Predicting Grade group 2 or higher cancer at prostate biopsy by 4Kscore in blood and uCaP microRNA model in urine

Abstract Elevated prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels often lead to unnecessary and possibly harmful transrectal ultrasound guided biopsy, e.g. when the biopsy is negative or contains only low-grade insignificant cancer, unlikely to become symptomatic in the man’s normal lifespan. A model based on four-kallikrein markers in blood (commercialized as 4Kscore) predicts risk of Grade group 2 or higher prostate cancer at biopsy, reducing unnecessary biopsies. We assessed whether these results extend to a single institution prostate biopsy cohort of Danish men and are enhanced by three microRNAs from urine (referred to as uCaP). The 4Kscore measured in cryopreserved blood from 234 men referred for 10+ core biopsy to Aarhus University Hospital, 29 with PSA > 25 ng/ml. We explored uCaP in urine from 157 of these men. Combined with age and DRE findings, both 4Kscore and uCaP could accurately predict Grade group 2 or higher prostate cancer (all patients: AUC = 0.802 and 0.797; PSA ≤ 25: AUC = 0.763 and 0.759). There was no additive effect when combining the 4Kscore and uCaP. Limitations include a study cohort with higher risk than commonly reported for biopsy cohorts. Our findings further support the clinical use of the 4Kscore to predict Grade group 2 or higher cancers in men being considered for biopsy.