Describing Access and Forecasting Demand for Family Practice Services in the 121st General Hospital

Determining appropriate levels of staffing and appointment availability depends on the population served and their utilization. This project predicted the number of required providers based on the population at risk, its utilization patterns from Fiscal Years 2001 and 2002, and availability of Army Family Practice providers. The data included all visits from active duty to U.S. civilians, who are seen at the 121st General Hospital. Interestingly, active duty enrollees averaged three visits per year compared to the Department of the Army average of 7.2 in 2002. All utilization analysis was put into a model for predicting the level of capacity and services required, and for calculation of future provider requirements. The current model indicates 21,450 Family Practice visits per year and a shortfall of seven military providers or four civilian FTEs. Future increases in the population due to the Land Partnership Plan predict 33,833 visits and a shortfall of thirteen military or eight civilian FTEs.
The original document contains color images.