Increased blood eosinophils and airflow obstruction as new-onset asthma predictors in the elderly: The Nagahama study

Background: Asthma in the elderly needs more attention in an aging society. However, it is likely to remain underdiagnosed and undertreated. This study aimed to clarify clinical characteristics of new-onset asthma in the elderly, describing the prevalence, predictive factors, and comorbidities after asthma diagnosis of new-onset asthma in the elderly in the general population. Methods: This community-based prospective cohort study enrolled 9804 generally healthy participants (30–74 years old) in Nagahama City, and conducted a follow-up assessment after 5 years. Elderly participants were those aged ≥65 years at baseline. Patients with new-onset asthma were defined as participants without asthma at baseline assessment and with asthma at the follow-up assessment. Results: Among the 7948 participants analyzed in this study, 28 (1.4%) elderly and 130 (2.2%) non-elderly had new-onset asthma. Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed low forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1)/forced vital capacity (FVC) and high blood eosinophil counts at baseline as predicting factors for new-onset asthma in the elderly. Additionally, subsequent incidence of new-onset asthma was higher in elderly participants with both predictors (high blood eosinophil counts and low FEV1/FVC at baseline) than those with none or one of the predictors before asthma diagnosis. Lastly, elderly patients with new-onset asthma had more frequent comorbidity of moderate to severe sleep disordered breathing than those non-elderly. Conclusions: Eosinophilic inflammation and airflow obstruction may predict subsequent new-onset asthma after the age of 65 years. Revealing the characteristics of new-onset asthma in the elderly can aid in the prevention of underdiagnosed asthma.