Antibody titer levels and the effect on subsequent SARS-CoV-2 infection in a large US-based cohort

Despite a growing amount of data around the kinetics and durability of the antibody response induced by vaccination and previous infection, there is little understanding of whether or not a given quantitative level of antibodies correlates to protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection or reinfection. In this study, we examine SARS-CoV-2 anti-spike receptor binding domain (RBD) antibody titers and subsequent SARS-CoV-2 reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) tests in a large cohort of US-based patients. We analyzed antibody test results in a cohort of 22,204 individuals, 6.8% (n = 1,509) of whom eventually tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 RNA, suggesting infection or reinfection. Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted to understand the effect of various levels of anti-spike RBD antibody titers (classified into discrete ranges) on subsequent RT-PCR positivity rates. Statistical analyses included fitting a Cox proportional hazards model to estimate the age-, sex- and exposure-adjusted hazard ratios for S antibody titer, using zip-code positivity rates by week as a proxy for COVID-19 exposure. It was found that the best models of the temporally associated infection risk were those based on log antibody titer level (HR = 0.836 (p 250 Binding Antibody Units (BAU) was 0.27 (p