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Does bitcoin hedge against the economic policy uncertainty: based on the continuous wavelet analysis

Authors :
Yuxin Cai
Zeqi Zhu
Qi Xue
Xinyu Song
Source :
Journal of Applied Economics, Vol 25, Iss 1, Pp 983-996 (2022)
Publication Year :
2022
Publisher :
Taylor & Francis Group, 2022.

Abstract

This article aims to test a causal nexus between bitcoin market and economic policy uncertainty. We use the continuous wavelet analysis to investigate lead-lag relationship between bitcoin market and economic policy uncertainty in different time-frequency domains. Our findings show the negative relationship between bitcoin returns and economic policy uncertainty around the period of bitcoin’s currency recognition and COVIC-19 pandemic crisis both daily and monthly time series test. Furthermore, we find that the causality relationship between bitcoin and economic policy uncertainty is relatively indistinct around the period of bitcoin’s currency recognition, while bitcoin returns are leading economic policy uncertainty changes during COVID-19 pandemic crisis, indicating the economic policy uncertainty fluctuation trend can refer to the fluctuation of bitcoin, bitcoin can be viewed as a leading indicator, but it could not be employed as a safe-haven asset hedge against uncertainty during the period of COVID-19 pandemic.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
15140326 and 16676726
Volume :
25
Issue :
1
Database :
Directory of Open Access Journals
Journal :
Journal of Applied Economics
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
edsdoj.3a309e58af1b4bad92bb8f1c3d232d25
Document Type :
article
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1080/15140326.2022.2072674