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A novel risk score to predict deep vein thrombosis after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage
A novel risk score to predict deep vein thrombosis after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage
- Source :
- Frontiers in Neurology, Vol 13 (2022)
- Publication Year :
- 2022
- Publisher :
- Frontiers Media S.A., 2022.
-
Abstract
- Background and purposeStudies showed that patients with hemorrhagic stroke are at a higher risk of developing deep vein thrombosis (DVT) than those with ischemic stroke. We aimed to develop a risk score (intracerebral hemorrhage-associated deep vein thrombosis score, ICH-DVT) for predicting in-hospital DVT after ICH.MethodsThe ICH-DVT was developed based on the Beijing Registration of Intracerebral Hemorrhage, in which eligible patients were randomly divided into derivation (60%) and internal validation cohorts (40%). External validation was performed using the iMCAS study (In-hospital Medical Complication after Acute Stroke). Independent predictors of in-hospital DVT after ICH were obtained using multivariable logistic regression, and β-coefficients were used to generate a scoring system of the ICH-DVT. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and the Hosmer–Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test were used to assess model discrimination and calibration, respectively.ResultsThe overall in-hospital DVT after ICH was 6.3%, 6.0%, and 5.7% in the derivation (n = 1,309), internal validation (n = 655), and external validation (n = 314) cohorts, respectively. A 31-point ICH-DVT was developed from the set of independent predictors including age, hematoma volume, subarachnoid extension, pneumonia, gastrointestinal bleeding, and length of hospitalization. The ICH-DVT showed good discrimination (AUROC) in the derivation (0.81; 95%CI = 0.79–0.83), internal validation (0.83, 95%CI = 0.80–0.86), and external validation (0.88; 95%CI = 0.84–0.92) cohorts. The ICH-DVT was well calibrated (Hosmer–Lemeshow test) in the derivation (P = 0.53), internal validation (P = 0.38), and external validation (P = 0.06) cohorts.ConclusionThe ICH-DVT is a valid grading scale for predicting in-hospital DVT after ICH. Further studies on the effect of the ICH-DVT on clinical outcomes after ICH are warranted.
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 16642295
- Volume :
- 13
- Database :
- Directory of Open Access Journals
- Journal :
- Frontiers in Neurology
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- edsdoj.5aadc55c1cf74ddd9ed728f0dc2fb2b3
- Document Type :
- article
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.3389/fneur.2022.930500