Effects of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists on cardiovascular outcomes in high-risk type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Abstract Background Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) have been shown to provide cardiovascular benefits in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). However, their cardiovascular protective efficacy in high-risk T2DM patients, particularly those with a history of cardiovascular events or severe chronic kidney disease, remains uncertain. Methods A comprehensive search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and The Cochrane Library to identify randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that evaluated the effects of GLP-1 RAs on cardiovascular outcomes in high-risk patients with T2DM. A random-effects model was used to calculate pooled hazard ratios (HRs) for cardiovascular outcomes. Subgroup analyses and GRADE assessment were also performed. Results Nine RCTs involving 63,613 patients were included. GLP-1 RAs significantly reduced the risk of the primary composite outcome (HR: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.80–0.92), cardiovascular death (HR: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.78–0.93), all-cause death (HR: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.82–0.93), myocardial infarction (HR: 0.90, 95% CI: 0.82–0.98), stroke (HR: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.77–0.95), and heart failure (HF) hospitalization (HR: 0.90, 95% CI: 0.83–0.97). No significant difference in unstable angina (UA) hospitalization was observed (HR: 1.04, 95% CI: 0.95–1.15). Subgroup analyses indicated greater benefits with combination therapy, particularly in patients with chronic kidney disease. The quality of evidence was rated as “High” for six outcomes and “Moderate” for UA hospitalization. Conclusions GLP-1 RAs significantly reduce cardiovascular risk in high-risk T2DM patients, especially with combination therapy and in those with chronic kidney disease. However, further research is needed to confirm their long-term effects.