Solutions for decarbonising urban bus transport: a life cycle case study in Saudi Arabia

Abstract With heavy reliance on fossil fuels, countries like Saudi Arabia face challenges in reducing carbon emissions from urban bus transportation. Herein, we address the gaps in evaluating proton-exchange membrane fuel cell buses and develop a globally relevant life-cycle assessment model using Saudi Arabia as a case study. We consider various bus propulsion technologies, including fuel cell buses powered by grey and blue hydrogen, battery electric buses, and diesel engines, and include the shipping phase, air conditioning load, and refuelling infrastructure. The assessment illustrates fuel cell buses using blue hydrogen can reduce emissions by 53.6% compared to diesel buses, despite a 19.5% increase in energy use from carbon capture and storage systems. Battery electric buses are affected by the energy mix and battery manufacturing, so only cut emissions by 16.9%. Sensitivity analysis shows climate benefits depend on energy sources and efficiencies of carbon capture and hydrogen production. By 2030, grey and blue hydrogen-powered fuel cell buses and battery electric buses are projected to reduce carbon emissions by 19.3%, 33.4%, and 51% respectively, compared to their 2022 levels. Fully renewable-powered battery electric buses potentially achieve up to 89.6% reduction. However, fuel cell buses consistently exhibit lower environmental burdens compared to battery electric buses.