Transcriptional signature of TP53 biallelic inactivation identifies a group of multiple myeloma patients without this genetic condition but with dismal outcome

Biallelic inactivation of TP53 has been included in the definition of double-hit (DH) multiple myeloma (MM), which entails an ominous prognosis. However, this condition, or even the presence of high-risk cytogenetic abnormalities, cannot accurately capture the 15%–20% of the MM population with a median overall survival below 24 months. This prompted us to look for other MM patients who might have transcriptional characteristics similar to those with DH-TP53. In the present study, we analysed RNA-seq, whole-genome and whole-exome sequencing data from 660 newly diagnosed MM (NDMM) patients from the MMRF (Multiple Myeloma Research Foundation) CoMMpass study to characterize the transcriptional signature of TP53 double-hit (DH-TP53) MM. We found 78 genes that were exclusively deregulated in DH-TP53 patients. A score based on these genes identified a group of 50 patients who shared the same transcriptional profile (DH-TP53-like group) whose prognosis was particularly unfavourable [median overall survival (OS) < 2 years], despite not harbouring the biallelic inactivation of TP53. The prognostic value of the DH-TP53 score was externally validated using gene expression data from 850 NDMM patients analysed by microarrays. Furthermore, our DH-TP53 score refined the traditional prognostic stratification of MM patients according to the cytogenetic abnormalities and International Staging System (ISS).