Comparative analysis of hemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis on the risk of new onset diabetes mellitus

Background: Diabetes mellitus is a significant risk factor for cardiovascular events and mortality in dialysis patients. The impact of different dialysis modalities on the risk of new onset diabetes mellitus (NODM) remains a subject of debate. Previous studies did not adequately account for critical confounding factors such as pre-dialysis glycemic status, medication use, and nutritional status, which may influence the association between dialysis modality and NODM risk. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 1426 non-diabetic end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients who underwent either hemodialysis (HD) or peritoneal dialysis (PD) at a single medical center. We used different statistical methods, adjusting for potential confounding factors, and accounted for competing risk of death. Results: Over 12 years, 331 patients (23 %) developed NODM. After adjusting for potential confounding factors and mortality, PD patients had a significantly higher risk of NODM compared to HD patients (adjusted HR 1.52, p = 0.001). A propensity-matched cohort sensitivity analysis yielded similar results. Among patients with prediabetes, those receiving PD had a 2.93 times higher risk of developing NODM than those receiving HD (p for interaction