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Prediction of sea ice area based on the CEEMDAN-SO-BiLSTM model

Authors :
Qiao Guo
Haoyu Zhang
Yuhao Zhang
Xuchu Jiang
Source :
PeerJ, Vol 11, p e15748 (2023)
Publication Year :
2023
Publisher :
PeerJ Inc., 2023.

Abstract

This article proposes a combined prediction model based on a bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) neural network optimized by the snake optimizer (SO) under complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise. First, complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) was used to decompose the sea ice area time series data into a series of eigenmodes and perform noise reduction to enhance the stationarity and smoothness of the time series. Second, this article used a bidirectional long short-term memory neural network optimized by the snake optimizer to fully exploit the characteristics of each eigenmode of the time series to achieve the prediction of each. Finally, the predicted values of each mode are superimposed and reconstructed as the final prediction values. Our model achieves a good score of RMSE: 1.047, MAE: 0.815, and SMAPE: 3.938 on the test set.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
21678359
Volume :
11
Database :
Directory of Open Access Journals
Journal :
PeerJ
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
edsdoj.85c6246ce94d4c32a32985933abc871d
Document Type :
article
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.15748