Response of Larix chinensis Radial Growth to Climatic Factors Using the Process-Based Vaganov–Shashkin-Lite Model at Mt. Taibai, China

The Qinling Mountains are located on the dividing line between the north and the south of China. Mt. Taibai, the study site, is the highest peak in the Qinling Mountains and also the highest peak in eastern mainland China. At Mt. Taibai, several dendroecological studies have been conducted on the relationship between tree-ring indices and climatic factors using traditional statistical methods. In this study, the response of Larix chinensis Beissn radial growth to climatic factors was explored in the treeline area of Mt. Taibai using the process-based Vaganov–Shashkin-Lite (VSL) model for the first time. The conclusions were obtained according to the analysis of the L. chinensis tree-ring samples collected from both the northern and southern slopes of Mt. Taibai. The VSL model showed that temperature limits L. chinensis growth during the entire growing season, while the model did not indicate precipitation as a limiting factor. The model showed significant positive correlations between the simulated and observed tree-ring chronologies for 1959–2013, excluding the uppermost sample site on the northern slope. However, the model performance deteriorated with increasing altitude, which may be due to the decreased sensitivity of radial growth to climatic factors above the treeline.