Comparison of sonographic fetal weight estimation formulas in patients with preterm premature rupture of membranes

Abstract Background Estimation of fetal weight (EFW) by ultrasound is useful in clinical decision-making. Numerous formulas for EFW have been published but have not been validated in pregnancies complicated by preterm premature rupture of membranes (PPROM). The purpose of this study is to compare the accuracy of EFW formulas in patients with PPROM, and to further evaluate the performance of the most commonly used formula - Hadlock IV. Methods A retrospective cohort study of women with singleton gestations and PPROM, admitted to a single tertiary center between 2005 and 2017 from 220/7–330/7 (n = 565). All women had an EFW within 14 days of delivery by standard biometry (biparietal diameter, head circumference, abdominal circumference and femur length). The accuracy of previously published 21 estimated EFW formulas was assessed by comparing the Pearson correlation with actual birth weight, and calculating the random error, systematic error, proportion of estimates within 10% of birth weight, and Euclidean distance. Results The mean gestational was 26.8 ± 2.4 weeks at admission, and 28.2 ± 2.6 weeks at delivery. Most formulas were strongly correlated with actual birth weight (r > 0.9 for 19/21 formulas). Mean systematic error was − 4.30% and mean random error was 14.5%. The highest performing formula, by the highest proportion of estimates and lowest Euclidean distance was Ott (1986), which uses abdominal and head circumferences, and femur length. However, there were minimal difference with all of the first 10 ranking formulas. The Pearson correlation coefficient for the Hadlock IV formula was strong at r = 0.935 (p