Outcomes and cost analysis of single-embryo transfer versus double-embryo transfer

Background: Studies had compared single-embryo transfer to double-embryo transfer with cleavage stage embryos and found that while single-embryo transfer was less costly, it was also associated with a lower live birth rate than double-embryo transfer. A single blastocyst transfer has been shown to improve the live birth rate per cycle compared to single-embryo transfer at cleavage stage. Objectives: To compare live birth rates and real costs of elective single-embryo transfer to double-embryo transfer and to determine the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of these two strategies in an unselected pool of women in a single center. Design: Retrospective study. Methods: We analyzed data of 4232 women who underwent their first fresh in vitro fertilization/intra-cytoplasmic sperm injection cycles with at least two embryos available for transfer in KK Women’s and Children’s Hospital from 2010 to 2017. Results: Five hundred and sixty-four women underwent elective single-embryo transfer and 3668 women underwent double-embryo transfer. One hundred and fifty-six women who failed to achieve a live birth in their fresh elective single-embryo transfer cycle underwent a sequential thaw single-embryo transfer cycle. Live birth rate of fresh elective single-embryo transfer was significantly higher at 41.3% than that of double-embryo transfer at 32.6%. Cumulative live birth rate for sequential elective single-embryo transfer (fresh elective single-embryo transfer + thaw single-embryo transfer) was 47.9%. After accounting for variables which may affect live birth rates such as age and stage of embryo transfer, the odds of achieving a live birth from double-embryo transfer was 24% lower than that from sequential single-embryo transfer, although not statistically significant. For every live birth gained from an elective single-embryo transfer compared to double-embryo transfer, cost savings were S$20,172 per woman. If a woman had to have a sequential single-embryo transfer after a failed single-embryo transfer in her fresh cycle, cost savings were reduced to S$1476 per woman. Conclusion: Single-embryo transfer is a dominant strategy in an unselected population and adopting it in assisted reproductive treatments (ART) can produce cost savings without compromising on live birth rates.