Metabolic tumour area: a novel prognostic indicator based on 18F-FDG PET/CT in patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma in the R-CHOP era

Abstract Background The metabolic tumour area (MTA) was found to be a promising predictor of prostate cancer. However, the role of MTA based on 18F-FDG PET/CT in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) prognosis remains unclear. This study aimed to elucidate the prognostic significance of MTA and evaluate its incremental value to the National Comprehensive Cancer Network International Prognostic Index (NCCN-IPI) for DLBCL patients treated with first-line R-CHOP regimens. Methods A total of 280 consecutive patients with newly diagnosed DLBCL and baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT data were retrospectively evaluated. Lesions were delineated via a semiautomated segmentation method based on a 41% SUVmax threshold to estimate semiquantitative metabolic parameters such as total metabolic tumour volume (TMTV) and MTA. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to determine the optimal cut-off values. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were the endpoints that were used to evaluate the prognosis. PFS and OS were estimated via Kaplan‒Meier curves and compared via the log-rank test. Results Univariate analysis revealed that patients with high MTA, high TMTV and NCCN-IPI ≥ 4 were associated with inferior PFS and OS (P