Prognostic value of exercise myocardial deformation and haemodynamics in long‐term heart‐transplanted patients

Abstract Aims The study evaluated exercise left ventricular global longitudinal strain (LVGLS) and invasive haemodynamics for major adverse cardiac events (MACE) prediction in heart‐transplanted (HTx) patients. Methods and results The study comprised 74 stable consecutive HTx patients who were followed at the Department of Cardiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Denmark, from August 2013 to January 2017. All patients were transplanted a minimum of 12 months before study entry and were included at the time of their routine annual coronary angiography. A symptom‐limited haemodynamic exercise test with simultaneous echocardiographic study was performed. The primary endpoint was MACE during follow‐up defined as heart failure hospitalization, treated rejection episodes, coronary event, or cardiac death. The median time since transplant was 5 years [1:12] and the median follow‐up was 1095 days [391;1506]. Thirty patients (41%) experienced MACE during follow‐up. Patients who suffered MACE had an impaired resting and peak exercise systolic function in form of a lower LV ejection fraction (Rest: 56 ± 12% vs. 65 ± 7%, P 23 mmHg [hazard ratio (HR) 2.5, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.2–5.4], cardiac index 13 mmHg (HR 2.7, 95% CI: 1.1–6.3) had increased MACE risk. Patients with exercise‐induced LVGLS increase 23 mmHg [HR 6.1 (95% CI: 2.1–17.5)] or mRAP >13 mmHg [HR 7.5 (95% CI: 2.3–23.9)] had the highest MACE risk. Conclusions Resting haemodynamic parameters were poor MACE predictors in long‐term HTx patients. In contrast, peak exercise mPCWP, mRAP, and CI were significant MACE predictors. LVGLS both at rest and during exercise were significant MACE predictors, and the combined model with peak exercise LVGLS and peak exercise mPCWP, mRAP, and CI clearly identified high‐risk HTx patients in relation cardiovascular endpoints independently of time since HTx.