Prognostic aging gene-based score for colorectal cancer: unveiling links to drug resistance, mutation burden, and personalized treatment strategies

Abstract Objective Colorectal cancer (CRC) is characterized by high incidence and mortality rates worldwide. In this study, we present a novel aging-related gene-based risk scoring system (Aging score) as a predictive tool for CRC prognosis. Method: We identified prognostic aging-related genes using univariate Cox regression analysis, revealing key biological processes in CRC progression. We then constructed a robust prognostic model using LASSO and multivariate Cox regression analyses, including four critical genes: CAV1, FOXM1, MAD2L1, and WT1. Result: The Aging score demonstrated high prognostic performance across the training, testing, and entire TCGA-CRC datasets, proving its reliability. High-risk patients identified by the Aging score had significantly shorter overall survival times than low-risk patients, indicating its potential for patient stratification and personalized treatment. The Aging score remained an independent prognostic factor compared to age, gender, and tumor stage. Additionally, the score was linked to tumor mutation burden and microsatellite instability, indicators of immune checkpoint inhibitor response. High-risk patients also showed higher estimated IC50 values for common chemotherapeutic drugs, suggesting possible treatment resistance. Conclusion: Our findings highlight the Aging score's potential to enhance clinical decision-making and pave the way for personalized CRC management.