A two-level dynamic game of carbon emission trading between Russia, China, and Annex B countries

To link to full-text access for this article, visit this link: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2007.07.001 Byline: A. Bernard (a), A. Haurie (b), M. Vielle (c), L. Viguier (d) Abstract: This paper proposes a computable dynamic game model of the strategic competition between Russia and developing countries (DCs), mainly represented by China, on the international market of emission permits created by the Kyoto Protocol. The model uses a formulation of (i) a demand function for permits from Annex B countries and (ii) marginal abatement costs (MAC) in Russia and China provided by two detailed models. GEMINI-E3 is a computable general equilibrium model that provides the data to estimate Annex B demand for permits and MACs in Russia. POLES is a partial equilibrium model that is used to obtain MAC curves for China. The competitive scenario is compared with a monopoly situation where only Russia is allowed to play strategically. The impact of allowing DCs to intervene on the international emission trading market is thus assessed. Author Affiliation: (a) French Ministry of Equipment, Transportation and Housing, Tour Pascal B, 92055 La Defense Cedex 04, France (b) HEC-Geneva, Uni-Mail, 40 Blvd. du Pont-d'Arve, CH-1211 Geneva 4, Switzerland (c) CEA-LERNA, Manufacture des Tabacs, 21 Allee de Brienne, 31000 Toulouse Cedex, France (d) Lombard Odier Darier Hentsch & Cie 11 Rue de la Corraterie 11 1204 Geneva, Switzerland Article History: Received 8 October 2002; Accepted 6 July 2007