Appraising non-linear association between pre-diagnostic platelet counts and cancer survival outcomes: observational and genetic analysis

Previous studies have reported inconsistent associations between platelet count (PLT) and cancer survival. However, whether there is linear causal effect merits in-depth investigations. We conducted a cohort study using the UK Biobank and a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. PLT levels were measured prior to cancer diagnosis. We adopted overall survival (OS) as the primary outcome. Cox models were utilized to estimate the effects of PLTs on survival outcomes at multiple lag times for cancer diagnosis. We employed 34 genetic variants as PLT proxies for MR analysis. Linear and non-linear effects were modeled. Prognostic effects of gene expression harboring the instrumental variants were also investigated. A total of 65 471 cancer patients were included. We identified a significant association between elevated PLTs (per 100 × 109/L) and inferior OS (HR: 1.07; 95% CI: 1.04–1.10; p