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A Comprehensive Mathematical Model for SARS-CoV-2 in Caputo Derivative

Authors :
Yu Gu
Muhammad Altaf Khan
Y. S. Hamed
Bassem F. Felemban
Source :
Fractal and Fractional, Vol 5, Iss 4, p 271 (2021)
Publication Year :
2021
Publisher :
MDPI AG, 2021.

Abstract

In the present work, we study the COVID-19 infection through a new mathematical model using the Caputo derivative. The model has all the possible interactions that are responsible for the spread of disease in the community. We first formulate the model in classical differential equations and then extend it into fractional differential equations using the definition of the Caputo derivative. We explore in detail the stability results for the model of the disease-free case when R0<1. We show that the model is stable locally when R0<1. We give the result that the model is globally asymptotically stable whenever R0≤1. Further, to estimate the model parameters, we consider the real data of the fourth wave from Pakistan and provide a reasonable fitting to the data. We estimate the basic reproduction number for the proposed data to be R0=1.0779. Moreover, using the real parameters, we present the numerical solution by first giving a reliable scheme that can numerically handle the solution of the model. In our simulation, we give the graphical results for some sensitive parameters that have a large impact on disease elimination. Our results show that taking into consideration all the possible interactions can describe COVID-19 infection.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
25043110
Volume :
5
Issue :
4
Database :
Directory of Open Access Journals
Journal :
Fractal and Fractional
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
edsdoj.5ae680348fa41b78828c1c4f9404f11
Document Type :
article
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract5040271