Identification of a tumor microenvironment-related gene signature to improve the prediction of cervical cancer prognosis

Abstract Background Previous studies have found that the microenvironment of cervical cancer (CESC) affects the progression and treatment of this disease. Thus, we constructed a multigene model to assess the survival of patients with cervical cancer. Methods We scored 307 CESC samples from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and divided them into high and low matrix and immune scores using the ESTIMATE algorithm for differential gene analysis. Cervical cancer patients were randomly divided into a training group, testing group and combined group. The multigene signature prognostic model was constructed by Cox analyses. Multivariate Cox analysis was applied to evaluate the significance of the multigene signature for cervical cancer prognosis. Prognosis was assessed by Kaplan–Meier curves comparing the different groups, and the accuracy of the prognostic model was analyzed by receiver operating characteristic-area under the curve (ROC-AUC) analysis and calibration curve. The Tumor Immune Estimation Resource (TIMER) database was used to analyze the relationship between the multigene signature and immune cell infiltration. Results We obtained 420 differentially expressed genes in the tumor microenvironment from 307 patients with cervical cancer. A three-gene signature (SLAMF1, CD27, SELL) model related to the tumor microenvironment was constructed to assess patient survival. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that patients with high risk scores had a poor prognosis. The ROC-AUC value indicated that the model was an accurate predictor of cervical cancer prognosis. Multivariate cox analysis showed the three-gene signature to be an independent risk factor for the prognosis of cervical cancer. A nomogram combining the three-gene signature and clinical features was constructed, and calibration plots showed that the nomogram resulted in an accurate prognosis for patients. The three-gene signature was associated with T stage, M stage and degree of immune infiltration in patients with cervical cancer. Conclusions This research suggests that the developed three-gene signature may be applied as a biomarker to predict the prognosis of and personalized therapy for CESC.