Integrative ensemble modelling of cetuximab sensitivity in colorectal cancer patient-derived xenografts

Abstract Patient-derived xenografts (PDXs) are tumour fragments engrafted into mice for preclinical studies. PDXs offer clear advantages over simpler in vitro cancer models - such as cancer cell lines (CCLs) and organoids - in terms of structural complexity, heterogeneity, and stromal interactions. Here, we characterise 231 colorectal cancer PDXs at the genomic, transcriptomic, and epigenetic levels, along with their response to cetuximab, an EGFR inhibitor used clinically for metastatic colorectal cancer. After evaluating the PDXs’ quality, stability, and molecular concordance with publicly available patient cohorts, we present results from training, interpreting, and validating the integrative ensemble classifier CeSta. This model takes in input the PDXs’ multi-omic characterisation and predicts their sensitivity to cetuximab treatment, achieving an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve > 0.88. Our study demonstrates that large PDX collections can be leveraged to train accurate, interpretable drug sensitivity models that: (1) better capture patient-derived therapeutic biomarkers compared to models trained on CCL data, (2) can be robustly validated across independent PDX cohorts, and (3) could contribute to the development of future therapeutic biomarkers.