Selection on locomotor performance capacity in a natural population of garter snakes

Selection on locomotor performance was determined for a series of marked and recaptured individuals from a population of garter snakes (Thamnophis sirtalis fitchi) in Northern California. We measured snake length and mass, burst speed, endurance on a treadmill, and the distance crawled around a stationary circular track. Size-corrected values (residuals) of mass and locomotor performance were generated from the scaling equations of S-V length (SVL). Randomization tests and regressions were used to determine the probability that a trait was a significant predictor of survivorship, and a nonparametric, cubic spline estimate of the fitness function was used to facilitate detection of the patterns of selection. From 275 ('cohort') snakes measured and tested within 8 days of birth in 1985, 79 were recaptured in the spring-summer of 1986 and subsequent years. Birth SVL was the only significant (randomization P = 0.022) predictor of neonatal survival from 1985 to 1986 with directional selection favoring larger individuals. In addition to the lab-born cohort, 382 field-born snakes from all ages in the population were captured, tested, and released during spring-summer 1986. Similar to the 1985 cohort, the survivorship of 37 of 86 neonates from 1986 to 1987 showed no significant relationship with any residual value using any statistical test. Survivorship from 1986 to 1987 for 127 of 250 yearlings (including 32 lab-born cohort snakes) analyzed with the randomization test showed that greater values of both speed (P = 0.007) and distance residual (P = 0.008) significantly favored survival, whereas intermediate values of mass residual (P = 0.006) were significantly more likely to survive. Univariate randomization test, but in a multiple regression with yearling burst speed residual, distance capacity residual, and a quadratic term of mass residual, distance capacity residual was the least important predictor variable. For the survivorship of 37 of the 113 older snakes, greater burst speed residual significantly favored survival (randomization P = 0.001).