Climate change and wildfire in and around California : fire modeling and loss modeling : white paper

Using statistical models, wildfire risks are described as a function of climatic variables such as temperature and precipitation, and of hydrologic variables simulated using temperature and precipitation. Property damages due to wildfires are also modeled using the 2000 U.S. Census to describe the location and density of residential structures. This analysis indicates that the largest changes in property damages under the climate change scenarios occurs in wildland/urban interfaces proximate to major metropolitan areas in coastal southern California, the Bay Area, and in the Sierra foothills northeast of Sacramento.