Parametric Estimation of Directional Wave Spectra from Moored FPSO Motion Data Using Optimized Artificial Neural Networks

This paper introduces a comprehensive, data-driven framework for parametrically estimating directional ocean wave spectra from numerically simulated FPSO (Floating Production Storage and Offloading) vessel motions. Leveraging a mid-fidelity digital twin of a spread-moored FPSO vessel in the Guyana Sea, this approach integrates a wide range of statistical values calculated from the time histories of vessel responses—displacements, angular velocities, and translational accelerations. Artificial neural networks (ANNs), trained and optimized through hyperparameter tuning and feature selection, are employed to estimate wave parameters including the significant wave height, peak period, main wave direction, enhancement parameter, and directional-spreading factor. A systematic correlation analysis ensures that informative input features are retained, while extensive sensitivity tests confirm that richer input sets notably improve predictive accuracy. In addition, comparisons against other machine learning (ML) methods—such as Support Vector Machines, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, and Ridge Regression—demonstrate the present ANN model’s superior ability to capture intricate nonlinear interdependencies between vessel motions and environmental conditions.