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Market resiliency conundrum: is it a predicator of economic growth?

Authors :
Richard Wamalwa Wanzala
Willy Muturi
Tobias Olweny
Source :
Journal of Finance and Data Science, Vol 4, Iss 1, Pp 1-15 (2018)
Publication Year :
2018
Publisher :
KeAi Communications Co., Ltd., 2018.

Abstract

Resiliency provides fundamental insights on the speed at which the marginal price impact increases as transaction volume increases in the stock market yet very few empirical research has been dedicated to its study. Consequently, this study was directed towards determining whether market resiliency is a predicator of economic growth. Secondly, the study also sought to examine whether real interest rate and risk premium moderate the relationship between stock market resiliency and the economic growth in Kenya. To solve the conundrum on the relationship between market resiliency and economic resiliency growth, a sagacious moderating regression analysis (MRA) was used. The liquidity and variance ratios were used as measures of resiliency while real interest rate and risk premium were taken as moderating variables. The CUSUM plots were used to determine the stability of the model. The results of this study shows that market resiliency is a predicator of economic growth and both real interest rates and risk premium moderates the relationship between stock market resilience and the economic growth in Kenya.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
24059188
Volume :
4
Issue :
1
Database :
Directory of Open Access Journals
Journal :
Journal of Finance and Data Science
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
edsdoj.7def4be014d2ba727b83a44953982
Document Type :
article
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfds.2017.11.004