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National and subnational short-term forecasting of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during early 2021
- Source :
- Communications Medicine, Vol 2, Iss 1, Pp 1-17 (2022)
- Publication Year :
- 2022
- Publisher :
- Nature Portfolio, 2022.
-
Abstract
- Bracher et al. compare 15 forecasting models of COVID-19 cases and deaths in Germany and Poland between January and mid-April 2021. Many, though not all, models outperform a simple baseline model up to four weeks ahead, with ensemble methods showing very good relative performance.
- Subjects :
- Medicine
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 2730664X
- Volume :
- 2
- Issue :
- 1
- Database :
- Directory of Open Access Journals
- Journal :
- Communications Medicine
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- edsdoj.538dfac0ac9e4eb3b14e8b4242363283
- Document Type :
- article
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s43856-022-00191-8