Network dynamics of positive energy districts: a coevolutionary business ecosystem analysis

IntroductionAmid the rising interest in sustainable urban development, Positive Energy Districts (PEDs) have become a focus of research. This study examines the dynamic processes that influence the development and scalability of PEDs from a co-evolutionary business ecosystem perspective.MethodsTo delve into the dynamics of Positive Energy Districts, we applied the business ecosystem framework to a real-world case study, namely the Hunziker Areal. Our research methodology involved the development and validation of a high-level conceptual model. This was achieved through workshops and guided interviews with experts engaged in pilot and research projects related to PEDs.ResultsThe study highlights the significance of employing a systemic approach to evaluate the potential of PEDs in enhancing housing sustainability while creating value for diverse stakeholders. Through the utilization of causal loop diagrams, key feedback loops explaining the diffusion of PEDs are identified. Moreover, the study reveals varying perceptions of PED utility among stakeholders, who assess the impact using different Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) such as CO2 target achievement and well-being. Key factors influencing technology adoption, such as low prosumer electricity unit cost, are also identified.DiscussionOur findings further shed light on crucial aspects affecting value capture and the attractiveness of the ecosystem to investors. Additionally, the study underscores the critical role of supportive policies and regulations in facilitating the diffusion and scalability of Positive Energy Districts.