Accelerated global glacier mass loss in the early twenty-first century

Glaciers distinct from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets are shrinking rapidly, altering regional hydrology.sup.1, raising global sea level.sup.2 and elevating natural hazards.sup.3. Yet, owing to the scarcity of constrained mass loss observations, glacier evolution during the satellite era is known only partially, as a geographic and temporal patchwork.sup.4,5. Here we reveal the accelerated, albeit contrasting, patterns of glacier mass loss during the early twenty-first century. Using largely untapped satellite archives, we chart surface elevation changes at a high spatiotemporal resolution over all of Earth's glaciers. We extensively validate our estimates against independent, high-precision measurements and present a globally complete and consistent estimate of glacier mass change. We show that during 2000-2019, glaciers lost a mass of 267 [plus or minus] 16 gigatonnes per year, equivalent to 21 [plus or minus] 3 per cent of the observed sea-level rise.sup.6. We identify a mass loss acceleration of 48 [plus or minus] 16 gigatonnes per year per decade, explaining 6 to 19 per cent of the observed acceleration of sea-level rise. Particularly, thinning rates of glaciers outside ice sheet peripheries doubled over the past two decades. Glaciers currently lose more mass, and at similar or larger acceleration rates, than the Greenland or Antarctic ice sheets taken separately.sup.7-9. By uncovering the patterns of mass change in many regions, we find contrasting glacier fluctuations that agree with the decadal variability in precipitation and temperature. These include a North Atlantic anomaly of decelerated mass loss, a strongly accelerated loss from northwestern American glaciers, and the apparent end of the Karakoram anomaly of mass gain.sup.10. We anticipate our highly resolved estimates to advance the understanding of drivers that govern the distribution of glacier change, and to extend our capabilities of predicting these changes at all scales. Predictions robustly benchmarked against observations are critically needed to design adaptive policies for the local- and regional-scale management of water resources and cryospheric risks, as well as for the global-scale mitigation of sea-level rise. Analysis of satellite stereo imagery uncovers two decades of mass change for all of Earth's glaciers, revealing accelerated glacier shrinkage and regionally contrasting changes consistent with decadal climate variability.
Author(s): Romain Hugonnet [sup.1] [sup.2] [sup.3] , Robert McNabb [sup.4] [sup.5] , Etienne Berthier [sup.1] , Brian Menounos [sup.6] [sup.7] , Christopher Nuth [sup.5] [sup.8] , Luc Girod [sup.5] , [...]