Fractional Criticality Theory and Its Application in Seismology

To understand how the temporal non-locality («memory») properties of a process affect its critical regimes, the power-law compound and time-fractional Poisson process is presented as a universal hereditary model of criticality. Seismicity is considered as an application of the theory of criticality. On the basis of the proposed hereditarian criticality model, the critical regimes of seismicity are investigated. It is shown that the seismic process has the property of «memory» (non-locality over time) and statistical time-dependence of events. With a decrease in the fractional exponent of the Poisson process, the relaxation slows down, which can be associated with the hardening of the medium and the accumulation of elastic energy. Delayed relaxation is accompanied by an abnormal increase in fluctuations, which is caused by the non-local correlations of random events over time. According to the found criticality indices, the seismic process is in subcritical regimes for the zero and first moments and in supercritical regimes for the second statistical moment of events’ reoccurrence frequencies distribution. The supercritical regimes indicate the instability of the deformation changes that can go into a non-stationary regime of a seismic process.