CT-derived Radiomics Predicts the Efficacy of Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitors in Osteosarcoma Patients with Pulmonary Metastasis

Background: To construct and validate the CT-based radiomics model for predicting the tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) effects in osteosarcoma (OS) patients with pulmonary metastasis. Methods: OS patients with pulmonary metastasis treated with TKIs were randomly separated into training and testing cohorts (2:1 ratio). Radiomic features were extracted from the baseline unenhanced chest CT images. The random survival forest (RSF) and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were performed to construct and evaluate radiomics signatures (R-model-derived). The univariant and multivariant Cox regression analyses were conducted to establish clinical (C-model) and combined models (RC-model). The discrimination abilities, goodness of fit and clinical benefits of the three models were assessed and validated in both training and testing cohorts. Results: A total of 90 patients, 57 men and 33 women, with a mean age of 18 years and median progression-free survival (PFS) of 7.2 months, were enrolled. The R-model was developed with nine radiomic features and demonstrated significant predictive and prognostic values. In both training and testing cohorts, the time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) of the R-model and RC-model exhibited obvious superiority over C-model. The calibration and decision curve analysis (DCA) curves indicated that the accuracy of the R-model was comparable to RC-model, which exhibited significantly better performance than C-model. Conclusions: The R-model showed promising potential as a predictor for TKI responses in OS patients with pulmonary metastasis. It can potentially identify pulmonary metastatic OS patients most likely to benefit from TKIs treatment and help guide optimized clinical decisions.