MRI features and tumor-infiltrating CD8 + T cells-based nomogram for predicting meningioma recurrence risk

Abstract Objective This study was based on MRI features and number of tumor-infiltrating CD8 + T cells in post-operative pathology, in predicting meningioma recurrence risk. Methods Clinical, pathological, and imaging data of 102 patients with surgically and pathologically confirmed meningiomas were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were divided into recurrence and non-recurrence groups based on follow-up. Tumor-infiltrating CD8 + T cells in tissue samples were quantitatively assessed with immunohistochemical staining. Apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) histogram parameters from preoperative MRI were quantified in MaZda. Considering the high correlation between ADC histogram parameters, we only chose ADC histogram parameter that had the best predictive efficacy for COX regression analysis further. A visual nomogram was then constructed and the recurrence probability at 1- and 2-years was determined. Finally, subgroup analysis was performed with the nomogram. Results The risk factors for meningioma recurrence were ADCp1 (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.961, 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 0.937 ~ 0.986, p = 0.002) and CD8 + T cells (HR = 0.026, 95%CI: 0.001 ~ 0.609, p = 0.023). The resultant nomogram had AUC values of 0.779 and 0.784 for 1- and 2-years predicted recurrence rates, respectively. The survival analysis revealed that patients with low CD8 + T cells counts or ADCp1 had higher recurrence rates than those with high CD8 + T cells counts or ADCp1. Subgroup analysis revealed that the AUC of nomogram for predicting 1-year and 2-year recurrence of WHO grade 1 and WHO grade 2 meningiomas was 0.872 (0.652) and 0.828 (0.751), respectively. Conclusions Preoperative ADC histogram parameters and tumor-infiltrating CD8 + T cells may be potential biomarkers in predicting meningioma recurrence risk. Clinical relevance statement The findings will improve prognostic accuracy for patients with meningioma and potentially allow for targeted treatment of individuals who have the recurrent form.