-related increase at the highest levels of exposure experienced in the New Hampshire population.

Background: Among adults with advanced HIV infection in developing countries, bacteremia due to Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) is common and bacteremia due to M. bovis (bacille Calmette-Guérin; BCG) is rare. Comparable data are not available for children with HIV., Objective: To compare the prevalence of bacteremia due to M. tuberculosis or M. bovis BCG in hospitalized children and adults with HIV infection in a developing country with a high prevalence of tuberculosis and HIV and > 95% BCG immunization coverage., Design: Descriptive cross-sectional study., Methods: Prospectively hospitalized patients in Lusaka, Zambia who were suspected to have HIV infection underwent phlebotomy for HIV ELISA, HIV viral load, and lysis-centrifugation blood culture for mycobacteria. Histories were obtained and patients were examined for BCG scars. Mycobacterial isolates were identified using DNA probes for MTB complex (MTBC), multiplex PCR and IS6110 typing., Results: The median age of 387 HIV-positive children was 15 months; 98% were BCG immunized. The median age of 344 HIV-positive adults was 32 years; 44% were BCG immunized. Blood cultures were positive for mycobacteria in six children (2%) and 38 adults(11%) (P < 0.001). The six pediatric isolates included five MTBC (40% clustered) and one BCG. The 38 adult isolates included 36 MTBC (16% clustered) and two M. avium complex., Conclusion: Bacteremia due to MTB is less common among children than adults with advanced HIV infection in Zambia. Bacteremia due to M. bovis BCG is rare even among children with recent BCG immunization and symptomatic HIV infection.

Epidemiologic studies conducted in the US have not previously detected an association between regional drinking water arsenic concentrations and corresponding cancer occurrence or mortality rates. To improve our estimation of cancer risk and arsenic exposure in the USA, we have investigated the reliability of several exposure markers. In the current study, we specifically evaluated the long-term reproducibility of tap water and toenail concentrations of arsenic, and the relation between water, toenail, and urinary measurement. Subjects included 99 controls in our case-control study on whom we requested a household tap water sample and toenail clipping three to five years apart. Additionally, participants were asked to provide a first morning void sample at the second interview. Tap water arsenic concentrations ranged from undetectable (<0.01 microg/L) to 66.6 microg/L. We found a significant correlation between both replicate water and toenail samples (intraclass correlation coefficient = 0.85, 95% confidence interval = 0.79-0.89 for water, and intraclass correlation coefficient = 0.60, 95% confidence interval = 0.48-0.70 for toenails). The inter-method correlations for water, urinary and toenail arsenic were all statistically significant (r = 0.35, p = 0.0024 for urine vs water; r = 0.33, p = 0.0016 for toenail vs water and r = 0.36, p = 0.0012 for urine vs toenails). Thus, we found both toenail and water measurements of arsenic reproducible over a three- to five-year period. Our data suggest that biologic markers may provide reliable estimates of internal dose of low level arsenic exposure that can be used to assess cancer risk.

SEER data for histologically confirmed carcinomas of the pancreas for 1973-1995 from Hawaii, San Francisco, and Seattle (n = 10,621) were analyzed to compare the survival and types of carcinomas in various racial groups. These geographic sites were selected because each included a sizable number of Asian patients. The median survival after diagnosis in unadjusted data was longer in Asian patients than in whites. After adjustment for age at diagnosis and year of diagnosis, only the survival advantage of Asian women over whites and blacks persisted as a statistically significant difference. Racial differences were no longer statistically significant when further adjustments were made for stage, grade, and morphology. The proportion of papillary carcinomas or mucinous cystadenocarcinomas was higher in Asians than in whites and blacks (p = 0.02), and patients with these neoplasms had a longer median survival than did patients with ductal adenocarcinoma (12 vs. 3.3 months). The fraction of Asian patients with lower stages and grades of carcinomas also was higher than among white and black patients. Longer survival of Asian compared with white and black patients with pancreatic carcinoma is at least partly explained by their higher proportion of less aggressive carcinomas at the time of diagnosis.

Objective: To estimate the relative risk of developing basal cell carcinoma (BCC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) after receiving therapeutic ionizing radiation., Design: Population-based case-control study., Setting: New Hampshire., Patients: A total of 592 cases of BCC and 289 cases of SCC identified through a statewide surveillance system and 536 age- and sex-matched controls selected from population lists., Main Outcome Measures: Histologically confirmed BCC and invasive SCC diagnosed between July 1, 1993, through June 30, 1995, among New Hampshire residents., Results: Information regarding radiotherapy and other factors was obtained through personal interviews. An attempt was made to review the radiation treatment records of subjects who reported a history of radiotherapy. Overall, an increased risk of both BCC and SCC was found in relation to therapeutic ionizing radiation. Elevated risks were confined to the site of radiation exposure (BCC odds ratio, 3. 30; 95% confidence interval, 1.60-6.81; SCC odds ratio, 2.94; 95% confidence interval, 1.30-6.67) and were most pronounced for those irradiated for acne exposure. For SCC, an association with radiotherapy was observed only among those whose skin was likely to sunburn with sun exposure., Conclusions: These results largely agree with those of previous studies on the risk of BCC in relation to ionizing radiation exposure. In addition, they suggest that the risk of SCC may be increased by radiotherapy, especially in individuals prone to sunburn with sun exposure. Arch Dermatol. 2000;136:1007-1011

A study was conducted to evaluate toenail arsenic concentrations as a biologic marker of drinking water arsenic exposure. Study subjects were controls in a US population-based case-control study of nonmelanoma skin cancer, randomly selected from drivers' license records (those < 65 years of age) and Medicare enrollment files (those > or = 65 years of age). Between 1994 and 1997, a total of 540 controls were interviewed and toenail samples of sufficient weight were collected from 506 (93.7%) of these. Beginning in 1995, a sample of tap water was taken from the participants' homes; a total of 217 (98.6%) water samples were obtained from the 220 subjects interviewed. Arsenic determinations were made from toenail samples using neutron activation analysis. Water samples were analyzed using hydride-generation magnet sector inductively coupled mass spectrometry. Among 208 subjects with both toenail and water measurements, the correlation (r) between water and nail arsenic was 0.65 (p < 0.001) among those with water arsenic concentrations of 1 microg/liter or higher and 0.08 (p = 0.31) among those with concentrations below 1 microg/liter (overall r = 0.46, p < 0.001). Our data suggest that toenail samples provide a useful biologic marker for quantifying low-level arsenic exposure.

Five doses of inactivated Mycobacterium vaccae vaccine were administered intradermally to 22 human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients (11 bacille Calmette-Guérin [BCG]-positive and 11 BCG-negative) in Zambia whose CD4 lymphocyte counts were >/=200 cells/mm(3). HIV viral load and lymphocyte proliferation responses were compared for vaccine recipients and 22 HIV-infected control patients (11 BCG-positive and 11 BCG-negative). Immunization was safe and well tolerated in all patients, and induration at the vaccine site decreased from dose 1 to dose 5. A transient decrease in HIV viral load was observed in BCG-positive vaccine recipients after dose 3 but not after subsequent doses. Median lymphocyte stimulation indices to M. vaccae were 6.0 in vaccine recipients and 2.3 in control patients (P<.001). Stimulation indices were >/=3.0 in 19 vaccine recipients (86%) and 7 control patients (32%; P=.001). A 5-dose series of vaccination with inactivated M. vaccae is safe in HIV-infected patients and induces lymphocyte proliferation responses to the vaccine antigen. M. vaccae vaccine is a candidate for the prevention of tuberculosis in HIV infection.

We conducted a study to estimate the current incidence rates of basal-cell carcinoma (BCC) and squamous-cell carcinoma (SCC) of the skin in the population of New Hampshire (NH), USA, and to quantify recent changes in the incidence rates of these malignancies. BCCs and SCCs diagnosed among NH residents were identified through physician practices and central pathology laboratories in NH and bordering regions from June 1979 through May 1980 and from July 1993 through June 1994. For each diagnosis period, we estimated the age-adjusted incidence rates for both BCC and SCC among both men and women and for separate anatomic sites. Between 1979-1980 and 1993-1994, incidence rates of SCC increased by 235% in men and by 350% in women. Incidence rates of BCC increased by more than 80% in both men and women. While the absolute increase was greatest for tumors of the head and neck, the relative change was most pronounced for tumors on the trunk in men and on the lower limb in women. Thus, there has been a marked rise in the incidence rates of BCC and SCC skin cancers in NH in recent years. The anatomic pattern of increase in BCC and SCC incidence is consistent with an effect of greater sunlight exposure. Studies of BCC and SCC occurrence are needed to identify possible behavioral and environmental factors and to assess possible changes in diagnostic practices that might account for the rise in incidence of these common malignancies.

Using data from the 5% U.S. Medicare sample, we estimated the actuarial (life table) risk that a person aged 65 will fracture the upper or lower limbs or the pelvis, by age 75, 80, 85, and 90, taking into account the chance of dying in the interval. The actuarial risk of a 65-year old white woman sustaining a fracture by age 90 is 16% for the hip, 9% for distal forearm, 5% for proximal humerus, and 4% for ankle. Black women and white men have substantially lower risks, and the risks for black men are very low. Although hip fractures pose the single greatest risk, the risk of all other fractures combined is greater. White women have particularly high risks for all fractures, because of their longevity as well as their high fracture rates. It is important to adjust for the probability of dying when estimating risks in an elderly population.

Intake of dairy products and major dairy constituents (e.g., calcium) has been proposed to reduce the risk of colorectal cancer, although epidemiological studies have yielded inconclusive results. We conducted a randomized cross-over trial to test the effects of high- and low-dairy consumption diets on rectal mucosal proliferation, a possible intermediary marker for large bowel cancer. From a gastroenterology clinic at an academic medical center, we recruited 40 patients, ages 25-79 years, who had either a history of a large bowel adenoma or a first-degree relative with large bowel cancer. Participants completed a baseline questionnaire covering demographic characteristics, health history, and habits and a food frequency questionnaire. They were randomized to a 12-week diet of either high dairy intake (six dairy servings/day) or low dairy intake (<0.5 serving of dairy products/day), with an intervening 12-week washout period in which they were asked to resume their usual diet before crossing over to the alternate study diet for the last 12-week period of the study. Adherence to the study diets was monitored by a daily dairy intake checklist and periodic, unscheduled 24-h dietary recalls. Biopsies of the rectal mucosa were obtained at the beginning and end of each intervention phase. Two assays of rectal mucosal cell proliferation were performed: immunohistochemical determination of proliferating cell nuclear antigen and whole crypt mitotic count. We found no statistically significant changes in either of these proliferation measures as a result of high or low dairy intake. There was no correlation between the labeling index for proliferating cell nuclear antigen and whole crypt mitotic count; however, measures of the location and intensity of cell proliferation within the rectal crypt were highly correlated between the two assays. Thus, our study indicates that greater consumption of dairy products over a 12-week period does not change rectal mucosal cell proliferation.

Ingestion of arsenic-contaminated drinking water is associated with an increased risk of several cancers, including skin and bladder malignancies; but it is not yet clear whether such adverse effects are present at levels to which the U.S. population is exposed. In New Hampshire, detectable levels of arsenic have been reported in drinking water supplies throughout the state. Therefore, we have begun a population-based epidemiologic case-control study in which residents of New Hampshire diagnosed with primary squamous cell (n = 900) and basal cell (n = 1200) skin cancers are being selected from a special statewide skin cancer incidence survey; patients diagnosed with primary bladder cancers (n = 450) are being identified through the New Hampshire State Cancer Registry. Exposure histories of these patients will be compared to a control group of individuals randomly selected from population lists (n = 1200). Along with a detailed personal interview, arsenic and other trace elements are being measured in toenail clipping samples using instrumental neutron activation analysis. Household water samples are being tested on selected participants using a hydride generation technique with high-resolution inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry. In the first 793 households tested arsenic concentrations ranged from undetectable (0.01 microgram/l) to 180 microgram/l. Over 10% of the private wells contained levels above 10 microgram/l and 2.5% were above 50 microgram/l. Based on our projected sample size, we expect at least 80% power to detect a 2-fold risk of basal cell or squamous cell skin cancer or bladder cancer among individuals with the highest 5% toenail concentrations of arsenic.

Epidemiological studies suggest that individuals with basal cell carcinoma (BCC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) of the skin are more likely to develop other malignancies; however, the factors responsible for this are unknown. To clarify the risk of other cancers following the occurrence of BCC and SCC, we followed participants in a multicenter skin cancer prevention trial for subsequent malignancies. The study group consisted of 1805 BCC and SCC patients who had enrolled in a trial testing the efficacy of oral beta-carotene. Medical confirmation was sought for all cancers (other than BCC or SCC), which were reported by participants or their next-of-kin over a follow-up period of 10 years. We computed the rate ratio (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of time to first new, primary cancer in relation to history of BCC and SCC, using a proportional hazards model. A total of 235 participants had a new primary invasive cancer during 13,887 person-years of follow up. The risk of other cancers was modestly elevated in patients with one or more previous SCCs compared with those who only had a history of BCC (adjusted RR, 1.37; 95% CI, 0.91-2.07). Risk of other cancers also appeared to be increased among those who had multiple prior BCCs relative to those who had only one prior BCC (adjusted RR, 1.21; 95% CI, 0.91-1.61). Further adjustment for smoking history, Quetelet index, radiotherapy, extent of actinic skin damage, treatment assignment, or baseline beta-carotene concentrations did not appreciably alter the results. Cancer of the respiratory system was most strongly related to previous SCC or multiple BCC [RRs (95% CI), 2.20 (1.05-4.62) and 2.34 (1.14-4.83), respectively]. Our data suggest that unidentified exposures or inherited risk factors may play a common etiological role in the pathogenesis of nonmelanoma skin cancer and other cancers, especially respiratory cancers, although larger studies would be necessary to exclude the role of chance in these findings.

Porphyria cutanea tarda (PCT), the most common form of porphyria, is manifested as skin photosensitivity caused by excess hepatic production of uroporphyrin and heptacarboxylporphyrin. In experimental animal models, ascorbic acid modulates chemically induced uroporphyrin accumulation. The purpose of this study was to determine whether ascorbic acid is decreased in the plasma of patients with PCT. Plasma was obtained after an overnight fast from 21 PCT patients, 16 of whom were infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV), and from a separate group of 9 patients with HCV infection but not PCT. Thirteen PCT patients were studied when they had active disease and 8 after treatment-induced remission. Plasma ascorbic acid was low (<23 micromol/L) in 11 (85%) of the 13 untreated PCT patients and deficient (<11 micromol/L) in 8 (62%). Two patients with normal ascorbic acid levels (45 and 62 micrommol/L) had consumed multivitamins. In 2 patients with deficient ascorbic acid, plasma levels returned to normal after phlebotomy treatment. Of the 8 patients studied during remission, 4 had normal ascorbic acid values and 4 were deficient (5 to 8 micromol/L). Plasma ascorbic acid values were normal for all patients who had HCV but no PCT. These data suggest that plasma ascorbic acid concentrations are commonly low in PCT, but this decrease is unrelated to HCV infection. Ascorbic acid deficiency may be one of the factors that contributes to the pathogenesis of PCT.

We conducted a nested case-control study of squamous cell skin cancer (SCC) to determine whether risk was related to plasma concentrations of selenium, alpha-tocopherol, beta-carotene, and retinol. We derived the study sample from participants in our Skin Cancer Prevention Study, all of whom had at least one basal cell or squamous cell skin cancer before study entry. Those who developed a new squamous cell skin cancer during the 3-5-year follow-up period were selected as cases (n = 132). Controls (n = 264) were chosen at random, with matching by age, sex, and study center, from among those who did not develop SCC but were being followed actively at the time the SCC case was diagnosed. Prediagnostic plasma samples were analyzed for alpha-tocopherol, beta-carotene, and retinol using high-performance liquid chromatography. Selenium determinations were made using instrumental neutron activation analysis. Odds ratios were computed using conditional logistic regression for matched samples. We found no consistent pattern of SCC risk associated with any of the nutrients examined. The odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) for the highest versus the lowest quartiles of beta-carotene, retinol, alpha-tocopherol, and selenium were 0.73 (0.38-1.41), 1.43 (0.77-2.64), 0.89 (0.43-1.85), and 0.86 (0.47-1.58), respectively. Thus, our data add to the growing body of evidence that these nutrients, at the concentrations we evaluated, are not related strongly to SCC risk.

Background: Human evidence that ionizing radiation is carcinogenic first came from reports of nonmelanoma skin cancers (NMSCs) on the hands of workers using early radiation devices. An increased risk of NMSC has been observed among uranium miners, radiologists, and individuals treated with x rays in childhood for tinea capitis (ringworm of the scalp) or for thymic enlargement; NMSC is one of the cancers most strongly associated with the atomic bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Although exposure to ionizing radiation is a known cause of NMSC, it is not yet clear whether therapeutic radiation causes both major histologic types of NMSC, basal cell carcinoma (BCC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC). Additionally, the potentially modifying effects, such as latency, age when treated, and type of treatment, are not well understood., Purpose: We investigated the relative risks of BCC and SCC associated with previous radiation therapy and evaluated these risks in relation to age and time since initial treatment and the medical condition for which radiation therapy was given., Methods: The study group comprised individual diagnosed with at least one BCC or SCC from January 1980 through February 1986, who were recruited to participate in a skin cancer prevention trial designed to test whether oral beta-carotene supplementation would reduce the risk of new NMSCs. Patients were identified through the dermatology and pathology records of academic medical centers in Hanover, NH; Los Angeles, CA; San Francisco, CA; and Minneapolis, MN. Each participant completed a questionnaire detailing lifetime residence, pigmentary characteristics, occupational and recreational sun exposure, and history of radiation therapy. At enrollment, a study dermatologist assessed skin type (tendency to burn or tan) and extent of actinic skin damage. Participants were followed with an annual dermatologic examination for an average of 4 years. Of the 5232 potentially eligible individuals, 1805 were enrolled in the trial. We excluded 112 patients who reported previous radiation therapy for skin cancer only and three with missing information on whether they were ever treated with radiation therapy, leaving 1690 patients for the analysis. Approximately 4% of the patients died or discontinued participation for other reasons during each study year. We examined time to occurrence of first new histopathologically confirmed BCC and SCC during the follow-up period in relation to history of radiation therapy (for reasons other than NMSC) using a proportional hazards model. A multiple end points survival model was used to compare the rate ratios (RRs) for BCC and SCC. We also used a longitudinal method of analysis to compute the RR of total new BCC and SCC tumors per person per study year associated with radiation therapy. Using this method, we additionally assessed the potential modifying effects of age at treatment, latency, and type of therapy. All P values were derived from two-sided statistical tests of significance., Results: Among the participants we studied, 597 developed a new BCC (n = 1553 tumors) and 118 developed a new SCC (n = 179 tumors). The time to first new BCC, but not SCC, was associated with prior radiation therapy (RR = 1.7; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.4-2.0 and RR = 1.0; 95% CI = 0.6-1.7, respectively; P = .03 for the difference between the RRs). The RR of total BCC tumors was slightly higher (RR = 2.3; 95% CI = 1.7-3.1), but it was still unity for SCC (RR = 1.0; 95% CI = 0.5-1.9). BCC risk appeared to increase with younger age at exposure and time since initially treated, although these effects were only marginally statistically significant (P for trend = .06 and .07, respectively). Also, risk of BCC was more strongly related to treatment for acne (RR = 3.3; 95% CI = 2.1-5.2) than other conditions., Conclusions and Implications: Our data suggest that exposure to therapeutic radiation is associated with BCC but not with SCC.

We conducted a pilot study to assess the utility of toenail arsenic concentrations as an indicator of ingestion of arsenic-containing water. We enrolled 21 individuals whose household drinking water supply was provided by a private well, including 10 individuals who lived in areas of New Hampshire where elevated water levels of arsenic had been reported previously. Participants were interviewed regarding use of their private (unregulated) wells for drinking and cooking, and each provided a sample of water and toenail clippings. All specimens were analyzed using instrumental neutron activation analysis with a sensitivity of approximately 0.001 parts per million (ppm). Trace concentrations of arsenic were detected in 15 of the 21 well water samples and in all toenail clipping samples. Among the 10 individuals who lived in areas with reportedly high arsenic levels in the water supply, the geometric mean toenail concentration was 0.39 ppm (SE, 0.12 ppm); among the other 11 persons, the geometric mean was 0.14 ppm (SE, 0.02 ppm; P = 0.005 for the difference between the two means). The overall Spearman correlation between toenail and well water arsenic was 0.67 (P = 0.009), and among those with detectable well water levels of arsenic, the Spearman correlation was 0.83 (P = 0.0001). Based on the regression analysis of those who had detectable water levels of arsenic, a 10-fold increase in well water concentrations of arsenic was reflected by about a 2-fold increase in toenail concentrations. These results indicate that concentrations of arsenic in toenails reflect use of arsenic-containing drinking water.

We conducted a reliability study of whole crypt mitotic count, a measure of cellular proliferation with potential use as an intermediate marker in studies of colorectal cancer risk and prevention. The study involved biopsies taken from two distinct locations at 8-10 cm from the anal verge for 20 subjects scheduled to undergo routine endoscopy. In addition to the overall count of mitoses per crypt (mitotic count), we investigated two novel measures based on the percentages of heights of mitotic cells within crypts: the mean height, and the maximum minus minimum (max - min) height of mitoses. The max - min height was positively correlated with mitotic count (r = 0.64); however, there was little correlation between mitotic count and the mean height of mitotic cells (r = 0.12). Components of variance were estimated for the three measures; for mitotic count and max - min height, the variability between persons was substantially greater than that between locations within an individual. For mean height, the between-person and between-location variabilities were roughly equal. These results suggest that whole crypt mitotic count has promise as a reliable measure of rectal cellular proliferation, but further studies will be necessary to assess the utility of this assay.

The purpose of this study was to examine whether geographic area or water fluoride were related to the occurrence of fractures among the elderly in the United States. We used a 5% sample of the white U.S. Medicare population, aged 65 to 89 years during the period 1986-1990, to identify fractures of the hip, proximal humerus, distal forearm, and ankle. The association of geographic region and fluoridation status with fracture rates was assessed using Poisson regression. We found that rates of hip fracture were generally lower in the northern regions of the United States and higher in the southern regions. For fractures of the distal forearm and proximal humerus, lower rates were found in the Western states, and higher rates in the East. No discernible geographic pattern was found for ankle fractures. Adjustment for water fluoridation did not influence these results. Independent of geographic effects, men in fluoridated areas had modestly higher rates of fractures of the distal forearm and proximal humerus than did men in nonfluoridated areas; no such differences were observed among women, nor for fractures of the hip or ankle among either men or women. In conclusion, our data suggest that fractures of the distal forearm and proximal humerus have etiologic determinants distinct from those of fractures of the hip or ankle.

To explore potential etiologic differences in the two major types of hip fracture, the authors computed the incidence rates of fractures of the femoral neck and trochanteric region of the proximal femur using a 5 percent sample of the US Medicare population aged 65-99 years. For the period they examined, July 1, 1986, through June 30, 1990, the rates of both hip fracture types increased with age in all race and sex categories. The proportion of hip fractures that occurred in the trochanteric region rose steeply with age among white women, but not among black women, white men, or black men. Within the United States, a north-to-south gradient in rates of both fracture types was observed among women, while no clear pattern was found for men. These findings raise the possibility of etiologic differences in the two fracture types, and the results provide further evidence of sex and racial differences in the risk of osteoporotic fractures.

Objective: To examine the relationship between beta carotene plasma concentration and beta carotene supplementation and risk of death from major disease causes., Design: Cohort study of plasma concentrations; randomized, controlled clinical trial of supplementation., Setting: Medical school-affiliated dermatology practices., Patients: A total of 1188 men and 532 women with mean age of 63.2 years, who had enrolled in a randomized clinical trial of beta carotene supplementation to prevent nonmelanoma skin cancer., Intervention: Oral beta carotene, 50 mg per day for a median of 4.3 years., Main Outcome Measures: All-cause mortality and mortality from cardiovascular disease and cancer., Results: During a median follow-up period of 8.2 years, there were 285 deaths. Persons whose initial plasma beta carotene concentrations were in the highest quartile (>0.52 micromol/L [27.7 microg/dL]) had a lower risk of death from all causes (adjusted relative rate [RR], 0.52; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.44 to 0.87) and from cardiovascular diseases (adjusted RR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.34 to 0.95) compared with persons with initial concentrations in the lowest quartile (<0.21 micromol/L [11.2 microg/dL]). Patients randomly assigned to beta carotene supplementation showed no reduction in relative mortality rates from all causes (adjusted RR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.82 to 1.30) or from cardiovascular disease (adjusted RR, 1.16; 95% CI, 0.82 to 1.64). There was no evidence of lower mortality following supplementation among patients with initial beta carotene concentrations below the median for the study group., Conclusions: These analyses provide no support for a strong effect of supplemental beta carotene in reducing mortality from cardiovascular disease or other causes. Although the possibility exists that beta carotene supplementation produces benefits that are too small or too delayed to have been detected in this study, noncausal explanations should be sought for the association between plasma concentrations of beta carotene and diminished risk of death.

Although much is known about hip fracture epidemiology, there are relatively little data regarding fractures at other peripheral sites. Epidemiological differences between fractures are important, since they imply that an understanding of the consequences and clinical expression of osteoporosis requires the study of many different fracture types. Recent data regarding the basic epidemiology of limb fractures among the elderly in industrialized countries have made some patterns clear. Fractures outside the hip are relatively common events, and before age 70 to 75, ankle and distal forearm fractures occur more commonly than fractures of the hip. Among the elderly, fractures at the most proximal and most distal ends of the limbs have the highest incidence. Thus, in the upper extremity, fractures of the proximal humerus and distal forearm are the most common, while in the lower extremity, those at the hip and ankle predominate. Outside the axial skeleton, females have higher rates for most fracture types, and at most fracture sites whites have higher rates than blacks. In each limb, the most proximal fractures tend to have the most pronounced age-related increases in risk.

A two-stage procedure for estimating sensitivity and specificity is described. The procedure is developed in the context of a validation study for self-reported atypical nevi, a potentially useful measure in the study of risk factors for malignant melanoma. The first stage consists of a sample of N individuals classified only by the test measure. The second stage is a subsample of size m, stratified according the information collected in the first stage, in which the presence of atypical nevi is determined by clinical examination. Using missing data methods for contingency tables, maximum likelihood estimators for the joint distribution of the test measure and the "gold standard" clinical evaluation are presented, along with efficient estimators for the sensitivity and specificity. Asymptotic coefficients of variation are computed to compare alternative sampling strategies for the second stage.

Non-melanoma skin cancer patients are believed to be at high risk of developing new skin malignancies; however, relatively few studies have actually examined this. Non-melanoma skin cancers, although generally not fatal, are responsible for significant morbidity and, if left untreated, can cause serious disfigurement and, in rare instances, death. Part of the difficulty in studying these tumors is that they are not routinely followed as rigorously as other cancers, and are excluded from most cancer registries. Prior studies have often included patients from a single dermatology practice of those treated with one type of therapy (e.g., Moh's surgery). Some studies did not entail active follow-up of patients but relied on reports to a registry or subsequent visits initiated by the patient or their physician. Other studies have been based solely on patients with complete follow-up information, excluding those who died or were lost to follow-up. Nearly all studies collected only a limited amount of information on each patient. In an attempt to overcome these limitations, we examined subsequent skin cancer occurrence among a group of patients followed as part of the Skin Cancer Prevention Study. In the following, we highlight some of the methodologic issues concerning the study of subsequent basal cell and squamous cell skin cancer risk, and the contribution of our work, along with that of others, in exploring clinical and etiologic questions pertaining to the occurrence of these malignancies.

Objective: To investigate whether induction of labor is related to the occurrence of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) using a population-based, case-control study., Methods: Cases comprised infants born between 1984-1988 in Washington state who died of SIDS according to their death certificate (ICD-9-CM 798.0) (N = 728). For comparison, we randomly selected a group of infants born in these same years who did not die of SIDS (N = 3021). Information regarding the pregnancy, labor, delivery, and condition of the newborn was obtained from the infants' birth certificates., Results: Among the indications for induction that were examined, we found a slightly elevated risk of SIDS associated with advanced gestational age (greater than 41 completed menstrual weeks) (odds ratio [OR] 1.3, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.0-1.8). A similar proportion of cases and controls had induced labors (OR 1.2, 95% CI 0.7-2.1). Although there was little or no apparent risk associated with induction among infants who had term gestations (37-41 completed menstrual weeks; OR 1.2, 95% CI 0.6-2.2), an increased risk was found among infants who had gestations of 42 weeks or greater (OR 3.0, 95% CI 0.7-12.5). We did not observe this trend with augmentation of labor., Conclusion: Our findings do not support an overall association between the methods used for induction of labor in the United States and the occurrence of SIDS. The elevated risk of SIDS observed in relation to induction of labor among infants who had post-term gestations raises the possibility that infants who do not spontaneously initiate labor may suffer some neuroregulatory or other abnormality involved in the pathogenesis of SIDS.

Objective: The primary aims of this study were to assess risk of subsequent basal and squamous cell skin cancer among patients with a prior history of these tumors and to examine these risks in relation to patient characteristics and life-style factors., Design: Follow-up of participants in a randomized trial of betacarotene as a possible skin cancer preventive agent., Setting: Clinical centers in Los Angeles, Calif, San Francisco, Calif, Minneapolis, Minn, and Hanover, NH., Participants: Patients (n = 1805) who were diagnosed as having a basal or squamous cell skin cancer between January 1980 and February 1986 and were free of skin cancer at study entry., Main Outcome Measure: Time from study entry to first new occurrence of basal and squamous cell skin cancer., Results: The estimated risk of developing one or more new skin cancers was 35% at 3 years and 50% at 5 years. New skin cancers tended to be of the same cell type as the previous skin cancers. For both basal and squamous cell skin cancer, risk was higher among patients who were male, were over the age of 60 years, had more prior skin cancers, had severe actinic skin damage, or who burned easily with sun exposure. Compared with those who had never smoked, the rate of subsequent squamous cell skin cancer was higher among current smokers (rate ratio, 2.01; 95% confidence interval, 1.21 to 3.34) and former smokers (rate ratio, 1.62; 95% confidence interval, 1.07 to 2.47) and increased with both duration and amount smoked. There was no clear relationship between smoking and basal cell skin cancer; the rate appeared lower among heavy smokers but was unrelated to duration of smoking., Conclusions: Persons with a prior nonmelanoma skin cancer had a substantial 5-year risk of developing another tumor of the same histologic type. Number of previous skin cancers, solar damage, and skin sensitivity to sun exposure were particularly related to this risk. The increased risk of squamous cell skin cancer associated with cigarette smoking merits further study.

The reported incidence of malignant melanoma of the skin has steadily increased in the United States during the past three decades. Since the treatment of melanoma increasingly has been provided solely on an outpatient basis in recent years, it is likely that some cases of this disease are being missed by population-based tumor registries that do not consistently ascertain cases from sources outside the hospital setting. The population-based tumor registry of western Washington state has been identifying office-treated cases of cutaneous melanoma from records of private and hospital pathology laboratories. However, since laboratory records have often lacked information on place of residence, these cases have not been previously included in the calculation of incidence rates. In the present study, by determining the place of residence of these cases at the time of their diagnosis (by contacting the physician listed on their pathology reports), the authors found that there had been a growing amount of underreporting of cutaneous melanoma from 1974 through 1984. In western Washington state, the incidence of melanoma of the skin had been underestimated in registry rates by approximately 2% in 1974 and approximately 21% in 1984. This trend in the level of underenumeration has spuriously blunted the true increasing incidence of melanoma and may limit the ability to monitor and study this disease in the future.

We conducted a population-based case-control study to assess the association between maternal smoking during pregnancy and the risk of giving birth to a child with a congenital malformation. Cases were all singleton livebirths with a congenital malformation recorded on the 1984-1986 Washington State Birth Records (n = 3284). The smoking histories of these mothers were compared to a randomly selected group of mothers with a singleton livebirth of a child without a malformation during these same years (n = 4500). When all malformations were taken as a group, there was no association with maternal smoking (relative risk (RR) = 1.0, 95% CI 0.9-1.1). However, increased risks were observed for a number of specific malformations, including microcephalus (RR = 2.0, 95% CI 1.0-4.0), cleft defects (RR = 1.4, 95% CI 1.0-2.0), and club foot (RR = 1.4, 95% CI 1.0-2.0). We did not find any association with Down's syndrome (RR = 0.8 95% CI 0.5-1.3) or any other malformation. We conclude that maternal smoking during pregnancy may be associated with an increased risk for some malformations.