Evaluation of Changes in Social Isolation and Loneliness with Incident Cardiovascular Events and Mortality

Abstract Background It remains unknown how the patterns of change of social isolation and loneliness are associated with the onset of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality. We aimed to investigate the longitudinal association of changes in social isolation and loneliness with incident CVD, all-cause mortality, CVD mortality and subsequent cardiac function. Methods This prospective cohort study included 18,258 participants aged 38–73 years who participated in visit 0 (2006–2010) and visit 1 (2012–2013) using UK Biobank (mean age 57.1, standard deviation [SD] 7.4; 48.7% males). Social isolation or loneliness was categorized into four patterns: never, transient, incident, and persistent. Incident CVD, all-cause and CVD mortality were ascertained through linkage data. Cardiac function was assessed by cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging in a subsample (N = 5188; visit 2, since 2014). Results Over a median follow-up of 8.3 (interquartile range [IQR] 8.1–8.6) years, compared with never social isolation, persistent social isolation was associated with the higher risk of incident CVD (hazard ratio [HR] 1.17, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03–1.33), all-cause (1.42, 1.12–1.81) and CVD (1.53, 1.05–2.23) mortality. Likewise, persistent loneliness was strongly associated with the greater risk of incident CVD (1.13, 1.00–1.27), all-cause (1.28, 1.02–1.61) and CVD mortality (1.52, 1.06–2.18). Conclusions Persistent social isolation and loneliness posed a substantially higher risk for incident CVD, all-cause and CVD mortality, and cardiac dysfunction than other patterns. Persistent social isolation and loneliness, along with an increasing cumulative score, are associated with lower cardiac function. Graphical Abstract