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Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health
- Source :
- Journal of Safety Science and Resilience, Vol 1, Iss 1, Pp 3-11 (2020)
- Publication Year :
- 2020
- Publisher :
- KeAi Communications Co., Ltd., 2020.
-
Abstract
- The undefendable outbreak of novel coronavirus (SARS-COV-2) lead to a global health emergency due to its higher transmission rate and longer symptomatic duration, created a health surge in a short time. Since Nov 2019 the outbreak in China, the virus is spreading exponentially everywhere. The current study focuses on the relationship between environmental parameters and the growth rate of COVID-19. The statistical analysis suggests that the temperature changes retarded the growth rate and found that -6.28 °C and +14.51 °C temperature is the favorable range for COVID-19 growth. Gutenberg- Richter's relationship is used to estimate the mean daily rate of exceedance of confirmed cases concerning the change in temperature. Indeed, temperature is the most influential parameter that reduces the growth at the rate of 13–17 cases/day with a 1 °C rise in temperature.
- Subjects :
- Covid-19
Pendemic
Temperature
Health risk
Risk in industry. Risk management
HD61
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 26664496
- Volume :
- 1
- Issue :
- 1
- Database :
- Directory of Open Access Journals
- Journal :
- Journal of Safety Science and Resilience
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- edsdoj.9bf907c040de4cae849b886b5f7ccf46
- Document Type :
- article
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jnlssr.2020.06.004