External Validation of the ICU-Venous Thromboembolism Risk Assessment Model in Adult Critically Ill Patients

Background Currently, no universally accepted standardized VTE risk assessment model (RAM) is specifically designed for critically ill patients. Although the ICU-venous thromboembolism (ICU-VTE) RAM was initially developed in 2020, it lacks prospective external validation. Objectives To evaluate the predictive performance of the ICU-VTE RAM in terms of VTE occurrence in mixed medical-surgical ICU patients. Methods We prospectively enrolled adult patients in the ICU. The ICU-VTE score and Caprini or Padua score were calculated at admission, and the incidence of in-hospital VTE was investigated. The performance of the ICU-VTE RAM was evaluated and compared with that of Caprini or Padua RAM using the receiver operating curve. Results We included 269 patients (median age: 70 years; 62.5% male). Eighty-three (30.9%) patients experienced inpatient VTE. The AUC of the ICU-VTE RAM was 0.743 (95% CI, 0.682-0.804, P