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The benefits of homogenising snow depth series – Impacts on decadal trends and extremes for Switzerland

Authors :
M. Buchmann
G. Resch
M. Begert
S. Brönnimann
B. Chimani
W. Schöner
C. Marty
Source :
The Cryosphere, Vol 17, Pp 653-671 (2023)
Publication Year :
2023
Publisher :
Copernicus Publications, 2023.

Abstract

Our current knowledge of spatial and temporal snow depth trends is based almost exclusively on time series of non-homogenised observational data. However, like other long-term series from observations, they are prone to inhomogeneities that can influence and even change trends if not taken into account. In order to assess the relevance of homogenisation for time-series analysis of daily snow depths, we investigated the effects of adjusting inhomogeneities in the extensive network of Swiss snow depth observations for trends and changes in extreme values of commonly used snow indices, such as snow days, seasonal averages or maximum snow depths in the period 1961–2021. Three homogenisation methods were compared for this task: Climatol and HOMER, which apply median-based adjustments, and the quantile-based interpQM. All three were run using the same input data with identical break points. We found that they agree well on trends of seasonal average snow depth, while differences are detectable for seasonal maxima and the corresponding extreme values. Differences between homogenised and non-homogenised series result mainly from the approach for generating reference series. The comparison of homogenised and original values for the 50-year return level of seasonal maximum snow depth showed that the quantile-based method had the smallest number of stations outside the 95 % confidence interval. Using a multiple-criteria approach, e.g. thresholds for series correlation (>0.7) as well as for vertical ( m) and horizontal ( km) distances, proved to be better suited than using correlation or distances alone. Overall, the homogenisation of snow depth series changed all positive trends for derived series of snow days to either no trend or negative trends and amplifying the negative mean trend, especially for stations >1500 m. The number of stations with a significant negative trend increased between 7 % and 21 % depending on the method, with the strongest changes occurring at high snow depths. The reduction in the 95 % confidence intervals of the absolute maximum snow depth of each station indicates a decrease in variation and an increase in confidence in the results.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
19940416 and 19940424
Volume :
17
Database :
Directory of Open Access Journals
Journal :
The Cryosphere
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
edsdoj.750c7ea7a3bf444bad0b4d17c1459421
Document Type :
article
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-653-2023