Machine-learning developed an iron, copper, and sulfur-metabolism associated signature predicts lung adenocarcinoma prognosis and therapy response

Abstract Background Previous studies have largely neglected the role of sulfur metabolism in LUAD, and no study has combine iron, copper, and sulfur-metabolism associated genes together to create prognostic signatures. Methods This study encompasses 1564 LUAD patients, 1249 NSCLC patients, and over 10,000 patients with various cancer types from diverse cohorts. We employed the R package ConsensusClusterPlus to separate patients into different ICSM (Iron, Copper, and Sulfur-Metabolism) subtypes. Various machine-learning methods were utilized to develop the ICSMI. Enrichment analyses were conducted using ClusterProfiler and GSVA, while IOBR quantified immune cell infiltration. GISTIC2.0 and maftools were utilized for CNV and SNV data analysis. The Oncopredict package predicted drug information based on GDSC1. TIDE algorithm and cohorts GSE91061 and IMvigor210 evaluated patient response to immunotherapy. Single-cell data was processed using the Seurat package, AUCell package calculated cells geneset activity scores, and the Scissor algorithm identified ICSMI-associated cells. In vitro experiments was conducted to explore the role of ICSMRGs in LUAD. Results Unsupervised clustering identified two distinct ICSM subtypes of LUAD, each with unique clinical characteristics. The ICSMI, comprising 10 genes, was constructed using integrated machine-learning methods. Its prognostic power was validated in 10 independent datasets, revealing that LUAD patients with higher ICSMI levels had poorer prognoses. Furthermore, ICSMI demonstrated superior predictive abilities compared to 102 previously published signatures. A nomogram incorporating ICSMI and clinical features exhibited high predictive performance. ICSMI positively correlated with patients gene mutations, and integrated analysis of bulk and single-cell transcriptome data revealed its association with TME modulators. Cells representing the high-ICSMI phenotype exhibited more malignant features. LUAD patients with high ICSMI levels exhibited sensitivity to chemotherapy and targeted therapy but displayed resistance to immunotherapy. In a comprehensive analysis across various cancers, ICSMI retained significant prognostic value and emerged as a risk factor for the majority of cancer patients. Conclusions ICSMI provides critical prognostic insights for LUAD patients, offering valuable insights into the tumor microenvironment and predicting treatment responsiveness.