Back to Search Start Over

The price of stock and bond risk in recoveries

Authors :
Kwan, Simon
Source :
FRBSF Economic Letter. August 19, 2013, Vol. 2013 Issue 23, p1, 5 p.
Publication Year :
2013

Abstract

Investor aversion to risk varies over the course of the economic cycle. In the current recovery, the rebound in risk-taking is near the top of the historical range. The pace of economic growth does not appear to explain the increase in risk appetite. However, statistical research suggests that the severity of the preceding recession explains about 20% of the change in a measure of the long-term stock price-earnings ratio. And corporate profit growth appears to explain about 40% of the decline in the spread between risky and risk-free bonds.<br />The current economic recovery has been sluggish compared with past upturns, but the stock market has posted sizable gains. Do higher stock prices mean that investors now have greater appetite [...]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
0890927X
Volume :
2013
Issue :
23
Database :
Gale General OneFile
Journal :
FRBSF Economic Letter
Publication Type :
News
Accession number :
edsgcl.340637662