Predicting central nervous system relapse in primary breast diffuse large B-cell lymphoma using the stage-modified IPI score: A retrospective cohort study

Objective: The existing Central Nervous System-International Prognostic Index (CNS-IPI) provides insufficient guidance for predicting central nervous system (CNS) relapse in individuals with primary breast diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). This retrospective cohort study sought to examine the potential of the stage-modified IPI in predicting CNS relapse within this specific patient population. Patients and methods: We examined the baseline characteristics of 76 consecutive patients diagnosed with primary breast DLBCL, calculating the stage-modified IPI score for each individual. Utilizing a competing risk regression (CRR) model, we conducted both univariate and multivariate analyses to explore the relationship between potential prognostic factors and the occurrence of CNS relapse. Results: In our cohort, the rates of CNS disease at 2 and 5 years since the diagnosis of primary breast DLBCL are 3.9% and 7.8%, respectively. Among patients experiencing CNS relapse, 80% presented with a parenchymal brain mass. Individuals with a high stage-modified IPI score (1–3 points) had a significantly higher incidence of CNS relapse (p = 0.031), a shorter time from the initial diagnosis of primary breast DLBCL to the first CNS relapse (p = 0.010), as well as relapse at any site (p = 0.012), compared to those with a low score (0 points). Univariate analysis identified stage (Hazard Ratio (HR): 4.098, p = 0.024), stage-modified IPI score (HR: 11.582, p = 0.012), and radiation therapy (HR: 5.784, p = 0.026) as significant risk factors. In multivariate analysis, in addition to radiation therapy (HR: 7.258, p = 0.012), the stage-modified IPI score (1–3 points versus 0 points) emerged as an independent and reliable predictor for CNS relapse (HR: 12.945, p = 0.016). Conclusion: Our study underscores the significance of stage-modified IPI scores in predicting CNS relapse for patients with primary breast DLBCL. Validation of these findings through further research is essential, along with exploring potential prevention and intervention approaches.