Low-dose ionizing radiation exposure and risk of leukemia: results from 1950–1995 Chinese medical X-ray workers’ cohort study and meta-analysis

Background: It has been well-established that acute radiation exposures increase the risk of leukemia. However, it is still unknown whether these leukemia risk estimates could be extrapolated to occupational populations who receive repeated low-dose radiation exposure. The purpose of this study was to estimate quantified associations between low-dose radiation exposures and leukemia. Methods: The Chinese medical X-ray worker study (CMXW) included 27,011 medical X-ray workers employed at major hospitals in 24 provinces in China from 1950 to 1980, and a control population of 25,782 physicians matched by hospital, who were unexposed to X-ray equipment. Poisson regression models were used to estimate the excess relative risk (ERR) and excess absolute risk (EAR) for the incidence of leukemia associated with cumulative doses. A meta-analysis of the published literature on low-dose occupational radiation exposure and leukemia risk was also conducted. Results: The incidence rates of leukemia in X-ray workers and the control group were 6.70 and 3.39 per 100,000 person-years, respectively. Among X-ray workers, the average cumulative red bone marrow dose was 0.046 Gy. We found a positive relationship between 2-year lagged cumulative red bone marrow dose and risk of leukemia excluding chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) (ERR = 0.66 per 100 mGy, 90% CI: 0.091.53; EAR = 0.29 per 104 PY-100 mGy, 90% CI: 0.070.56). The excess risk was largely driven by myeloid leukemia (ERR = 1.06 per 100 mGy, 90% CI: 0.22, 2.51). Based on the meta-analysis, the pooled ERR at 100 mGy was 0.19 (95% CI: 0.080.31). Conclusion: This study provides strong evidence of a positive and linear doseresponse relationship between cumulative red bone marrow dose and the incidence of non-CLL leukemia.