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Warming-induced vegetation growth cancels out soil carbon-climate feedback in the northern Asian permafrost region in the 21st century

Authors :
Jianzhao Liu
Fenghui Yuan
Yunjiang Zuo
Rui Zhou
Xinhao Zhu
Kexin Li
Nannan Wang
Ning Chen
Ziyu Guo
Lihua Zhang
Ying Sun
Yuedong Guo
Changchun Song
Xiaofeng Xu
Source :
Environmental Research Letters, Vol 17, Iss 8, p 084009 (2022)
Publication Year :
2022
Publisher :
IOP Publishing, 2022.

Abstract

Permafrost soils represent an enormous carbon (C) pool that is highly vulnerable to climate warming. We used the model output ensemble of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 to estimate the C storage in soil, litter, and vegetation in the current extent of northern Asian permafrost during 1900–2100. The contemporary (1995–2014) C storage was estimated to be 368.1 ± 82.5 Pg C for the full column depth of the soil, 13.3 ± 4.6 Pg C in litter, and 22.2 ± 3.2 Pg C in vegetation biomass, while these C storage levels are projected to decline by 3.9 Pg C (1.1%) in soils, increase of 0.03 Pg C (0.2%) in litter, and increase by 21.1 Pg C (95.3%) in vegetation biomass by the end of the 21st century under SSP585. The total C storage was dominated by warming-induced vegetation growth. Partial correlation analysis showed that surface air temperature (TAS), soil liquid water, and soil mineral nitrogen (SMN) dominated the soil and vegetation C pools, while SMN controlled litter C during the historical period. Under future scenarios, TAS and SMN dominated the changes of soil and litter C, while TAS determined the vegetation C increase. The growing soil C loss with warming indicates positive C-climate feedback in soils; this warming-induced acceleration of soil C loss was canceled out by the enhanced vegetation C accumulation, leading to a strong C sink in the 21st century.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
17489326
Volume :
17
Issue :
8
Database :
Directory of Open Access Journals
Journal :
Environmental Research Letters
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
edsdoj.4f06ce1cb76347b4b6cd03bceb68d1f0
Document Type :
article
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac7eda