Machine learning and lean six sigma for targeted patient-specific quality assurance of volumetric modulated arc therapy plans

Background and purpose: Radiotherapy plans with excessive complexity exhibit higher uncertainties and worse patient-specific quality assurance (PSQA) results, while the workload of measurement-based PSQA can impact the efficiency of the radiotherapy workflow. Machine Learning (ML) and Lean Six Sigma, a process optimization method, were implemented to adopt a targeted PSQA approach, aiming to reduce workload, risk of failures, and monitor complexity. Materials and methods: Lean Six Sigma was applied using DMAIC (define, measure, analyze, improve, and control) steps. Ten complexity metrics were computed for 69,811 volumetric modulated arc therapy (VMAT) arcs from 28,612 plans delivered in our Institute (2013–2021). Outlier complexities were defined as >95th-percentile of the historical distributions, stratified by treatment. An ML model was trained to predict the gamma passing rate (GPR-3 %/1mm) of an arc given its complexity. A decision support system was developed to monitor the complexity and expected GPR. Plans at risk of PSQA failure, either extremely complex or with average GPR