Holocene storminess dynamics in northwestern Ireland : shifts in storm duration and frequency between the mid- and late Holocene

Substantial uncertainties exist regarding how future climate change will affect storminess (storm frequency and intensity) in Ireland and the United Kingdom (UK). Knowledge about spatiotemporal variations of past storminess gives us a better understanding of its mechanisms on centennial to millennial time scales, as well as the impact of external forcing on future storminess in climate models. Here, we present the oldest storm record to date from Ireland, covering the last 8000 years, reconstructed from the Roycarter Bog, a coastal blanket bog in north-western Ireland. The sequence was analysed for grain-size, chemical, mineral and organic molecular composition. The chronology was built on 11 AMS radiocarbon dates. The deposit characteristics, location and low inorganic content suggest aeolian transport of particles to the bog throughout the studied period. Cluster analysis of the grain-size frequency curves, along with the coarse to fine sand ratio, allowed the identification of eleven storm periods (cal yr BP): 6150–5500 (1); 4970–4130 (2); 4000 (3); 3490–3290 (4); 3230 (5); 2850–2590 (6); 2170–1920 (7); 1440 (8); 1225–890 (9); 620–470 (10); and 290–230 (11). During the mid-Holocene, the relative sea level was lower and the local beach sources located further away, giving a longer transport distance compared to the late Holocene. In the latter part of the mid-Holocene (6150–4130 cal yr BP), during the Holocene thermal maximum, increased storminess and wind strengths were inferred for north-western Ireland, manifested as two longer storm periods. During the late Holocene the storm frequency increased, and a greater number (9) of shorter storm periods were recorded. Comparison between our results and regional peat palaeostorm records from Scotland, north of our study site, showed an antiphase relationship between storminess in Ireland and Scotland during the latter part of the mid-Holocene, but mostly in-phase storminess over the last 3000 years. Taken together, enh