Predictive monitoring of soil organic carbon using multispectral UAV imagery: a case study on a long-term experimental field

Effective monitoring of the soil organic carbon (SOC) content at the field scale is crucial for supporting sustainable agricultural practices. This study evaluates the utility of multispectral data acquired by an unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) during bare soil conditions for predicting the SOC content of a long-term experimental field site (LTE) in Saxony-Anhalt, Germany. Our methodology involves constructing predictive models using multiple algorithms (CUBIST, MARS, linear regression) and applying image correction techniques to enhance prediction accuracy by mitigating the influence of confounding factors such as crop residuals. Among the tested models, the CUBIST algorithm, combined with a pixel selection strategy employing a 2 m radius and stratified image correction, demonstrates the most promising results, achieving an R-squared value of 0.54 and an RMSE of 1.9 g kg−1. Spatial distribution maps generated by this optimized model effectively depict the impact of organic fertilization on the SOC content, although the clarity of these patterns varies depending on the image processing method and algorithm used. Our findings highlight the potential of utilizing UAV-derived multispectral data for SOC monitoring at the LTE scale. However, further research is warranted to assess the generalizability of this approach to agricultural fields with lower SOC variability.